He has been long equities for the past three years and still sees equities driving returns. He wants to stay long U.S. exceptionalism and U.S. technology, but warns that the single AI trade carries very significant risk from here, so investors should complement that core rather than abandon it.
Equity index concentration is not unusual, but the current degree tied to one AI risk factor is unusual. Diversification across the AI supply chain and into value outside the U.S., European cyclicals, and European bank stocks reduces single-factor sensitivity; European bank stocks have already been outperforming the Mag-7.