Best Mean Reversion metric to base on ?

u/Arty_Puls · Reddit — r/algotrading · April 19, 2026 at 12:03 · ⬆ 16 pts · 💬 14 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • The post is a query about optimizing a mean reversion strategy, specifically focusing on the best metric (e.g., VWAP, SMA) to identify overextended price moves for entries on SPY.
  • The author's thesis is that combining a price deviation from a mean metric (using ATR for scaling) with RSI overbought/oversold signals and time-based filters can create a viable short-term mean reversion system.
  • Quality assessment: Noise. This is a speculative strategy discussion seeking optimization tips, not a presentation of researched data or backtest results.
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Ideas
u/Arty_Puls Reddit r/algotrading
Author is actively testing a mean reversion strategy on SPY using deviations from VWAP (scaled by ATR) combined with RSI extremes. The implied trade idea is to LONG when price is far below VWAP & RSI is oversold, and to SHORT when price is far above VWAP & RSI is overbought, assuming a reversion to the mean. The strategy suggests short-term, counter-trend trades on SPY based on over-extension signals, though the author is uncertain about the optimal setup. The strategy may fail in strong trending markets, leading to whipsaws. The entry signal (identifying the reversal point) is noted as a primary difficulty.
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This Reddit post, published April 19, 2026, features u/Arty_Puls discussing SPY. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Arty_Puls  · Tickers: SPY