u/dragon_dudee

Reddit r/algotrading
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-18.5%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
VXX Long -18.5%
Most Mentioned
VIX ×1
Recent Calls
VXX Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 100%
90d 0%
Average Return -18.5% Long Return -18.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +9.7%
30d +41.3%
90d -9.7%
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Result
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Side
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Call Price
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 26
$27.72
-18.5%
The model can detect a "high correlation" regime with 96-98% accuracy over a 3-5 day horizon. This regime is characterized as "volatile." A rapid rise in correlation, even with low VIX, is an early warning of building systemic risk. When both VIX and correlation are high ("Systemic Panic"), it signals a confirmed volatile period. This environment is favorable for long volatility positions. A signal of high and rising inter-stock correlation is a high-probability indicator of an impending or ongoing volatile period. This provides a strong rationale for taking a long position on a volatility product like VXX. The sample size for this signal is small (N=50), meaning it's a rare event and its high accuracy might not hold in the future. Volatility products suffer from decay (contango), making timing critical.
The model can detect a "high correlation" regime with 96-98% accuracy over a 3-5 day horizon. This regime is characterized as "volatile." A rapid rise in correlation, even with low VIX, is an early warning of building systemic risk. When both VIX and correlation are high ("Systemic Panic"), it signals a confirmed volatile period. This environment is favorable for long volatility positions. A signal of high and rising inter-stock correlation is a high-probability indicator of an impending or ongoing volatile period. This provides a strong rationale for taking a long position on a volatility product like VXX. The sample size for this signal is small (N=50), meaning it's a rare event and its high accuracy might not hold in the future. Volatility products suffer from decay (contango), making timing critical.
Volatility
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u/dragon_dudee has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since February 2026. Most covered: VIX.