Calls
24
#419
Alpha Score 58.6
Felix Jauvin
Co-Host, Forward Guidance
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+0.2%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 14
$27.86
+1.7%
Long the US Dollar, as the author strongly endorses the technical view that the DXY is breaking a major resistance level, which is expected to lead to significant further strength.
Long the US Dollar, as the author strongly endorses the technical view that the DXY is breaking a major resistance level, which is expected to lead to significant further strength.
FX & Currencies
Long
Jan 20
$437.23
-15.7%
1. THE FACT: "Dollar down, Equities down, Yields up, Gold up. Welcome back capital outflow doom loop."
2. THE BRIDGE: The observation of a "capital outflow doom loop" where gold is up suggests continued upward pressure on the metal.
3. THE VERDICT: Long Gold due to observed capital outflow and its current upward trend.
1. THE FACT: "Dollar down, Equities down, Yields up, Gold up. Welcome back capital outflow doom loop."
2. THE BRIDGE: The observation of a "capital outflow doom loop" where gold is up suggests continued upward pressure on the metal.
3. THE VERDICT: Long Gold due to observed capital outflow and its current upward trend.
Commodities
Long
Feb 13
$683.76
+8.7%
The author's macro framework suggests a recent, unacknowledged recession has concluded, and the economy is now in a recovery phase, which is bullish for broad equities.
The author's macro framework suggests a recent, unacknowledged recession has concluded, and the economy is now in a recovery phase, which is bullish for broad equities.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 05
$96.31
+28.7%
The author believes the commodity forward curve (likely oil) is mispricing the duration of supply shortages, creating an opportunity for longer-dated contracts to reprice higher.
The author believes the commodity forward curve (likely oil) is mispricing the duration of supply shortages, creating an opportunity for longer-dated contracts to reprice higher.
Commodities
Long
Feb 27
$406.37
+36.7%
The author believes the AI/compute sector will continue to expand as increased capacity creates new use cases and demand, forming a self-reinforcing growth cycle.
The author believes the AI/compute sector will continue to expand as increased capacity creates new use cases and demand, forming a self-reinforcing growth cycle.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 10
$71810.00
-9.9%
Speaker stated, "Bitcoin's diverging from software now... Bitcoin's actually sniffing out maybe some global liquidity relief." He tied this to Trump needing to "pull some rabbits out of his hat" for the midterms. The anticipation of stimulative policy actions from the Trump administration to improve economic/political prospects could boost global liquidity, which Bitcoin is perceived to benefit from. LONG Bitcoin as a tactical bet on forthcoming policy responses that increase liquidity and risk appetite. No policy materializes, liquidity conditions tighten, or Bitcoin fails to act as a liquidity proxy.
Speaker stated, "Bitcoin's diverging from software now... Bitcoin's actually sniffing out maybe some global liquidity relief." He tied this to Trump needing to "pull some rabbits out of his hat" for the midterms. The anticipation of stimulative policy actions from the Trump administration to improve economic/political prospects could boost global liquidity, which Bitcoin is perceived to benefit from. LONG Bitcoin as a tactical bet on forthcoming policy responses that increase liquidity and risk appetite. No policy materializes, liquidity conditions tighten, or Bitcoin fails to act as a liquidity proxy.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 26
$87.35
-3.2%
We are traversing peak inflation and peak growth for the year. Long-end yields are plummeting because the market sees no growth or persistent inflation problems. The Fed is unlikely to hike after July, and the yield curve is flattening rapidly, supporting a sustained bond rally.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 31
$68.11
-10.5%
Buy HYPE as author views it as the standout token in a deteriorating landscape, citing superior tokenomics and genuine team/token alignment as structural differentiators driving outperformance during the current crypto churn cycle.
Buy HYPE as author views it as the standout token in a deteriorating landscape, citing superior tokenomics and genuine team/token alignment as structural differentiators driving outperformance during the current crypto churn cycle.
Crypto Assets
Short
May 08
$79434.00
+18.5%
Gold has strong catalysts from China buying, inflation, and policy uncertainty, while Bitcoin lacks similar support. Selling Bitcoin to buy gold is a favorable rotation.
Crypto Assets
Long
Apr 14
$194.22
+4.4%
Go long dominant GPU providers as frontier AI models outpace available compute supply, making compute scarcity the primary actionable theme in the AI sector.
Go long dominant GPU providers as frontier AI models outpace available compute supply, making compute scarcity the primary actionable theme in the AI sector.
AI Compute
Long
Mar 20
$26.82
+3.8%
Felix states his "big big trade is the agricultural stuff" and prefers the base commodities over fertilizer equities. Agricultural commodities encapsulate spiking input costs (fuel, fertilizer) while farm profit margins are at multi-year lows, limiting supply growth. Demand is highly inelastic compared to energy. Higher prices are the necessary "cure" to balance the market, creating an asymmetric long setup, especially during the critical spring planting season. A sudden collapse in energy prices that rapidly reduces production costs and improves farm economics.
Felix states his "big big trade is the agricultural stuff" and prefers the base commodities over fertilizer equities. Agricultural commodities encapsulate spiking input costs (fuel, fertilizer) while farm profit margins are at multi-year lows, limiting supply growth. Demand is highly inelastic compared to energy. Higher prices are the necessary "cure" to balance the market, creating an asymmetric long setup, especially during the critical spring planting season. A sudden collapse in energy prices that rapidly reduces production costs and improves farm economics.
Commodities
Short
Mar 20
$129.34
-25.7%
Felix states he is "short Japan, short South Korea, short Europe." These regions are most exposed to the Hormuz Strait energy shock (high import dependence) and have central banks with limited flexibility to support growth, creating an economic vulnerability. Their equities are more effective shorts than broad U.S. indices like the NASDAQ to express a view on the global energy crisis. A swift de-escalation and reopening of the Strait, coupled with massive, coordinated global central bank stimulus.
Felix states he is "short Japan, short South Korea, short Europe." These regions are most exposed to the Hormuz Strait energy shock (high import dependence) and have central banks with limited flexibility to support growth, creating an economic vulnerability. Their equities are more effective shorts than broad U.S. indices like the NASDAQ to express a view on the global energy crisis. A swift de-escalation and reopening of the Strait, coupled with massive, coordinated global central bank stimulus.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 20
$12.27
-14.3%
Felix explicitly states he is "still really long the natural gas torqued equities in the US, long the coal equities." The destruction of major LNG export infrastructure (Qatar) is a multi-year, multi-billion dollar problem that structurally removes supply, making other global energy assets more valuable. These equities are positioned to benefit from persistent energy supply shocks and the resulting higher price environment. A rapid, peaceful resolution to Middle East conflicts that restores supply flows and market confidence.
Felix explicitly states he is "still really long the natural gas torqued equities in the US, long the coal equities." The destruction of major LNG export infrastructure (Qatar) is a multi-year, multi-billion dollar problem that structurally removes supply, making other global energy assets more valuable. These equities are positioned to benefit from persistent energy supply shocks and the resulting higher price environment. A rapid, peaceful resolution to Middle East conflicts that restores supply flows and market confidence.
Commodities
Long
Mar 14
$30.00
-6.5%
The author is bullish on natural gas producers, likely anticipating that geopolitical conflict will disrupt global energy supply and drive up commodity prices.
The author is bullish on natural gas producers, likely anticipating that geopolitical conflict will disrupt global energy supply and drive up commodity prices.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Mar 14
$23.90
-27.4%
The author expects airline stocks to fall, likely due to the negative impact of rising oil prices (a consequence of geopolitical conflict) on unhedged carriers' fuel costs.
The author expects airline stocks to fall, likely due to the negative impact of rising oil prices (a consequence of geopolitical conflict) on unhedged carriers' fuel costs.
Thematic ETFs
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Felix Jauvin has 24 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 22 tickers since November 2025. Win rate 50% across 24 evaluated calls, average return +0.2%. Ranked #419 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: DXY, GOLD, SPY.
