#1160 Alpha Score 5.4

crux_capital_

Independent Photonics & AI Infrastructure Researcher
@crux_capital_ · tracked since Feb 2026
1160
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Alpha Score 5.4
Calls
56
Win Rate
39.3%
return
-4.6%
Calls 56 4038 Posts tracked · 22.4/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 11
90d 29
Best Calls
CRDO Long +70.5%
SMTC Long +50.2%
U Long +42.3%
Worst Calls
BZAI Long -81.8%
VPG Long -55.6%
LNOK Long -51.9%
Most Mentioned
AAOI ×61
COHR ×53
LITE ×46
Recent Calls
ADTN Long 1 week ago
NXPI Long 1 week ago
CEVA Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 39% Long 55 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 52%
30d 51%
90d 59%
Average Return -4.6% Long Return -4.9% Short Return +11.6%
Average Return
7d +2.2%
30d +2.3%
90d +16.1%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 27
$84.23
+34.5%
Long $AAOI — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $AAOI — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$258.93
+11.3%
Long $COHR — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $COHR — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$700.91
+26.0%
Long $LITE — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $LITE — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$150.38
-1.9%
Long $GLW — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $GLW — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Apr 08
$9.34
+10.9%
Long $NOK — speaker says re-rate is happening in real time, signaling bullish stance on re-rating thesis playing out.
Long $NOK — speaker says re-rate is happening in real time, signaling bullish stance on re-rating thesis playing out.
AI Photonics
Long
Feb 27
$348.70
+11.2%
Long $CIEN — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
Long $CIEN — speaker's photonics portfolio construction; held position in this theme; diversity across stack with different timelines/catalysts.
AI Photonics
Long
Mar 17
$87.50
+50.2%
Long $SMTC — speaker is invested in Semtech; company reported record $1.05B FY rev, 58% data center growth.
Long $SMTC — speaker is invested in Semtech; company reported record $1.05B FY rev, 58% data center growth.
AI ASIC
Long
Apr 28
$68.71
-1.7%
Long $AXTI — part of speaker's optics portfolio weighting.
Long $AXTI — part of speaker's optics portfolio weighting.
AI Photonics
Long
May 12
$79.19
-10.3%
Long $AMBA — one of speaker's newest positions; thesis is AI moving into the physical world (cameras, drones, robots, vehicles, warehouses) with AMBA selling the chip layer.
Long $AMBA — one of speaker's newest positions; thesis is AI moving into the physical world (cameras, drones, robots, vehicles, warehouses) with AMBA selling the chip layer.
AI ASIC
Long
Apr 20
$90.15
+7.0%
Long $AEHR — speaker explicitly states portfolio has exposure to AEHR as part of photonics stack play.
Long $AEHR — speaker explicitly states portfolio has exposure to AEHR as part of photonics stack play.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jun 15
$46.71
-22.0%
Buy OUST as author discloses it as a large current/building portfolio position within a Physical AI supercycle framework, specifically targeting the Perception layer of the AI stack.
Buy OUST as author discloses it as a large current/building portfolio position within a Physical AI supercycle framework, specifically targeting the Perception layer of the AI stack.
AI Photonics
Long
May 21
$49.51
-23.2%
Long VIAV after dilution dip, adding to position on weakness as a value play.
Long VIAV after dilution dip, adding to position on weakness as a value play.
AI Photonics
Long
Jun 13
$101.28
-43.4%
Buy INOD as a Physical AI infrastructure play; author holds a current position backed by Q1 results showing 54% YoY revenue growth, 24% QoQ acceleration, 28% adj. EBITDA margin, raised 2026 guide to ~40%+ growth, and a new Big Tech customer contributing ~$51M from zero last year.
Buy INOD as a Physical AI infrastructure play; author holds a current position backed by Q1 results showing 54% YoY revenue growth, 24% QoQ acceleration, 28% adj. EBITDA margin, raised 2026 guide to ~40%+ growth, and a new Big Tech customer contributing ~$51M from zero last year.
AI Software
Long
Jul 01
$27.80
-41.6%
Long Physical AI basket: author says he is building a Physical AI portfolio, is very interested in owning these names long term, and expects them to take 40-50% of that portfolio.
Long Physical AI basket: author says he is building a Physical AI portfolio, is very interested in owning these names long term, and expects them to take 40-50% of that portfolio.
Autos & EV
Long
Apr 20
$16.67
-14.8%
Long $ALMU — speaker explicitly states portfolio has exposure to ALMU as part of photonics stack play.
Long $ALMU — speaker explicitly states portfolio has exposure to ALMU as part of photonics stack play.
AI Photonics
Showing 15 of 56 calls · sorted by mentions

crux_capital_ has 56 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 55 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 39% across 56 evaluated calls, average return -4.6%. Ranked #1160 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: AAOI, COHR, LITE.