Calls
2
u/MyNi_Redux
Reddit r/wallstreetbets
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-39.2%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Aug 16
$93.04
-31.0%
Author places high probability on MSTR falling to ~$40 in 8-12 weeks because MSTR is tied to Bitcoin. MSTR’s valuation is sensitive to both BTC price and mNav, so a BTC decline should compress the share price. Direct shorting MSTR is an alternative to MSTZ if the bearish thesis plays out. MSTR’s large USD reserve could slow the decline; Bitcoin may find a bottom sooner than expected.
Author places high probability on MSTR falling to ~$40 in 8-12 weeks because MSTR is tied to Bitcoin. MSTR’s valuation is sensitive to both BTC price and mNav, so a BTC decline should compress the share price. Direct shorting MSTR is an alternative to MSTZ if the bearish thesis plays out. MSTR’s large USD reserve could slow the decline; Bitcoin may find a bottom sooner than expected.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Aug 16
$11.77
-47.3%
Author expects Bitcoin to decline and MSTR to fall to ~$40 based on technicals and liquidity indicators. MSTZ is a leveraged inverse MSTR ETF, so it profits if MSTR drops. Long MSTZ is the author’s explicit intended vehicle to express the bearish MSTR view. Bitcoin could bottom sooner; Treasury yields could fall and spark a liquidity pump; MSTR’s USD reserves may limit downside.
Author expects Bitcoin to decline and MSTR to fall to ~$40 based on technicals and liquidity indicators. MSTZ is a leveraged inverse MSTR ETF, so it profits if MSTR drops. Long MSTZ is the author’s explicit intended vehicle to express the bearish MSTR view. Bitcoin could bottom sooner; Treasury yields could fall and spark a liquidity pump; MSTR’s USD reserves may limit downside.
Thematic ETFs
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u/MyNi_Redux has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since August 2026. Most covered: BTC, MSTZ.
