Calls
3
u/nop--sled
Reddit r/stocks
Win Rate
33.3%
return
-2.5%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Mar 26
$652.35
-17.6%
Apollo's President cautioned about heightened risks of a US recession from a prolonged conflict. A recession would negatively impact the broad equity market. Stagflationary risk (lower growth, higher inflation) is a bearish macro environment for stocks. Conflict resolves quickly; resilient consumer and economy avoid recession.
Apollo's President cautioned about heightened risks of a US recession from a prolonged conflict. A recession would negatively impact the broad equity market. Stagflationary risk (lower growth, higher inflation) is a bearish macro environment for stocks. Conflict resolves quickly; resilient consumer and economy avoid recession.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 26
$86.50
-5.2%
Warnings of slowing growth/hit to growth and consumer distress could shift capital to safe-haven assets. In a risk-off environment fearing recession, long-duration Treasuries (TLT) could see inflows. The flight-to-safety trade is a potential hedge against the described economic risks. Persistently high inflation could force Fed to hold rates high, capping bond prices.
Warnings of slowing growth/hit to growth and consumer distress could shift capital to safe-haven assets. In a risk-off environment fearing recession, long-duration Treasuries (TLT) could see inflows. The flight-to-safety trade is a potential hedge against the described economic risks. Persistently high inflation could force Fed to hold rates high, capping bond prices.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 26
$116.78
+15.2%
Blackrock's Kapito warns oil may still spike to $150 a barrel due to disrupted supply chains from the Iran war. This creates a direct opportunity to go long oil. Geopolitical conflict and supply chain issues are a catalyst for higher oil prices. Swift end to conflict; faster-than-expected supply chain recovery; demand destruction.
Blackrock's Kapito warns oil may still spike to $150 a barrel due to disrupted supply chains from the Iran war. This creates a direct opportunity to go long oil. Geopolitical conflict and supply chain issues are a catalyst for higher oil prices. Swift end to conflict; faster-than-expected supply chain recovery; demand destruction.
Commodities
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u/nop--sled has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: SPY, TLT, BNO.
