MLCC super cycle benefits Samsung Electro-Mechanics
MLCC super cycle driven by AI server demand is causing severe supply shortages, with record BB ratios and lead times extending beyond 18 weeks. Samsung Electro-Mechanics is a prime beneficiary, having raised prices 10-20% and poised for strong earnings upgrades. After a 65% drawdown, valuations at 35x forward look attractive relative to historical peaks of 70-90x, and the cycle could last at least 1.5 years, pushing MLCC prices towards 8 won.
Cosmax, the global #1 cosmetics ODM, is experiencing strong US indie brand growth (+35% YoY), expansion into Europe via a new subsidiary, and record quarterly revenue. Margins are stable and the stock trades at only 14x forward P/E, well below its historical 18-20x range, offering a re-rating opportunity as second-half earnings accelerate.