u/Away_Definition5829 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· July 06, 2026 at 04:13
· ⬆ 15 pts
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The post compiles 16 recent investment write-ups from Substack authors, spanning Americas, EMEA, and Asia-Pacific companies.
Each write-up provides specific valuation metrics, catalysts, and risk factors; some are explicitly bullish (TOP PICKS like Vusion and Kaspi) while others are bearish (Block, Micron).
Overall, the compilation is well-researched due diligence, offering concrete data points and reasoned arguments rather than speculation or noise.
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Fresh batch of company write-ups from Substack authors, published from within the last week or so.
Not my work - sourced from Giles Capital's weekly compilation: [https://gilescapital.substack.com](https://gilescapital.substack.com)
# Americas
**alphaseeker84** on [**Micron Technology**](https://alphaseeker84.substack.com/p/micron-technology-mu-q3-fy2026-results) (🇺🇸 MU US - US$1.1tn) Cheap only on forward earnings assuming a cyclical peak that holds. Michael Burry disclosed a short on July 2. Insiders sold $124.9 million of stock over the past three months.
**angsanaanderson** on [**Block**](https://www.angsanaanderson.com/p/block-why-100-revenue-growth-is-misleading) (🇺🇸 XYZ US - US$45bn) Headline 101% revenue growth strips to 17% organic once Bitcoin is pulled out. A $240 million DOJ accrual sits unresolved. The author rates it a sell and prefers PayPal at lower multiples.
**commonshares** on [**Constellation Software**](https://commonshares.substack.com/p/csu-bought-more) (🇨🇦 CSU TSX - C$55bn) Trades at 54x earnings, capping the value investing score. Mark Leonard steps off the board in May 2026. A director bought at C$3,284 anyway.
**dinvests** on [**Zoetis**](https://dinvests.substack.com/p/new-buy-zoetis) (🇺🇸 ZTS US - US$33bn) Down 54% from its 2022 peak, trading at decade-low multiples. It's the clear market leader in animal health, priced as if GLP-1 drugs will eliminate pet care spending. They haven't.
**hightechinvesting** on [**Zoom Video Communications**](https://hightechinvesting.substack.com/p/zoom-aktie-reif-fur-meinen-wiedereinstieg) (🇺🇸 ZM US - US$28bn) $7.76 billion in net cash, founder still in control. Revenue stalled at 5%. The $1.9 billion in free cash flow suggests the market is pricing something worse than the numbers show.
**alphaseeker84** on [**Darden Restaurants**](https://alphaseeker84.substack.com/p/darden-restaurants-dri-q4-fy2026) (🇺🇸 DRI US - US$24bn) At 20x with flat same-store sales, the author rates it fairly valued. FY27 guidance came in soft. Base case is a 6.6% three-year return at a price that offers no margin of safety.
**valuedontlie** on [**Somnigroup International**](https://www.valuedontlie.com/p/quick-value-320-somnigroup-sgi) (🇺🇸 SGI US - US$15bn) Buying Leggett & Platt at 6x earnings while industry volumes sit 30% below normal. The author's base case is $97 by 2028 and he targets entry in the $60s.
**uzocapital** on [**Merlin Labs**](https://uzocapital.substack.com/p/pattern-recognition-episode-2-merlin) (🇺🇸 MRLN US - US$950m) Founder-owned autonomous pilot software with DoD, GE, and Honeywell partnerships. Pre-revenue. The Waymo comp at $126 billion implies 100x upside if certification timelines hold. High execution risk.
**miroslavstepanek** on [**Hydreight Technologies and Victory Square Technologies**](https://miroslavstepanek.substack.com/p/hydreight-technologies-nursv-a-victory) (🇨🇦 NURS.V, 🇨🇦 VST.CN - C$252m, C$77m) Canadian telehealth platform growing 180% annually at 9.5x forward earnings. The moat is multi-jurisdictional nursing licences that competitors can't easily replicate. Parent Victory Square trades at 44% of that holding's value.
# Europe, Middle East & Africa
**hatedmoats** on [**SAP SE**](https://hatedmoats.substack.com/p/sap-dcf-valuation) (🇩🇪 SAP GR - US$180bn) Trading at 30% below its 10-year valuation median. The base-case DCF comes to $260 against a $155 share price today. Cloud margin expansion is what closes that gap.
**duckpondvr** on [**Bayer AG**](https://www.duckpondvr.com/p/bayer-ag-etr-bayn-update) (🇩🇪 BAYN GR - €20bn) RoundUp litigation is now quantified at $7.25 billion, removing years of binary risk. Insider buying resumed in 2026 after a three-year drought. Three new drug approvals. The conglomerate discount persists.
**globaloutperformers** on [**Latour AB**](https://globaloutperformers.substack.com/p/latour-ab-20) (🇸🇪 LATO SS - SEK 120bn) Trades below net asset value for the first time in eight years. The Douglas family, 75% owners, is adding shares. Nord-Lock and Bemsiq generate 25% operating margins.
**Kubang Pasu Capital** on [**Vusion SA**](https://kubangpasucapital.substack.com/p/vusion-a-mispriced-retail-technology) (🇫🇷 VU PA - €1.9bn) TOP PICK The current valuation assumes the 2027 Walmart transition permanently impairs the business. Global leader in electronic shelf labels, 5x EBITDA, €439m in net cash, and a €1.7bn backlog from other clients.
**businessesnotstocks** on [**Headlam Group plc**](https://businessesnotstocks.substack.com/p/headlam-group-plc) (🇬🇧 HEAD LN - £16m) £16m market cap against £500m in revenues. UK flooring distributor with 29.5% insider ownership and £121m in working capital against £50m of debt. Housing recovery is the key variable.
# Asia-Pacific
**Capytal Management** on [**Kaspi.kz JSC**](https://capytalmanagement.substack.com/p/77x-pe-8-dividends-whats-not-to-like) (🇰🇿 KSPI US - US$17bn) TOP PICK Kazakhstan's super-app at 6.8x P/E with an 8% dividend. Tencent was just added as a strategic investor. The founder owns 23% and the Turkey expansion is the next leg of growth.
**showmetheincentives** on [**ReNew Energy Global Plc**](https://showmetheincentives.substack.com/p/renew-energy-global-plc-rnw) (🇮🇳 RNW US - US$1.2bn) India's largest renewable energy operator, 20.2 GW committed pipeline, 38% revenue growth. The $6.75 take-private offer looks understated. The 54% insider ownership group has been pushing for a full cash exit.
Vusion is the global leader in electronic shelf labels, trading at 5x EBITDA with €439m net cash and a €1.7bn backlog from non-Walmart clients. The current valuation assumes the 2027 Walmart transition permanently impairs the business, but the backlog proves other demand is strong, creating a mispricing. The market overreacts to the Walmart headwind; buying at these levels offers a deep value entry with a clear catalyst from backlog conversion. Walmart transition could be worse than expected; execution delays on new contracts; competitor technology disruption.
Kaspi.kz trades at 6.8x P/E with an 8% dividend, Tencent as a strategic investor, and 23% founder ownership. The super-app model is undervalued relative to peers, and the Turkey expansion provides a new growth leg. A compelling value play with high insider alignment and a strong dividend yield, supported by a major tech partner. Kazakhstan political/regulatory risk; Turkey expansion may underperform; fintech competition.
Block’s headline 101% revenue growth strips to only 17% organic once Bitcoin is excluded, and a $240M DOJ accrual remains unresolved. The market is pricing the artificial Bitcoin-driven growth as sustainable, ignoring legal overhang and slowing core business. Short Block because the misleading growth narrative and unresolved litigation make the current valuation unsustainable. Bitcoin price rally could boost sentiment; DOJ settlement could be lower than expected; PayPal underperformance could keep Block bid.
Zoetis is down 54% from its 2022 peak, trading at decade-low multiples, yet remains the clear leader in animal health. The market fears GLP-1 drugs will eliminate pet care spending, but this is overblown; pet healthcare demand is resilient. Buy Zoetis at depressed levels for a long-term compounder with a strong moat and a temporary fear-based discount. GLP-1 drugs could reduce pet obesity-related spending; new animal health competitors; regulatory changes.
This Reddit post, published July 06, 2026,
features u/Away_Definition5829
discussing VU PA, KSPI, XYZ, ZTS.
4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.