#896 Alpha Score 25.5

Ben Thompson

Guest
· tracked since Aug 2026
896
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Alpha Score 25.5
Calls
5
Win Rate
40.0%
return
-2.0%
Calls 5 1 Posts tracked · 0.2/day
Calls
7d 5
30d 5
90d 5
Best Calls
GOOG Long +0.7%
AAPL Long +0.7%
Worst Calls
INTC Long -9.2%
META Long -1.8%
AMZN Long -0.3%
Most Mentioned
META ×1
AMZN ×1
AAPL ×1
Recent Calls
AAPL Long 3 days ago
INTC Long 3 days ago
GOOG Long 3 days ago
Win Rate 40% Long 5 Short 0
Win Rate
7d
30d
90d
Average Return -2.0% Long Return -2.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d
30d
90d
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Aug 18
$307.49
+0.7%
Apple's physical device moat insulates it.
Apple is well-insulated from AI disruption because its moat is built on deterministic physical goods and unparalleled distribution. Apple does not need to build frontier AI models; it can act as an aggregator, leveraging its massive user base to force AI suppliers to come to them and provide on-device capabilities.
AI Hardware
Long
Aug 18
$260.41
-0.3%
Amazon's core business is impervious to AI.
Amazon possesses the deepest moat in technology because its core retail and logistics businesses are highly insulated from AI disruption. Furthermore, Amazon has a proven playbook of building massive infrastructure (like AWS, logistics, and custom silicon such as Graviton and Trainium) to serve its own internal needs first, which gives it the scale to iterate and eventually sell these services externally as highly competitive commodities.
Hyperscalers
Long
Aug 18
$339.94
+0.7%
Google's AI transition mirrors Berkshire's railway acquisition.
Google is undergoing a transition similar to Berkshire Hathaway's shift from See's Candies to the BNSF Railway. While Google's core search business has perfect margins, the AI opportunity targets all white-collar work, offering absolute profits that are astronomically larger despite lower margins. This justifies Google's massive capex and equity issuance to capture the space.
Hyperscalers
Long
Aug 18
$99.11
-9.2%
Compute scarcity and geopolitical risks saved Intel.
Intel has been saved by the extreme compute shortage and the geopolitical risks associated with TSMC's monopoly. Big tech companies are now economically incentivized to endure the pain of bringing Intel's foundry business up to speed to secure alternative supply chains, setting Intel up for major future partnerships.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Aug 18
$562.50
-1.8%
AI will massively improve Meta's ad targeting.
Meta is uniquely positioned to monetize AI by integrating leading-edge models into its advertising engine. Using its massive, liquid ad marketplace to verify AI-generated content and improve ad matching by even a few percentage points will yield billions in incremental returns, making its massive AI investments highly rational.
Hyperscalers
Showing 5 of 5 calls · sorted by mentions

Ben Thompson has 5 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 5 tickers since August 2026. Ranked #896 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: META, AMZN, AAPL.