u/SpareSniper7

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since May 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+33.8%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
PYPL Long +33.8%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
PYPL ×1
Recent Calls
PYPL Long 2 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 0%
90d
Average Return +33.8% Long Return +33.8% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +0.8%
30d -4.1%
90d
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Result
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Side
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Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 26
$44.18
+33.8%
PayPal generates $6.4B in annual OCF, returns $6B via buybacks, and trades at $45 (46% discount to FY2026 intrinsic value). The market prices only the legacy wallet decline, ignoring Venmo ($1.7B rev, 20% growth), advertising platform, BNPL (better unit economics than Affirm), PYUSD, and Google partnership — all with upside not in models. Core business provides downside protection; growth drivers offer asymmetric upside, targeting 22% 5-year CAGR. Continued share loss to Apple Pay/Shop Pay, failure to monetize Venmo users (33M unconverted), regulatory clampdown on BNPL, or macro slowdown hurting transaction volumes.
PayPal generates $6.4B in annual OCF, returns $6B via buybacks, and trades at $45 (46% discount to FY2026 intrinsic value). The market prices only the legacy wallet decline, ignoring Venmo ($1.7B rev, 20% growth), advertising platform, BNPL (better unit economics than Affirm), PYUSD, and Google partnership — all with upside not in models. Core business provides downside protection; growth drivers offer asymmetric upside, targeting 22% 5-year CAGR. Continued share loss to Apple Pay/Shop Pay, failure to monetize Venmo users (33M unconverted), regulatory clampdown on BNPL, or macro slowdown hurting transaction volumes.
Payments & Fintech
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u/SpareSniper7 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: PYPL.