u/Variant_Invest

Reddit r/options
· tracked since Mar 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-32.0%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
AVGO Short -32.0%
Most Mentioned
AVGO ×1
Recent Calls
AVGO Short 3 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -32.0% Long Return - Short Return -32.0%
Average Return
7d -7.3%
30d -39.0%
90d -21.4%
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Source
Short
Mar 28
$300.78
-32.0%
The author holds put options on AVGO, citing concerns over aggressive non-GAAP accounting masking true cash flow, execution risk in the $69B VMware integration, and concentration risk in its AI custom silicon business. The market's unanimous bullishness and high multiples leave the stock vulnerable if any of these risks materialize, creating an asymmetric opportunity for downside bets. The risk/reward favors a short position at current prices due to multiple points of potential failure that are not priced in. VMware synergies materialize faster than expected; AI custom silicon demand remains robust and captive; strong non-GAAP earnings continue to drive investor enthusiasm.
The author holds put options on AVGO, citing concerns over aggressive non-GAAP accounting masking true cash flow, execution risk in the $69B VMware integration, and concentration risk in its AI custom silicon business. The market's unanimous bullishness and high multiples leave the stock vulnerable if any of these risks materialize, creating an asymmetric opportunity for downside bets. The risk/reward favors a short position at current prices due to multiple points of potential failure that are not priced in. VMware synergies materialize faster than expected; AI custom silicon demand remains robust and captive; strong non-GAAP earnings continue to drive investor enthusiasm.
AI ASIC
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u/Variant_Invest has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: AVGO.