SpaceX is a real company with substantial, growing revenue streams. It has already deployed over 10,000 satellites, operates the heaviest rocket ever made, brings astronauts to and from space, and is securing massive AI data center contracts (e.g., $1.25 billion per month from Anthropic). More than 90% of all tonnage sent to orbit recently has come from SpaceX, demonstrating its dominant, difficult-to-replicate position.
A SpaceX-Tesla merger is likely, driven by Elon Musk's desire and the deep crossover between the two companies in AI and connecting the physical world to AI. The Tesla board will likely go along, and the deal makes strategic sense given shared technologies like Optimus, FSD, and space data centers. A stock-for-stock transaction where SpaceX buys Tesla would be positive for Tesla shareholders.