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SRE FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

DBA Sempra earnings call

Aug 06, 2026 · 12:00 ET Alan NyeCaroline WinnJeff Martin
Buzzberg read

Oncor's $10B incremental capital opportunities are firming up; Q4 update expected to raise base plan.

Sempra reported a strong Q2 2026 with adjusted EPS of $1.16, and management focused on the massive growth opportunity in Texas driven by data center demand, outlining the Batch Zero process and its potential for incremental capital beyond current plans. The company reaffirmed its 2026 and 2027 EPS guidance and highlighted progress on strategic divestitures to simplify the business and strengthen the balance sheet. Q2 2026 adjusted EPS was $1.16, up from $0.89 in the prior year, driven by strong performance in Sempra Texas.

Buzzberg read Oncor's $10B incremental capital opportunities are firming up; Q4 update expected to raise base plan. Sempra reported a strong Q2 2026 with adjusted EPS of $1.16, and management focused on the massive growth opportunity in Texas driven by data center demand, outlining the Batch Zero process and its potential for incremental capital beyond current plans. The company reaffirmed its 2026 and 2027 EPS guidance and highlighted progress on strategic divestitures to simplify the business and strengthen the balance sheet. Q2 2026 adjusted EPS was $1.16, up from $0.89 in the prior year, driven by strong performance in Sempra Texas. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Sempra reported a strong Q2 2026 with adjusted EPS of $1.16, and management focused on the massive growth opportunity in Texas driven by data center demand, outlining the Batch Zero process and its potential for incremental capital beyond current plans. The company reaffirmed its 2026 and 2027 EPS guidance and highlighted progress on strategic divestitures to simplify the business and strengthen the balance sheet. Q2 2026 adjusted EPS was $1.16, up from $0.89 in the prior year, driven by strong performance in Sempra Texas.

  • Oncor's capital plan remains at $47.5B base with $10B of incremental opportunities, and management expects to update the plan in Q4 2026.
  • ERCOT's new Batch Zero process includes 44 GW of large load requests, which is incremental to Oncor's current capital plan and represents a massive growth opportunity.
  • The sale of a 45% stake in SI Partners to KKR is on track to close in Q3 2026, which will simplify the business and deconsolidate $9B in debt.
Revenue $2.997B -18% QoQ
EPS $1.16 -23% QoQ
Gross margin 54.65% reported
Op margin 27.76% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Capex

Oncor's $10B incremental capital opportunities are firming up; Q4 update expected to raise base plan.

Management is executing a $65 billion capital plan focused on utility growth, increasingly directed toward Sempra Texas, with a $47.5 billion five-year base plan at Oncor and $10 billion of incremental capital opportunities that are expected to roll forward higher in Q4. The SI…

02
Demand

Batch Zero represents 44 GW of additional demand, 140% above current peak.

Texas continues to experience unprecedented growth in electricity demand, with ERCOT reaching a new all-time peak load of 91 GW and 44 GW of large load requests in the Batch Zero process, representing a 140% increase to Oncor's current system peak. Oncor's active transmission…

03
Demand

Oncor has nearly $6B in collateral from large load customers, including $2B for Batch Zero submissions.

Texas continues to experience unprecedented growth in electricity demand, with ERCOT reaching a new all-time peak load of 91 GW and 44 GW of large load requests in the Batch Zero process, representing a 140% increase to Oncor's current system peak. Oncor's active transmission…

04
Operations

ECA LNG substantial completion expected in Q4 2026; Port Arthur LNG on time and budget.

ERCOT's new Batch Zero process includes 44 GW of large load requests, which is incremental to Oncor's current capital plan and represents a massive growth opportunity.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Texas continues to experience unprecedented growth in electricity demand, with ERCOT reaching a new all-time peak load of 91 GW and 44 GW of large load requests in the Batch Zero process, representing a 140% increase to Oncor's current system peak. Oncor's active transmission interconnection requests are up 15% year-to-date, with strong interest in data centers and other loads.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is executing a $65 billion capital plan focused on utility growth, increasingly directed toward Sempra Texas, with a $47.5 billion five-year base plan at Oncor and $10 billion of incremental capital opportunities that are expected to roll forward higher in Q4. The SI Partners sale recycles capital into regulated utilities and deconsolidates about $9 billion of debt.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed growing confidence in Oncor's execution of its base capital plan and incremental opportunities, while remaining constructive on regulatory processes and long-term growth.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Oncor's Batch Zero process includes 44 GW of large load requests, representing a 140% increase to current system peak, with $2 billion in collateral already posted for these specific projects, indicating high commitment levels.

“44 gigawatts of additional demand would represent a 140% increase to Encore's current system peak load of 31 gigawatts...over $2 billion for the 44 gigawatt of batch zero submissions shown here.”
Jeff Martin
A2

The recent ECA LNG Phase 1 commissioning issue is with the mixed refrigerant compressors, and the damage was discovered during planned maintenance after the first cargo was exported, pushing substantial completion to Q4 2026.

“we discovered damage to equipment connected to the plant's mixed refrigerant compressors and we are working with our EPC contractor and the OEM...we expect the project to reach substantial completion in the fourth quarter of 2026.”
Justin Bird
A3

Texas is implementing a new 'batch zero' process to sequence large load interconnections with generation, and the PUCT has approved a comprehensive audit of all data centers before they can interconnect, effectively reordering the process to front-load participation and create a more durable framework.

“ERCOT apparently intends to consult with the PUC on next steps and seek approval for a good cause exception related to the badge zero timeline and process at the August 20 PUC open meeting.”
Alan Nye

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$4.80–$5.30$5.05MAINTAINED
EPSFY2027$5.10–$5.70$5.40MAINTAINED

Company read-throughs

-0.4%
since call
$106.17$105.77
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Texas is implementing a new 'batch zero' process to sequence large load interconnections with generation, and the PUCT has approved a comprehensive audit of all data centers before they can interconnect, effectively reordering the process to front-load participation and create a more durable framework. — This reordering could create short-term delays in data center interconnections in Texas but may lead to a more stable long-term regulatory environment for grid investments.

-0.4%
since call
$106.17$105.77
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Oncor's Batch Zero process includes 44 GW of large load requests, representing a 140% increase to current system peak, with $2 billion in collateral already posted for these specific projects, indicating high commitment levels.

since call
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The recent ECA LNG Phase 1 commissioning issue is with the mixed refrigerant compressors, and the damage was discovered during planned maintenance after the first cargo was exported, pushing substantial completion to Q4 2026.