#969 Alpha Score 7.4

KawzInvests

Author, Asymmetrical Bets (Substack)
@kawzinvests · tracked since Mar 2026
969
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Alpha Score 7.4
Calls
57
Win Rate
29.8%
return
-6.4%
Calls 57 1137 Posts tracked · 8.2/day Posted today
Calls
7d 1
30d 6
90d 30
Best Calls
AMD Long +147.9%
MRVL Long +104.9%
TSEM Long +78.9%
Worst Calls
AXTI Long -66.5%
WOLF Long -60.4%
AVEX Long -60.2%
Most Mentioned
AAOI ×25
NOK ×17
LITE ×13
Recent Calls
NVEC Long 4 days ago
SMTC Long 2 weeks ago
DOCN Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 30% Long 57 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 53%
30d 53%
90d 67%
Average Return -6.4% Long Return -6.4% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +1.4%
30d +10.4%
90d +28.9%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 13
$102.90
-5.7%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 13
$9.79
-5.5%
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
Buy Nokia as it benefits from massive hyperscaler spending on optical networks, which are currently a bottleneck, alongside a new AI-RAN revenue stream from its Nvidia partnership.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$626.00
+13.4%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$245.90
+9.8%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 13
$341.60
+9.9%
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
Upcoming NVIDIA GTC and OFC conferences are expected to drive significant interest in optical networking and AI infrastructure stocks.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 14
$87.38
+40.8%
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
Buy SLOIF due to its monopoly supplying silicon photonics substrates to major foundries, with 4x content per device as the market shifts from pluggable transceivers to CPO engines.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Mar 16
$184.33
+6.5%
SK Hynix's exclusive technical alignment with Nvidia for HBM4 production signals strong growth potential for both companies.
SK Hynix's exclusive technical alignment with Nvidia for HBM4 production signals strong growth potential for both companies.
AI Compute
Long
May 18
$45.91
+13.2%
Buy PENG on board transformation signal: David Heard’s optical networking expertise plus ties to Lumentum and AMD suggest strategic positioning in photonics.
Buy PENG on board transformation signal: David Heard’s optical networking expertise plus ties to Lumentum and AMD suggest strategic positioning in photonics.
AI Hardware
Long
Jun 22
$116.80
-36.6%
Buy Aehr Test Systems as a named pick in author's AI power semiconductor thesis; Aehr provides wafer-level burn-in test equipment for SiC devices, positioned to benefit from rising SiC production volumes for 800V DC data center power conversion.
Buy Aehr Test Systems as a named pick in author's AI power semiconductor thesis; Aehr provides wafer-level burn-in test equipment for SiC devices, positioned to benefit from rising SiC production volumes for 800V DC data center power conversion.
Foundry Equipment
Long
May 02
$5.43
+54.3%
Buy BB for its embedded QNX OS dominance in automotive and defense, with royalty model and $950M backlog driving compounding revenue growth.
Buy BB for its embedded QNX OS dominance in automotive and defense, with royalty model and $950M backlog driving compounding revenue growth.
Cybersecurity
Long
Apr 20
$38.28
-60.2%
Long AVEX due to severe relative undervaluation, boasting 9x the revenue of peers at a lower market cap and a highly visible $503M funded backlog.
Long AVEX due to severe relative undervaluation, boasting 9x the revenue of peers at a lower market cap and a highly visible $503M funded backlog.
Defense
Long
Apr 13
$38.81
-48.5%
Buy FLY as it is significantly undervalued relative to peer RKLB, trading at 13x forward revenue versus 45x, and possesses a recently acquired, profitable $164M EBITDA-positive business that the market is overlooking.
Buy FLY as it is significantly undervalued relative to peer RKLB, trading at 13x forward revenue versus 45x, and possesses a recently acquired, profitable $164M EBITDA-positive business that the market is overlooking.
Space
Long
Apr 13
$147.70
+40.1%
Buy CRDO as its acquisition of DustPhotonics directly mitigates the existential threat to its AEC business from the shift to silicon photonics, strengthening its competitive positioning and technology roadmap.
Buy CRDO as its acquisition of DustPhotonics directly mitigates the existential threat to its AEC business from the shift to silicon photonics, strengthening its competitive positioning and technology roadmap.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 12
$9.79
-26.9%
Go long OPTX as it is one of the only domestic polymer optics manufacturers that qualifies under NDAA Section 834 and Anduril's strict anti-China sourcing policies.
Go long OPTX as it is one of the only domestic polymer optics manufacturers that qualifies under NDAA Section 834 and Anduril's strict anti-China sourcing policies.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 27
$34.58
+12.4%
Viavi Solutions is positioned as a critical infrastructure provider for high-speed AI optical networks.
Viavi Solutions is positioned as a critical infrastructure provider for high-speed AI optical networks.
AI Photonics
Showing 15 of 57 calls · sorted by mentions

KawzInvests has 57 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 57 tickers since March 2026. Win rate 30% across 57 evaluated calls, average return -6.4%. Ranked #969 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AAOI, NOK, LITE.