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TROW FY2026 Q2 SOFTENING

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. earnings call

Jul 31, 2026 · 08:00 ET Eric VeielJen DardisLinsley Carruth
Buzzberg read

Active equity outflows expected to continue in H2 2026

T. Rowe Price reported Q2 2026 results that beat on revenue and EPS, but the tone on flows was cautious. The key takeaway from the call centers around the launch of new products like the actively-managed crypto ETF and partnerships with Goldman Sachs, alongside the significant restructuring of the Russell indices due to AI exposure. Q2 FY2026 adjusted EPS was $2.57, beating Q1's $2.52, while net revenue rose to $1.9 billion.

Buzzberg read Active equity outflows expected to continue in H2 2026 T. Rowe Price reported Q2 2026 results that beat on revenue and EPS, but the tone on flows was cautious. The key takeaway from the call centers around the launch of new products like the actively-managed crypto ETF and partnerships with Goldman Sachs, alongside the significant restructuring of the Russell indices due to AI exposure. Q2 FY2026 adjusted EPS was $2.57, beating Q1's $2.52, while net revenue rose to $1.9 billion. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

T. Rowe Price reported Q2 2026 results that beat on revenue and EPS, but the tone on flows was cautious. The key takeaway from the call centers around the launch of new products like the actively-managed crypto ETF and partnerships with Goldman Sachs, alongside the significant restructuring of the Russell indices due to AI exposure. Q2 FY2026 adjusted EPS was $2.57, beating Q1's $2.52, while net revenue rose to $1.9 billion.

  • Net outflows were $6.5 billion, but were skewed by April; May and June saw positive flows.
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted operating expense growth is guided to 4-7%.
  • New product innovation includes an Active Crypto ETF and a collaboration with Goldman Sachs on interval funds.
Revenue $1.9074B +3% QoQ
EPS $2.57 +2% QoQ
Gross margin 56.83% reported
Op margin 28.34% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Flows

Active equity outflows expected to continue in H2 2026

T. Rowe Price reported Q2 2026 results that beat on revenue and EPS, but the tone on flows was cautious. The key takeaway from the call centers around the launch of new products like the actively-managed crypto ETF and partnerships with Goldman Sachs, alongside the significant…

02
Flows

First half gross flows record, but H2 net flows more challenging

Q2 FY2026 adjusted EPS was $2.57, beating Q1's $2.52, while net revenue rose to $1.9 billion.

03
AI

AI solutions deployed across firm with revenue links

Management emphasized meaningful progress in AI, with over 130 AI solutions deployed and more than 70% associated with revenue streams, and is embedding AI into end-to-end workflows to enhance decision-making and operational efficiency, while keeping investment judgment with…

04
ETFs

ETF business reaches $30B AUM with 34 funds

Full-year 2026 adjusted operating expense growth is guided to 4-7%.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management emphasized meaningful progress in AI, with over 130 AI solutions deployed and more than 70% associated with revenue streams, and is embedding AI into end-to-end workflows to enhance decision-making and operational efficiency, while keeping investment judgment with associates.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Target date pipeline shows late-stage air pocket. Management acknowledged continued active equity outflows and fee pressure but highlighted strategic progress in ETFs, SMAs, fixed income, alternatives, and AI, expressing confidence in long-term growth.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Expense guidance raised to 4-7% growth for 2026, driven by higher AUM, with investments in ETFs, SMAs, outcomes-oriented solutions, advice-led offerings, and AI. Cost savings initiatives are ongoing to offset some increases.

Tone · Measured Optimism

Management acknowledged continued active equity outflows and fee pressure but highlighted strategic progress in ETFs, SMAs, fixed income, alternatives, and AI, expressing confidence in long-term growth.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

The 2026 Russell reconstitution was not a routine rebalance but a significant reshaping of benchmark risk characteristics, with substantial migration of AI-related exposures and momentum factors across benchmarks, causing volatility and creating opportunities for active management.

“There was over $300 billion of turnover, but more importantly, there was a substantial migration of AI-related exposures, momentum factors, and technology leadership across benchmarks. ... In the Russell large and mid-cap growth benchmarks…”
Eric Veiel

Forward guidance

SofteningGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
Op marginFY20264%–7%5.5%GUIDED

Company read-throughs

-3.1%
since call
$1,036.63$1,004.42
Partners

The strategic alliance with Goldman Sachs is progressing with the launch of the first interval fund and plans for a second, signalling strong partnership momentum and potential for revenue growth.

“We're also advancing our strategic alliance with Goldman Sachs. On the 1st of July, we launched the T. Rowe Price Goldman Sachs Private Markets Fund, our first interval fund in collaboration with Goldman Sachs.”
Rob Sharps
+10.8%
since call
$450.00$498.60
+13.7%
since call
$197.40$224.41
+10.3%
since call
$543.66$599.71
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The 2026 Russell reconstitution was not a routine rebalance but a significant reshaping of benchmark risk characteristics, with substantial migration of AI-related exposures and momentum factors across benchmarks, causing volatility and creating opportunities for active management. — This unique 'rebalancing' event forced a reassignment of exposures, causing new buyers and sellers into stocks and adding volatility, which directly impacts active managers and those positioned around AI-driven growth.

“There was over $300 billion of turnover, but more importantly, there was a substantial migration of AI-related exposures, momentum factors, and technology leadership across benchmarks. ... In the Russell large and mid-cap growth”
Eric Veiel