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WFC FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Wells Fargo & Company earnings call

Jan 14, 2026 · 10:00 ET Charlie SharpJohn Campbell
Buzzberg read

ROTCE hit 15% in 2025; new medium-term target is 17-18%.

Wells Fargo's Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong momentum with 17% YoY EPS growth, the fastest loan growth since 2020, and continued expense discipline. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance, including NII of ~$50B, mid-single-digit loan/deposit growth, and expense of $55.7B. Q4 2025 EPS $1.62 ($1.76 ex-severance); full-year net income $21.3B.

Buzzberg read ROTCE hit 15% in 2025; new medium-term target is 17-18%. Wells Fargo's Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong momentum with 17% YoY EPS growth, the fastest loan growth since 2020, and continued expense discipline. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance, including NII of ~$50B, mid-single-digit loan/deposit growth, and expense of $55.7B. Q4 2025 EPS $1.62 ($1.76 ex-severance); full-year net income $21.3B. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Wells Fargo's Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong momentum with 17% YoY EPS growth, the fastest loan growth since 2020, and continued expense discipline. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance, including NII of ~$50B, mid-single-digit loan/deposit growth, and expense of $55.7B. Q4 2025 EPS $1.62 ($1.76 ex-severance); full-year net income $21.3B.

  • ROTCE rose to 15% in 2025, with a new medium-term target of 17-18%.
  • 2026 NII guided to ~$50B (core ~$48B, markets ~$2B), assuming 2-3 Fed rate cuts.
  • Loans and deposits guided to mid-single-digit growth in 2026; provision expense to increase with loan growth.
NET_INTEREST_INCOME revenue $47.5B reported
Revenue $31.816B reported
EPS $1.62 reported
Gross margin 64.45% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Returns/Guidance

ROTCE hit 15% in 2025; new medium-term target is 17-18%.

Wells Fargo's Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong momentum with 17% YoY EPS growth, the fastest loan growth since 2020, and continued expense discipline. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance, including NII of ~$50B, mid-single-digit loan/deposit growth, and…

02
NII/Guidance

2026 NII guided to ~$50B, with markets NII ~$2B.

Q4 2025 EPS $1.62 ($1.76 ex-severance); full-year net income $21.3B.

03
Capital/Buybacks

Share repurchases expected to be lower in 2026.

ROTCE rose to 15% in 2025, with a new medium-term target of 17-18%.

04
Investment Banking

Investment banking pipeline is strongest in at least five years.

2026 NII guided to ~$50B (core ~$48B, markets ~$2B), assuming 2-3 Fed rate cuts.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

AI was mentioned only in passing as an enabler of future efficiency initiatives, with no specifics on products, adoption, or monetization.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Wells Fargo's guidance is constructive, with strong loan/deposit growth, rising ROTCE target of 17-18%, and positive operating leverage, supported by investments in markets, cards, and commercial banking.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is increasing investment spending in 2026, guiding to roughly $1.1 billion of incremental technology expense plus about $800 million of other investments across infrastructure, business capabilities, and growth initiatives. These are partly offset by ~$2.4 billion of gross efficiency saves. It also added balance-sheet capacity for markets, with trading-related assets up 50% in 2025.

Tone · Upbeat

Management stressed building momentum, raised the medium-term ROTCE target to 17-18%, and described the opportunity set as significant, while expressing confidence in both organic growth and continued efficiency gains.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Wells Fargo is explicitly growing lower-margin, asset-cap-driven markets financing (repo, client financing) which is RWA-light but helps push higher overall NII and market share.

“Given the nature of the underlying collateral and structural enhancements, these assets are lower-risk, lower-margin, but accretive to NII and support client engagement.”
Mike Sanisimo
A2

WFC's credit card growth is increasingly reliant on new product vintages, with ~50% of balances now from products launched post-2021, yet initial vintages are only beginning to become profitable.

“After two to three years of absorbing the upfront costs of our new products, we are beginning to see the early vintages contributing to profitability.”
Charlie Sharp

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
RevenueNET_INTEREST_INCOMEFY2026$49B–$51B$50BGUIDED

Company read-throughs

-28.7%
since call
$12.07$8.61
Partners

Wells Fargo's auto lending growth is partly driven by the VW/Audi partnership, indicating stronger origination volumes for VW's US captive finance channel.

“including benefiting from becoming the preferred financing provider for Volkswagen and Audi brands in the United States in the spring of last year.”
Charlie Sharp
+16.1%
since call
$326.35$378.75
+8.8%
since call
$540.64$588.13
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

WFC's credit card growth is increasingly reliant on new product vintages, with ~50% of balances now from products launched post-2021, yet initial vintages are only beginning to become profitable. — As WFC scales card issuance, it will likely lean on Visa/Mastercard networks, potentially boosting their payment volumes but also signaling intensifying competition in consumer lending.

since call
since call
since call
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Wells Fargo is explicitly growing lower-margin, asset-cap-driven markets financing (repo, client financing) which is RWA-light but helps push higher overall NII and market share.