Coty trades at 5.9x EV/EBITDA vs. peers at 11-22x, with new CEO holding 6M stock options at $2.22 and insider purchases by President and CFO. The "interim" CEO tag is the key overhang; if Strobel is made permanent and the Consumer Beauty division is sold/restructured, multiple expansion to 8x (still a 33% discount to peers) implies ~100% upside to $4. This is a classic turnaround value play: a simple business (fragrance licensing), low market expectations, new operator CEO with skin in the game, and no near-term liquidity risk. Permanent CEO not appointed; Consumer Beauty continues to deteriorate; further CEO turnover; debt load and negative tangible book.
Coty trades at 5.9x EV/EBITDA vs. peers at 11-22x, with new CEO holding 6M stock options at $2.22 and insider purchases by President and CFO. The "interim" CEO tag is the key overhang; if Strobel is made permanent and the Consumer Beauty division is sold/restructured, multiple expansion to 8x (still a 33% discount to peers) implies ~100% upside to $4. This is a classic turnaround value play: a simple business (fragrance licensing), low market expectations, new operator CEO with skin in the game, and no near-term liquidity risk. Permanent CEO not appointed; Consumer Beauty continues to deteriorate; further CEO turnover; debt load and negative tangible book.