It’s always the low conviction plays that moon 😮‍💨

Summary

• The post is a lamentation on the counterintuitive nature of retail trading, where high-conviction, large-size bets ("YOLO") often fail, while small, low-conviction bets unexpectedly yield massive returns.
• The author's thesis is that the market seems to move inversely to a retail trader's conviction level, rewarding casual, small bets and punishing heavily researched, large ones.
• Quality assessment: This is noise. The post is a purely anecdotal and emotional observation about trading psychology and luck, not a piece of research or due diligence.