Skip to earnings analysis
← Back to feed
WMT FY2026 Q3 RAISED

Walmart Inc. earnings call

Nov 20, 2025 · 08:00 ET Chris NicholasDoug McMillanJohn David Rainey
Buzzberg read

Full-year sales and operating income guidance raised

Walmart reported a strong quarter with broad-based market share gains and raised its full-year guidance for sales and operating income. Management expressed confidence in the holiday season despite a cautious consumer, and highlighted the deepening impact of high-margin alternative revenue streams like advertising and membership fees on the bottom line. Walmart delivered 5.9% constant-currency sales growth and 8% adjusted operating income growth, beating expectations and prompting a raise to full-year revenue and operating income guidance.

Buzzberg read Full-year sales and operating income guidance raised Walmart reported a strong quarter with broad-based market share gains and raised its full-year guidance for sales and operating income. Management expressed confidence in the holiday season despite a cautious consumer, and highlighted the deepening impact of high-margin alternative revenue streams like advertising and membership fees on the bottom line. Walmart delivered 5.9% constant-currency sales growth and 8% adjusted operating income growth, beating expectations and prompting a raise to full-year revenue and operating income guidance. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Walmart reported a strong quarter with broad-based market share gains and raised its full-year guidance for sales and operating income. Management expressed confidence in the holiday season despite a cautious consumer, and highlighted the deepening impact of high-margin alternative revenue streams like advertising and membership fees on the bottom line. Walmart delivered 5.9% constant-currency sales growth and 8% adjusted operating income growth, beating expectations and prompting a raise to full-year revenue and operating income guidance.

  • High-margin businesses are scaling rapidly: advertising grew 53% (incl. Vizio) and membership income grew 17%, now contributing ~1/3 of adjusted operating income.
  • E-commerce momentum remains robust (27% growth globally), with Walmart's improved delivery speed (35% of orders under 3 hours) driving share gains, particularly in general merchandise.
  • Executives noted a 'pocket of moderation' in low-income consumer spending, but indicated higher-income households are taking share, providing a net positive mix for the company.
Revenue $179.496B reported
EPS $0.62 reported
Gross margin 24.95% reported
Op margin 3.73% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

Full-year sales and operating income guidance raised

Guidance · revenue to 4.95%

02
E-commerce

E-commerce growth remains consistently above 20%

Walmart delivered 5.9% constant-currency sales growth and 8% adjusted operating income growth, beating expectations and prompting a raise to full-year revenue and operating income guidance.

03
Margins

Advertising plus membership now one-third of operating income

Reported gross margin was 24.95%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

04
AI

OpenAI partnership enables shopping directly through ChatGPT

Management framed AI as a growth and efficiency multiplier: a new OpenAI/ChatGPT commerce partnership, an in-app digital agent called Sparky, and more than 40% of new code now AI-generated or AI-assisted. They see agentic AI as enabling personalized, conversational, contextual…

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management framed AI as a growth and efficiency multiplier: a new OpenAI/ChatGPT commerce partnership, an in-app digital agent called Sparky, and more than 40% of new code now AI-generated or AI-assisted. They see agentic AI as enabling personalized, conversational, contextual shopping and lower cost-to-serve, positioning Walmart to compete across every shopping channel.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Low-income cohort shows spending moderation. Management raised full-year guidance, cited consistent momentum and broad share gains, and expressed strong optimism about holiday and AI-driven growth, while acknowledging some low-income spending moderation.

Capex

Investment and capacity

No headline capex number, but the tone is continued investment in supply-chain automation and store remodels while staying disciplined on capital and ROI. They highlighted that more than half of e-commerce fulfillment center volume is now automated and store remodels remain on a roughly seven-year cycle.

Tone · Upbeat

Management raised full-year guidance, cited consistent momentum and broad share gains, and expressed strong optimism about holiday and AI-driven growth, while acknowledging some low-income spending moderation.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

The combination of advertising and membership fee income now represents one-third of Walmart's adjusted operating income, highlighting the company's transformation into a higher-margin, diversified business.

“This quarter, the combination of advertising and membership fee income represented approximately one third of our consolidated adjusted operating income.”
John David Rainey
A2

Walmart is leveraging its Spark driver platform for Sam's Club delivery, accelerating delivery speed and driving triple-digit growth in club-fulfilled delivery.

“We've accelerated the speed of delivery by leveraging Walmart's Spark driver platform to pick and fulfill delivery orders. These actions have contributed to stronger e-commerce sales and improved average delivery times.”
Chris Nicholas
A3

Walmart's low-income customer cohort is showing signs of modesty in spending, a leading indicator of consumer stress at the bottom of the income scale.

“When we look by low income cohort versus middle versus higher income, we have seen some moderation in spending in the low-income cohort.”
John David Rainey

Forward guidance

RaisedGuidance · revenue to 4.95%
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$2.58–$2.63$2.60MAINTAINED
EPSFY2026 Q4$0.67–$0.72$0.70MAINTAINED
Op marginFY20264.8%–5.5%5.15%RAISED
RevenueFY20264.8%–5.1%4.95%RAISED
RevenueFY2026 Q43.75%–4.75%4.25%MAINTAINED

Guidance credibility

100%historical hit rate
100%
John David Rainey

1 of 1 · +6.5% average bias

Company read-throughs

since call
Partners

Vizio's integration is contributing to Walmart's advertising growth, but the incrementality and profitability of Vizio's ad business remains a watch item.

“Globally, advertising grew 53%, including Vizio, and membership income was up 17%.”
Doug McMillan
OPENAI
Private company
Partners

The partnership is a strategic move to embed Walmart's commerce into an AI-native interface, positioning OpenAI as a key distribution channel for Walmart's e-commerce.

“Our recent announcement with OpenAI is an example. This new partnership will allow customers and members to purchase items from Walmart and Sam's Club directly through ChatGPT.”
Doug McMillan
+23.7%
since call
$99.78$123.41
+92.0%
since call
$86.10$165.35
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Walmart's low-income customer cohort is showing signs of modesty in spending, a leading indicator of consumer stress at the bottom of the income scale. — This signals that the lowest-income US consumer is pulling back, which could lead to increased price competition and pressure for dollar stores and other mass retailers serving that demographic.

+14.3%
since call
$227.07$259.59
+6.8%
since call
$887.00$947.74
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The combination of advertising and membership fee income now represents one-third of Walmart's adjusted operating income, highlighting the company's transformation into a higher-margin, diversified business. — This structural shift in profit mix suggests Walmart can sustain faster profit growth than sales without relying on retail margin expansion, challenging pure-play e-commerce and club competitors.

-12.6%
since call
$90.19$78.85
+9.8%
since call
$203.02$222.95
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Walmart is leveraging its Spark driver platform for Sam's Club delivery, accelerating delivery speed and driving triple-digit growth in club-fulfilled delivery. — By internalizing last-mile logistics via Spark, Walmart is reducing reliance on third-party delivery providers, potentially pressuring gig-economy platforms that depend on retail partnerships.