EBIT decline from higher wages, but revenue growing and marketing spend flat/decreasing; no debt; consistent high ROIC; shares at $31 with author’s target $35–45. Wide gap between consensus estimates and market price signals uncertainty, creating a potential mispricing opportunity for patient investors. Author sees a repeat of the BellRing Brands pattern – temporary headwinds masking underlying strength – and has already initiated a position at $30. Cash conversion cycle worsening (rising days inventory) could signal demand issues or bloated stock; foot traffic concerns may persist; further share price decline if earnings disappoint.
EBIT decline from higher wages, but revenue growing and marketing spend flat/decreasing; no debt; consistent high ROIC; shares at $31 with author’s target $35–45. Wide gap between consensus estimates and market price signals uncertainty, creating a potential mispricing opportunity for patient investors. Author sees a repeat of the BellRing Brands pattern – temporary headwinds masking underlying strength – and has already initiated a position at $30. Cash conversion cycle worsening (rising days inventory) could signal demand issues or bloated stock; foot traffic concerns may persist; further share price decline if earnings disappoint.