Calls
1
u/Playful_Biscotti4738
Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+2.5%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jul 04
$390.49
+2.5%
Microsoft’s AI business reached $37B annualized revenue run rate (+123% YoY), Azure grew 40% in FY2026 Q3, and cloud revenue hit $54.5B. Market focuses on CapEx diluting FCF, but incremental revenue from AI/cloud already visible; DCF suggests ~50% upside if returns on capital prove attractive. Buy below $400 based on long-term earnings power from enterprise AI adoption and sticky ecosystem moat. AI CapEx fails to generate sufficient ROIC; hyperscale competition from AWS/GOOGL; margin compression from increased infrastructure spending.
Microsoft’s AI business reached $37B annualized revenue run rate (+123% YoY), Azure grew 40% in FY2026 Q3, and cloud revenue hit $54.5B. Market focuses on CapEx diluting FCF, but incremental revenue from AI/cloud already visible; DCF suggests ~50% upside if returns on capital prove attractive. Buy below $400 based on long-term earnings power from enterprise AI adoption and sticky ecosystem moat. AI CapEx fails to generate sufficient ROIC; hyperscale competition from AWS/GOOGL; margin compression from increased infrastructure spending.
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u/Playful_Biscotti4738 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since July 2026. Most covered: MSFT.
