Calls
1
u/TheJok3r20
Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+5.5%
Loading charts...
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 01
$4.53
+5.5%
Management still guides $990M revenue, $380M EBITDA, $145M FCF despite losing 10-13% revenue from Avis; market cap is ~$700M. If remaining customers (Hertz, Enterprise) remain stable, the business still generates >$100M FCF, implying single-digit FCF yield expansion – a classic value opportunity if the sell-off is overdone. The 70% drop reflects worst-case scenario (all major customers leave), but current guidance and balance sheet (high debt but not distressed) suggest the market is mispricing the probability of recovery. Further contract losses (Hertz/Enterprise renegotiate or leave) or inability to service ~$1B net debt could trigger distress; the debt load limits downside protection.
Management still guides $990M revenue, $380M EBITDA, $145M FCF despite losing 10-13% revenue from Avis; market cap is ~$700M. If remaining customers (Hertz, Enterprise) remain stable, the business still generates >$100M FCF, implying single-digit FCF yield expansion – a classic value opportunity if the sell-off is overdone. The 70% drop reflects worst-case scenario (all major customers leave), but current guidance and balance sheet (high debt but not distressed) suggest the market is mispricing the probability of recovery. Further contract losses (Hertz/Enterprise renegotiate or leave) or inability to service ~$1B net debt could trigger distress; the debt load limits downside protection.
Construction & Infrastructure
Showing 1 of 1 calls · sorted by mentions
Choose a mentions count to open ticker posts.
u/TheJok3r20 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: VRRM.
