Calls
11
#301
Alpha Score 71.3
Savita Subramanian
Head of US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, Bank of America
Win Rate
72.7%
return
+2.9%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 09
$214.14
+8.5%
I think we are in a point where you want to play the stagflation playbook. A little known fact, one of the best-performing indices during the 70's for inflation was large-cap value. In a stagflationary environment characterized by sticky inflation and rising interest rates, long-duration growth stocks suffer severe multiple compression. Large-cap value stocks, which typically have near-term cash flows, strong balance sheets, and pricing power, become the optimal safe haven for equity allocations. LONG If the oil shock causes a deep, immediate recession rather than stagflation, value stocks (which are often economically sensitive) could still suffer absolute drawdowns.
I think we are in a point where you want to play the stagflation playbook. A little known fact, one of the best-performing indices during the 70's for inflation was large-cap value. In a stagflationary environment characterized by sticky inflation and rising interest rates, long-duration growth stocks suffer severe multiple compression. Large-cap value stocks, which typically have near-term cash flows, strong balance sheets, and pricing power, become the optimal safe haven for equity allocations. LONG If the oil shock causes a deep, immediate recession rather than stagflation, value stocks (which are often economically sensitive) could still suffer absolute drawdowns.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 11
$50.13
+2.5%
Materials sector is attractive for similar reasons as energy: rising inflation, AI-driven infrastructure build, and commodity upside, making it a strong cyclical play.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 11
$58.40
-0.0%
Energy stocks benefit from higher nominal GDP growth, inflation protection, and are more than just a geopolitical hedge; power is the bottleneck for AI, driving commodity demand and making energy an attractive sector.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 02
$625.83
-12.7%
The U.S. economy is running very healthy, corporate earnings are tracking 20% growth, and hyperscaler capex provides stability. Cyclical, GDP-sensitive companies remain cheap and offer the best risk/reward in a strong nominal GDP environment. This is the area of the market to favor over the next 12 months and beyond.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 02
$183.36
+0.0%
The U.S. economy is running very healthy, corporate earnings are tracking 20% growth, and hyperscaler capex provides stability. Cyclical, GDP-sensitive companies remain cheap and offer the best risk/reward in a strong nominal GDP environment. This is the area of the market to favor over the next 12 months and beyond.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 11
$29.16
+1.0%
Commodities broadly are bullish because AI power demands and building activity will drive increased demand across various raw materials, creating a tailwind for the asset class.
Commodities
Long
Jun 11
$85.61
-0.3%
Consumer staples are favored over consumer discretionary because the consumer is under pressure from higher prices and AI's impact on higher-paying jobs is pausing, while lower-income cohorts see wage growth, making staples safer.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 21
$52.79
+7.7%
Tech and financials are sectors where many stocks have been rejected due to geopolitical risk and have not come back, presenting idiosyncratic opportunities. She also suggests buying dips in tech.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 21
$155.57
+11.8%
Tech and financials are sectors where many stocks have been rejected due to geopolitical risk and have not come back, presenting idiosyncratic opportunities. She also suggests buying dips in tech.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 09
$198.18
+12.1%
I think we are in a point where you want to play the stagflation playbook. A little known fact, one of the best-performing indices during the 70's for inflation was large-cap value. In a stagflationary environment characterized by sticky inflation and rising interest rates, long-duration growth stocks suffer severe multiple compression. Large-cap value stocks, which typically have near-term cash flows, strong balance sheets, and pricing power, become the optimal safe haven for equity allocations. LONG If the oil shock causes a deep, immediate recession rather than stagflation, value stocks (which are often economically sensitive) could still suffer absolute drawdowns.
I think we are in a point where you want to play the stagflation playbook. A little known fact, one of the best-performing indices during the 70's for inflation was large-cap value. In a stagflationary environment characterized by sticky inflation and rising interest rates, long-duration growth stocks suffer severe multiple compression. Large-cap value stocks, which typically have near-term cash flows, strong balance sheets, and pricing power, become the optimal safe haven for equity allocations. LONG If the oil shock causes a deep, immediate recession rather than stagflation, value stocks (which are often economically sensitive) could still suffer absolute drawdowns.
Equity Indexes
Short
Mar 09
$112.42
+1.2%
We are underweight consumer discretionary, I think the consumer is not going to do as well this year in terms of spending on once over needs. Gasoline prices approaching $4 to $5 a gallon act as a massive regressive tax on the consumer. As household budgets are consumed by non-discretionary energy and food costs, spending on retail, leisure, and big-ticket items will plummet. SHORT Fiscal stimulus (like a gas tax holiday) or a rapid drop in oil prices could quickly restore consumer purchasing power.
We are underweight consumer discretionary, I think the consumer is not going to do as well this year in terms of spending on once over needs. Gasoline prices approaching $4 to $5 a gallon act as a massive regressive tax on the consumer. As household budgets are consumed by non-discretionary energy and food costs, spending on retail, leisure, and big-ticket items will plummet. SHORT Fiscal stimulus (like a gas tax holiday) or a rapid drop in oil prices could quickly restore consumer purchasing power.
Thematic ETFs
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Savita Subramanian has 11 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 11 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #301 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: IVE, XLE, XLB.
