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#650 Alpha Score 35.8

Mike Lawler

US Congressman
@RepMikeLawler · tracked since Mar 2026
650
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Alpha Score 35.8
Calls
6
Win Rate
16.7%
return
-5.7%
Calls 6 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
GD Long +4.9%
Worst Calls
LMT Long -21.0%
OXY Long -6.5%
RTX Long -5.7%
Most Mentioned
XLE ×1
CVX ×1
LMT ×1
Recent Calls
GD Long 4 months ago
RTX Long 4 months ago
LMT Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 17% Long 6 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 0%
90d 17%
Average Return -5.7% Long Return -5.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -0.4%
30d -4.2%
90d -7.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 15
$198.01
-5.2%
The strait remains closed, and we see energy coming to a standstill... the president has taken aggressive action against Iran's naval fleet, obliterating it, as well as going after their military capacity and capability on Karg Island. Kharg Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal, and the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. The physical closure of the strait and kinetic strikes on Iranian infrastructure represent a massive global supply shock. This will force major buyers like China to source oil elsewhere, driving up global crude prices and benefiting US domestic producers who are insulated from Middle East geopolitical risks. LONG major domestic energy producers and broad energy equities that benefit from a sudden spike in global oil prices. Diplomatic intervention by China or European nations successfully reopens the strait, or OPEC rapidly deploys spare capacity to offset the supply deficit.
The strait remains closed, and we see energy coming to a standstill... the president has taken aggressive action against Iran's naval fleet, obliterating it, as well as going after their military capacity and capability on Karg Island. Kharg Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal, and the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. The physical closure of the strait and kinetic strikes on Iranian infrastructure represent a massive global supply shock. This will force major buyers like China to source oil elsewhere, driving up global crude prices and benefiting US domestic producers who are insulated from Middle East geopolitical risks. LONG major domestic energy producers and broad energy equities that benefit from a sudden spike in global oil prices. Diplomatic intervention by China or European nations successfully reopens the strait, or OPEC rapidly deploys spare capacity to offset the supply deficit.
Oil & Gas
Long
Mar 15
$351.52
+4.9%
The administration and president Trump took decisive action last summer striking three nuclear facilities... president Trump and our armed forces are making a necessary, difficult but necessary decision to take out the threat. The US is actively engaged in a hot conflict, launching strikes against Iranian nuclear sites, naval assets, and ballistic missile infrastructure. Sustained military operations of this scale require massive expenditures on munitions, aerospace assets, and defense systems, directly flowing to the top lines of prime US defense contractors. LONG major US defense prime contractors as military engagement in the Middle East escalates and requires continuous material replenishment. A sudden regime collapse in Iran or a rapid diplomatic de-escalation that halts US military operations and subsequent defense spending.
The administration and president Trump took decisive action last summer striking three nuclear facilities... president Trump and our armed forces are making a necessary, difficult but necessary decision to take out the threat. The US is actively engaged in a hot conflict, launching strikes against Iranian nuclear sites, naval assets, and ballistic missile infrastructure. Sustained military operations of this scale require massive expenditures on munitions, aerospace assets, and defense systems, directly flowing to the top lines of prime US defense contractors. LONG major US defense prime contractors as military engagement in the Middle East escalates and requires continuous material replenishment. A sudden regime collapse in Iran or a rapid diplomatic de-escalation that halts US military operations and subsequent defense spending.
Defense
Long
Mar 15
$645.00
-21.0%
The administration and president Trump took decisive action last summer striking three nuclear facilities... president Trump and our armed forces are making a necessary, difficult but necessary decision to take out the threat. The US is actively engaged in a hot conflict, launching strikes against Iranian nuclear sites, naval assets, and ballistic missile infrastructure. Sustained military operations of this scale require massive expenditures on munitions, aerospace assets, and defense systems, directly flowing to the top lines of prime US defense contractors. LONG major US defense prime contractors as military engagement in the Middle East escalates and requires continuous material replenishment. A sudden regime collapse in Iran or a rapid diplomatic de-escalation that halts US military operations and subsequent defense spending.
The administration and president Trump took decisive action last summer striking three nuclear facilities... president Trump and our armed forces are making a necessary, difficult but necessary decision to take out the threat. The US is actively engaged in a hot conflict, launching strikes against Iranian nuclear sites, naval assets, and ballistic missile infrastructure. Sustained military operations of this scale require massive expenditures on munitions, aerospace assets, and defense systems, directly flowing to the top lines of prime US defense contractors. LONG major US defense prime contractors as military engagement in the Middle East escalates and requires continuous material replenishment. A sudden regime collapse in Iran or a rapid diplomatic de-escalation that halts US military operations and subsequent defense spending.
Defense
Long
Mar 15
$58.74
-6.5%
The strait remains closed, and we see energy coming to a standstill... the president has taken aggressive action against Iran's naval fleet, obliterating it, as well as going after their military capacity and capability on Karg Island. Kharg Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal, and the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. The physical closure of the strait and kinetic strikes on Iranian infrastructure represent a massive global supply shock. This will force major buyers like China to source oil elsewhere, driving up global crude prices and benefiting US domestic producers who are insulated from Middle East geopolitical risks. LONG major domestic energy producers and broad energy equities that benefit from a sudden spike in global oil prices. Diplomatic intervention by China or European nations successfully reopens the strait, or OPEC rapidly deploys spare capacity to offset the supply deficit.
The strait remains closed, and we see energy coming to a standstill... the president has taken aggressive action against Iran's naval fleet, obliterating it, as well as going after their military capacity and capability on Karg Island. Kharg Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal, and the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. The physical closure of the strait and kinetic strikes on Iranian infrastructure represent a massive global supply shock. This will force major buyers like China to source oil elsewhere, driving up global crude prices and benefiting US domestic producers who are insulated from Middle East geopolitical risks. LONG major domestic energy producers and broad energy equities that benefit from a sudden spike in global oil prices. Diplomatic intervention by China or European nations successfully reopens the strait, or OPEC rapidly deploys spare capacity to offset the supply deficit.
Oil & Gas
Long
Mar 15
$205.64
-5.7%
The administration and president Trump took decisive action last summer striking three nuclear facilities... president Trump and our armed forces are making a necessary, difficult but necessary decision to take out the threat. The US is actively engaged in a hot conflict, launching strikes against Iranian nuclear sites, naval assets, and ballistic missile infrastructure. Sustained military operations of this scale require massive expenditures on munitions, aerospace assets, and defense systems, directly flowing to the top lines of prime US defense contractors. LONG major US defense prime contractors as military engagement in the Middle East escalates and requires continuous material replenishment. A sudden regime collapse in Iran or a rapid diplomatic de-escalation that halts US military operations and subsequent defense spending.
The administration and president Trump took decisive action last summer striking three nuclear facilities... president Trump and our armed forces are making a necessary, difficult but necessary decision to take out the threat. The US is actively engaged in a hot conflict, launching strikes against Iranian nuclear sites, naval assets, and ballistic missile infrastructure. Sustained military operations of this scale require massive expenditures on munitions, aerospace assets, and defense systems, directly flowing to the top lines of prime US defense contractors. LONG major US defense prime contractors as military engagement in the Middle East escalates and requires continuous material replenishment. A sudden regime collapse in Iran or a rapid diplomatic de-escalation that halts US military operations and subsequent defense spending.
Defense
Long
Mar 15
$58.25
-0.7%
The strait remains closed, and we see energy coming to a standstill... the president has taken aggressive action against Iran's naval fleet, obliterating it, as well as going after their military capacity and capability on Karg Island. Kharg Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal, and the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. The physical closure of the strait and kinetic strikes on Iranian infrastructure represent a massive global supply shock. This will force major buyers like China to source oil elsewhere, driving up global crude prices and benefiting US domestic producers who are insulated from Middle East geopolitical risks. LONG major domestic energy producers and broad energy equities that benefit from a sudden spike in global oil prices. Diplomatic intervention by China or European nations successfully reopens the strait, or OPEC rapidly deploys spare capacity to offset the supply deficit.
The strait remains closed, and we see energy coming to a standstill... the president has taken aggressive action against Iran's naval fleet, obliterating it, as well as going after their military capacity and capability on Karg Island. Kharg Island is Iran's primary oil export terminal, and the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint. The physical closure of the strait and kinetic strikes on Iranian infrastructure represent a massive global supply shock. This will force major buyers like China to source oil elsewhere, driving up global crude prices and benefiting US domestic producers who are insulated from Middle East geopolitical risks. LONG major domestic energy producers and broad energy equities that benefit from a sudden spike in global oil prices. Diplomatic intervention by China or European nations successfully reopens the strait, or OPEC rapidly deploys spare capacity to offset the supply deficit.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 6 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

Mike Lawler has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #650 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: XLE, CVX, LMT.