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WM FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Waste Management, Inc. earnings call

Apr 29, 2026 · 10:00 ET David ReedEd EggleJim Fish
Buzzberg read

Special waste volumes up 6.7% excluding wildfire impact, a leading indicator of macro optimism.

WM reported a strong Q1 2026, with EBITDA growth of 6%, driven by pricing power and cost controls despite softer volumes from weather and wildfire comparisons. Management maintained full-year guidance, highlighting structural advantages in MSW pricing and RNG investments. Q1 2026 operating EBITDA grew ~6% year-over-year, with collection & disposal margins expanding 110 basis points.

Buzzberg read Special waste volumes up 6.7% excluding wildfire impact, a leading indicator of macro optimism. WM reported a strong Q1 2026, with EBITDA growth of 6%, driven by pricing power and cost controls despite softer volumes from weather and wildfire comparisons. Management maintained full-year guidance, highlighting structural advantages in MSW pricing and RNG investments. Q1 2026 operating EBITDA grew ~6% year-over-year, with collection & disposal margins expanding 110 basis points. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

WM reported a strong Q1 2026, with EBITDA growth of 6%, driven by pricing power and cost controls despite softer volumes from weather and wildfire comparisons. Management maintained full-year guidance, highlighting structural advantages in MSW pricing and RNG investments. Q1 2026 operating EBITDA grew ~6% year-over-year, with collection & disposal margins expanding 110 basis points.

  • Core pricing exceeded expectations at 6.3%, with MSW and landfill pricing both over 7.5%.
  • Special waste volumes up 6.7% ex-wildfire, indicating strong pipeline for rest of 2026.
  • RNG business 80% volume locked in for 2026 at prices above investment thesis; PTC benefit of $30-35M annually.
Revenue $6.227B -1% QoQ
EPS $1.81 -6% QoQ
Gross margin 40.68% reported
Op margin 17.87% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

Special waste volumes up 6.7% excluding wildfire impact, a leading indicator of macro optimism.

Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year guidance despite weather and volume headwinds, citing strong pricing execution, cost control, and positive momentum in key growth areas.

02
Pricing

Core price and yield exceeded expectations, with commercial and landfill price above 7.5%.

Q1 2026 operating EBITDA grew ~6% year-over-year, with collection & disposal margins expanding 110 basis points.

03
Healthcare Solutions

Healthcare solutions EBITDA grew nearly 12% with revenue growth inflection expected in H2.

Core pricing exceeded expectations at 6.3%, with MSW and landfill pricing both over 7.5%.

04
Sustainability

Renewable energy EBITDA more than doubled, driven by new RNG facilities.

Special waste volumes up 6.7% ex-wildfire, indicating strong pipeline for rest of 2026.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management highlighted the importance of AI and technology in driving efficiency, safety, and pricing improvements, with specific examples including AI-enabled cameras for recycling contamination identification and data-driven coaching for drivers. They view these technologies as providing sustainable cost savings and competitive advantages, with further opportunities expected in routing, logistic

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Special waste volumes up 6.7% excluding wildfire impact, a leading indicator of macro optimism.. Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year guidance despite weather and volume headwinds, citing strong pricing execution, cost control, and positive momentum in key growth areas.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capital expenditures totaled $650 million in the quarter, down 22% year-over-year, reflecting normalized fleet spend and completion of several sustainability projects. The company remains on track to substantially complete its sustainability capital program in 2026, with investments in renewable natural gas and recycling automation contributing to growth.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed confidence in achieving full-year guidance despite weather and volume headwinds, citing strong pricing execution, cost control, and positive momentum in key growth areas.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

WM's MSW pricing yield rose 6.9% due to industry-wide landfill capacity constraints shifting to more central US locations, giving WM pricing power to preserve airspace.

“as you see landfill capacity slowly come offline for the industry...we end up in a better position because our landfill lives are a bit longer than the rest of the industry.”
Jim Fish
A2

WM's RNG business is 80% locked in for 2026 volume at prices well above internal investment thesis, but interconnect delays with utilities could impact commissioning timelines.

“We're just navigating some interconnect delays with the utilities that might have been unexpected.”
Tara Hemmer

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $23.05B
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
Free cash flowFY2026$3B–$3.4Binline vs consensus$3.2BMAINTAINED
Op marginFY202630.4%–31%inline vs consensus30.7%MAINTAINED
RevenueFY2026$22.8B–$23.3Binline vs consensus$23.05BMAINTAINED