Calls
1
u/samvarr
Reddit r/wallstreetbets
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+17.9%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
May 19
$151.98
+17.9%
Oil spiked from $69 to ~$150 in a few months, and every major oil spike (Gulf War, Iraq War, Russia-Ukraine) has eventually retraced. Long-dated puts on USO (Dec 2028, $80 strike) allow time for the geopolitical premium to fade or for a recession to crush demand. Bet on mean reversion in oil prices as war/conflict ends and Trump’s policies lead to economic slowdown. Escalation in Middle East, prolonged supply cuts by OPEC+, or sustained inflation keeps oil elevated; USO contango can erode put value even if spot oil drops.
Oil spiked from $69 to ~$150 in a few months, and every major oil spike (Gulf War, Iraq War, Russia-Ukraine) has eventually retraced. Long-dated puts on USO (Dec 2028, $80 strike) allow time for the geopolitical premium to fade or for a recession to crush demand. Bet on mean reversion in oil prices as war/conflict ends and Trump’s policies lead to economic slowdown. Escalation in Middle East, prolonged supply cuts by OPEC+, or sustained inflation keeps oil elevated; USO contango can erode put value even if spot oil drops.
Commodities
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u/samvarr has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: BNO.
