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PNW FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation earnings call

May 04, 2026 · 12:00 ET Amanda HoAndrew CooperTed Geisler
Buzzberg read

First quarter weather normalized sales growth was 7.4% after adjustment

PNW reported strong Q1 2026 earnings of $0.27/sh, driven by record heat, solid rate-based transmission growth, and a growing customer base. Management emphasized robust demand from the semiconductor ecosystem and maintained its full-year sales growth guidance of 4-6%, with long-term guidance at 5-7%. Capex plans are on track, with subscription-model negotiations ongoing. Q1 EPS of $0.27 vs $0.04 loss a year ago, driven by weather, transmission, and lower O&M.

Buzzberg read First quarter weather normalized sales growth was 7.4% after adjustment PNW reported strong Q1 2026 earnings of $0.27/sh, driven by record heat, solid rate-based transmission growth, and a growing customer base. Management emphasized robust demand from the semiconductor ecosystem and maintained its full-year sales growth guidance of 4-6%, with long-term guidance at 5-7%. Capex plans are on track, with subscription-model negotiations ongoing. Q1 EPS of $0.27 vs $0.04 loss a year ago, driven by weather, transmission, and lower O&M. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

PNW reported strong Q1 2026 earnings of $0.27/sh, driven by record heat, solid rate-based transmission growth, and a growing customer base. Management emphasized robust demand from the semiconductor ecosystem and maintained its full-year sales growth guidance of 4-6%, with long-term guidance at 5-7%. Capex plans are on track, with subscription-model negotiations ongoing. Q1 EPS of $0.27 vs $0.04 loss a year ago, driven by weather, transmission, and lower O&M.

  • Weather-normalized sales growth of 9.4% (adjusted 7.4%) significantly beats historical seasonality, underpinning load demand.
  • Customer growth of 2.2% is near the high end; continued semiconductor ecosystem expansion is visible.
  • Management reaffirms full-year sales growth of 4-6% and long-term growth of 5-7% through 2030; no upward revision yet.
Revenue $1.1496B +2% QoQ
EPS $0.27 reported
Gross margin 62.01% reported
Op margin 34.91% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

First quarter weather normalized sales growth was 7.4% after adjustment

Management expressed confidence in growth and execution, citing strong customer and sales growth, positive rating agency conversations, and progress on key projects like TSMC and the rate case.

02
Balance Sheet

All 2026 equity funding needs completed; $850M priced equity available

Q1 EPS of $0.27 vs $0.04 loss a year ago, driven by weather, transmission, and lower O&M.

03
Regulatory

Rate case hearing scheduled to begin May 18

Weather-normalized sales growth of 9.4% (adjusted 7.4%) significantly beats historical seasonality, underpinning load demand.

04
Demand

Subscription model contracts expected to be filed this year

First quarter weather normalized sales growth was 7.4% after adjustment. Management expressed confidence in growth and execution, citing strong customer and sales growth, positive rating agency conversations, and progress on key projects like TSMC and the rate case.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

First quarter weather normalized sales growth was 7.4% after adjustment. Management expressed confidence in growth and execution, citing strong customer and sales growth, positive rating agency conversations, and progress on key projects like TSMC and the rate case.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management highlighted significant capital investment in grid expansion, generation (Red Hawk expansion adding 400 MW of gas capacity), and transmission to support Arizona's rapid growth, with a strong focus on reducing regulatory lag through the pending rate case. They also noted all 2026 equity funding needs are complete and they are pursuing future financing opportunistically.

Tone · Upbeat

Management expressed confidence in growth and execution, citing strong customer and sales growth, positive rating agency conversations, and progress on key projects like TSMC and the rate case.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

PNW reports a one-time adjustment to prior-year sales growth, and underlying growth is stronger than headline numbers, indicating potential underestimation of load demand.

“We had a one-time adjustment to sales growth during last year's first quarter. And if we take that into consideration, we would still have experienced strong weather normalized sales growth at 7.4% during Q1 of this year.”
Andrew Cooper
A2

PNW has already completed all 2026 equity funding needs and priced over $350 million of equity in Q1, reducing future dilution risk and improving balance sheet visibility.

“All of our equity funding needs for 2026 have been completed and we are opportunistically working towards future year needs.”
Andrew Cooper
A3

The 20GW uncommitted queue and subscription model discussions could move from 4.5GW of committed load to high-growth contracting, but negotiations are complex and progress is gated by infrastructure availability.

“Our overall queue size remains at an elevated level commensurate with what it was before... but these contracts are complex.”
Ted Geisler

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
UnitsFY20264%–6%5%MAINTAINED
UnitsFY20305%–7%6%MAINTAINED

Company read-throughs

since call
Customers

Ancillary semiconductor suppliers are purchasing land in PNW's service territory, confirming broader supply chain momentum beyond TSMC.

“United Integrated Services Corp., Sunlit Chemicals, and Mornstar have all purchased land in North Phoenix.”
Ted Geisler
+3.8%
since call
$397.81$412.93
Customers

TSMC's accelerated fab buildout in Arizona (Fab 2 ramping, Fabs 3 & 4 underway) drives load growth for PNW and signals continued TSMC capex in the region.

“We are proud to support TSMC's accelerated expansion in Arizona and are working closely with the company on the infrastructure needed to power their growth.”
Ted Geisler