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TGT FY2026 Q2 RAISED

Target Corporation earnings call

Aug 19, 2026 · 08:00 ET Jim LeeJohn HulbertKara Sylvester
Buzzberg read

Traffic up 3.6%, comp sales up 3.8% in Q2, driven by merchandising changes

Target delivered a strong Q2 2026 with significant top-line growth and raised full-year guidance, driven by successful merchandising transformations and robust traffic. The call highlighted progress in non-apparel categories like food, beauty, and toys, while acknowledging ongoing challenges in home and apparel. Total sales grew 5.3% YoY to $26.5B, with comp sales up 3.8% and digital comps up 8.7%.

Buzzberg read Traffic up 3.6%, comp sales up 3.8% in Q2, driven by merchandising changes Target delivered a strong Q2 2026 with significant top-line growth and raised full-year guidance, driven by successful merchandising transformations and robust traffic. The call highlighted progress in non-apparel categories like food, beauty, and toys, while acknowledging ongoing challenges in home and apparel. Total sales grew 5.3% YoY to $26.5B, with comp sales up 3.8% and digital comps up 8.7%. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Target delivered a strong Q2 2026 with significant top-line growth and raised full-year guidance, driven by successful merchandising transformations and robust traffic. The call highlighted progress in non-apparel categories like food, beauty, and toys, while acknowledging ongoing challenges in home and apparel. Total sales grew 5.3% YoY to $26.5B, with comp sales up 3.8% and digital comps up 8.7%.

  • Adjusted EPS was $4.11, up from $2.05, including a $1.65 benefit from tariff refunds.
  • The company completed its largest center-store grocery reset in a decade and a complete reimagining of its Fun 101 category, leading to strong sales in snacks, toys, and electronics.
  • Work continues on remodels (130 planned) and new stores (24 opened YTD), with supply chain investments continuing.
Revenue $26.539B +4% QoQ
EPS $4.11 reported
Gross margin 33.67% reported
Op margin 9.65% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

Traffic up 3.6%, comp sales up 3.8% in Q2, driven by merchandising changes

Demand is strong and broad-based, with traffic up 3.6% and comp sales up 3.8%, with particular strength in categories where they made changes (snacks up 15%, Lego up 30%, plush up 20%). Back-to-school and back-to-college signals are encouraging, with wish list creations up 50%…

02
AI

AI-sourced digital traffic growing 3.5x industry rate

Management highlighted AI as a growing driver of digital traffic, with external AI platform-sourced traffic growing over 3.5x the industry rate year-over-year, and announced a new Chief AI Officer to accelerate AI capabilities. They are partnering with OpenAI, Google Gemini…

03
AI

New Chief AI Officer appointed to accelerate AI capabilities

Management highlighted AI as a growing driver of digital traffic, with external AI platform-sourced traffic growing over 3.5x the industry rate year-over-year, and announced a new Chief AI Officer to accelerate AI capabilities. They are partnering with OpenAI, Google Gemini…

04
Guidance

Full-year EPS guidance raised to $9.90-$10.90, excluding tariff refunds

Guidance · revenue to 5%

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management highlighted AI as a growing driver of digital traffic, with external AI platform-sourced traffic growing over 3.5x the industry rate year-over-year, and announced a new Chief AI Officer to accelerate AI capabilities. They are partnering with OpenAI, Google Gemini, and others to shape agentic commerce.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Demand is strong and broad-based, with traffic up 3.6% and comp sales up 3.8%, with particular strength in categories where they made changes (snacks up 15%, Lego up 30%, plush up 20%). Back-to-school and back-to-college signals are encouraging, with wish list creations up 50% and conversion up 20%.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capital expenditures are up nearly 30% year-over-year, with full-year guidance maintained at ~$5 billion, funding new stores (24 opened, ~130 remodels planned), supply chain facilities, and technology/AI capabilities.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed increasing confidence in their strategy, citing strong traffic growth, improving guest satisfaction, and early proof points from their merchandising and operational changes.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Target's digital traffic sourced from external AI platforms is growing 3.5x the industry rate, and Target is partnering with OpenAI and Google to shape agentic commerce, indicating AI platforms are becoming a meaningful customer acquisition channel for retailers.

“as more consumers begin to explore the benefits of agentic shopping, Target's digital traffic sourced from external AI platforms is growing more than three and a half times the industry”
Michael Fiddelke
A2

Target completed its largest center-store grocery reset in over a decade, changing nearly half of its assortment, and is seeing snack sales run 15% ahead of last year, indicating the reset is driving significant incremental demand.

“post-transition, snack sales are running more than 15% ahead of last year”
Kara Sylvester
A3

Target's exclusive 'Love Shack Fancy' back-to-school collection became its largest limited-time collaboration in history, and its 'Pokemon' collaboration was one of its biggest fan moments, showing that exclusive, culturally relevant partnerships can drive outsized traffic and new customer acquisition.

“our exclusive partnership with Love Shack Fancy. This offering ended up being the largest limited time collaboration in Target's history”
Kara Sylvester
A4

Target is using a 'digital twin' of its middle-mile inventory system called Proxima to test inventory flow plans, indicating a move towards more sophisticated supply-chain simulation to improve inventory reliability and reduce out-of-stocks.

“we're investing in tools like Proxima, a digital twin of our middle-mile inventory positioning system, which allows our team to test and iterate on inventory flow plans before going live”
Lisa Roath

Forward guidance

RaisedGuidance · revenue to 5%
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$5B$5BMAINTAINED
EPSFY2026$9.90–$10.90$10.40RAISED
Op marginFY20265.1%5.1%RAISED
RevenueFY20264.5%–5.5%5%RAISED

Company read-throughs

+0.9%
since call
$342.02$345.12
+0.8%
since call
$479.25$483.06
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Target's digital traffic sourced from external AI platforms is growing 3.5x the industry rate, and Target is partnering with OpenAI and Google to shape agentic commerce, indicating AI platforms are becoming a meaningful customer acquisition channel for retailers. — This suggests AI assistants (ChatGPT, Gemini) are emerging as high-intent traffic sources for retailers, making them valuable partners and advertising channels.