#257 Alpha Score 80.2

Duncan Trenholme

Co-Head of Digital Assets, TP ICAP
@DuncanTrenholme · tracked since Mar 2026
257
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Alpha Score 80.2
Calls
7
Win Rate
83.3%
return
+17.6%
Calls 7 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
STT Long +46.8%
BEN Long +21.9%
ETH Long +21.0%
Worst Calls
COIN Long -5.6%
Most Mentioned
ETH ×1
SOL ×1
COIN ×1
Recent Calls
BEN Long 6 months ago
BLK Long 6 months ago
SOL Long 6 months ago
Win Rate 83% Long 7 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 43%
30d 29%
90d 50%
Average Return +17.6% Long Return +17.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -2.1%
30d -3.1%
90d +5.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 02
$27.00
+21.9%
TP ICAP is preparing infrastructure for when banks and asset managers "issue new products as tokens, whether that's a money market fund, whether that's equities." This explicitly references the Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization trend. BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN) are the first-movers in tokenizing money market funds on public blockchains. As the secondary market infrastructure (provided by TP ICAP) matures, these issuers will see AUM growth in their tokenized products. Long the asset managers leading the tokenization race. Slow regulatory approval for secondary trading of tokenized securities.
TP ICAP is preparing infrastructure for when banks and asset managers "issue new products as tokens, whether that's a money market fund, whether that's equities." This explicitly references the Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization trend. BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN) are the first-movers in tokenizing money market funds on public blockchains. As the secondary market infrastructure (provided by TP ICAP) matures, these issuers will see AUM growth in their tokenized products. Long the asset managers leading the tokenization race. Slow regulatory approval for secondary trading of tokenized securities.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 02
$119.47
-
Trenholme states the new model allows clients to "settle against us from any custodian in the market and their custodian of choice." This "custodian agnostic" approach is a massive catalyst for the largest institutional custodians. As trading friction drops, the velocity of assets held at BNY Mellon, State Street, and Coinbase Prime will increase, driving higher custody and settlement fees without requiring the custodians to take execution risk. Long the custody layer as the primary beneficiaries of the "unlocked" institutional capital. Fee compression in the custody sector or a shift toward self-custody technologies (MPC) bypassing third parties.
Trenholme states the new model allows clients to "settle against us from any custodian in the market and their custodian of choice." This "custodian agnostic" approach is a massive catalyst for the largest institutional custodians. As trading friction drops, the velocity of assets held at BNY Mellon, State Street, and Coinbase Prime will increase, driving higher custody and settlement fees without requiring the custodians to take execution risk. Long the custody layer as the primary beneficiaries of the "unlocked" institutional capital. Fee compression in the custody sector or a shift toward self-custody technologies (MPC) bypassing third parties.
Banks
Long
Mar 02
$1068.31
+3.7%
TP ICAP is preparing infrastructure for when banks and asset managers "issue new products as tokens, whether that's a money market fund, whether that's equities." This explicitly references the Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization trend. BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN) are the first-movers in tokenizing money market funds on public blockchains. As the secondary market infrastructure (provided by TP ICAP) matures, these issuers will see AUM growth in their tokenized products. Long the asset managers leading the tokenization race. Slow regulatory approval for secondary trading of tokenized securities.
TP ICAP is preparing infrastructure for when banks and asset managers "issue new products as tokens, whether that's a money market fund, whether that's equities." This explicitly references the Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization trend. BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN) are the first-movers in tokenizing money market funds on public blockchains. As the secondary market infrastructure (provided by TP ICAP) matures, these issuers will see AUM growth in their tokenized products. Long the asset managers leading the tokenization race. Slow regulatory approval for secondary trading of tokenized securities.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 02
$185.24
-5.6%
Trenholme states the new model allows clients to "settle against us from any custodian in the market and their custodian of choice." This "custodian agnostic" approach is a massive catalyst for the largest institutional custodians. As trading friction drops, the velocity of assets held at BNY Mellon, State Street, and Coinbase Prime will increase, driving higher custody and settlement fees without requiring the custodians to take execution risk. Long the custody layer as the primary beneficiaries of the "unlocked" institutional capital. Fee compression in the custody sector or a shift toward self-custody technologies (MPC) bypassing third parties.
Trenholme states the new model allows clients to "settle against us from any custodian in the market and their custodian of choice." This "custodian agnostic" approach is a massive catalyst for the largest institutional custodians. As trading friction drops, the velocity of assets held at BNY Mellon, State Street, and Coinbase Prime will increase, driving higher custody and settlement fees without requiring the custodians to take execution risk. Long the custody layer as the primary beneficiaries of the "unlocked" institutional capital. Fee compression in the custody sector or a shift toward self-custody technologies (MPC) bypassing third parties.
Crypto Infrastructure
Long
Mar 02
$1964.51
+21.0%
The speaker predicts a "parallel on-chain spot FX market" driven by the interchange between different currency stablecoins (e.g., HKD stablecoin to USD stablecoin) to bypass expensive fiat rails. A thriving on-chain FX market requires high-throughput, secure settlement layers. While stablecoin issuers benefit, the underlying blockchains (L1s) capture the gas fees and network value of this increased transaction density. Ethereum and Solana are the dominant rails for stablecoin issuance. Long the L1 infrastructure that hosts these forex flows. Regulatory crackdowns on non-USD stablecoins or the emergence of private bank chains (like JPM Coin) that bypass public blockchains.
The speaker predicts a "parallel on-chain spot FX market" driven by the interchange between different currency stablecoins (e.g., HKD stablecoin to USD stablecoin) to bypass expensive fiat rails. A thriving on-chain FX market requires high-throughput, secure settlement layers. While stablecoin issuers benefit, the underlying blockchains (L1s) capture the gas fees and network value of this increased transaction density. Ethereum and Solana are the dominant rails for stablecoin issuance. Long the L1 infrastructure that hosts these forex flows. Regulatory crackdowns on non-USD stablecoins or the emergence of private bank chains (like JPM Coin) that bypass public blockchains.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 02
$84.35
+17.6%
The speaker predicts a "parallel on-chain spot FX market" driven by the interchange between different currency stablecoins (e.g., HKD stablecoin to USD stablecoin) to bypass expensive fiat rails. A thriving on-chain FX market requires high-throughput, secure settlement layers. While stablecoin issuers benefit, the underlying blockchains (L1s) capture the gas fees and network value of this increased transaction density. Ethereum and Solana are the dominant rails for stablecoin issuance. Long the L1 infrastructure that hosts these forex flows. Regulatory crackdowns on non-USD stablecoins or the emergence of private bank chains (like JPM Coin) that bypass public blockchains.
The speaker predicts a "parallel on-chain spot FX market" driven by the interchange between different currency stablecoins (e.g., HKD stablecoin to USD stablecoin) to bypass expensive fiat rails. A thriving on-chain FX market requires high-throughput, secure settlement layers. While stablecoin issuers benefit, the underlying blockchains (L1s) capture the gas fees and network value of this increased transaction density. Ethereum and Solana are the dominant rails for stablecoin issuance. Long the L1 infrastructure that hosts these forex flows. Regulatory crackdowns on non-USD stablecoins or the emergence of private bank chains (like JPM Coin) that bypass public blockchains.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 02
$129.46
+46.8%
Trenholme states the new model allows clients to "settle against us from any custodian in the market and their custodian of choice." This "custodian agnostic" approach is a massive catalyst for the largest institutional custodians. As trading friction drops, the velocity of assets held at BNY Mellon, State Street, and Coinbase Prime will increase, driving higher custody and settlement fees without requiring the custodians to take execution risk. Long the custody layer as the primary beneficiaries of the "unlocked" institutional capital. Fee compression in the custody sector or a shift toward self-custody technologies (MPC) bypassing third parties.
Trenholme states the new model allows clients to "settle against us from any custodian in the market and their custodian of choice." This "custodian agnostic" approach is a massive catalyst for the largest institutional custodians. As trading friction drops, the velocity of assets held at BNY Mellon, State Street, and Coinbase Prime will increase, driving higher custody and settlement fees without requiring the custodians to take execution risk. Long the custody layer as the primary beneficiaries of the "unlocked" institutional capital. Fee compression in the custody sector or a shift toward self-custody technologies (MPC) bypassing third parties.
Banks
Showing 7 of 7 calls · sorted by mentions

Duncan Trenholme has 7 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 7 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #257 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ETH, SOL, COIN.