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LUV FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

Southwest Airlines Company earnings call

Jul 23, 2026 · 06:00 ET Andrew WattersonBob JordanDanielle Collins
Buzzberg read

Unit revenue up 20.1% to all-time record

Southwest Airlines delivered a record quarter with revenue up 20.3% and EPS up 120% YoY, driven by full implementation of new commercial initiatives (bag fees, basic economy, managed business, co-brand cards). Management expressed strong confidence in demand and pricing, though the full-year EPS guide was adjusted lower to $3.25-$4.25 (from at least $4) due to fuel costs. The call highlighted cost discipline, network optimization in its strongest markets, and further upside from refining products and expanding the co-brand partnership with Chase. Record Q2 revenue of $8.7B and adjusted EPS of $0.94, well above guidance and consensus.

Buzzberg read Unit revenue up 20.1% to all-time record Southwest Airlines delivered a record quarter with revenue up 20.3% and EPS up 120% YoY, driven by full implementation of new commercial initiatives (bag fees, basic economy, managed business, co-brand cards). Management expressed strong confidence in demand and pricing, though the full-year EPS guide was adjusted lower to $3.25-$4.25 (from at least $4) due to fuel costs. The call highlighted cost discipline, network optimization in its strongest markets, and further upside from refining products and expanding the co-brand partnership with Chase. Record Q2 revenue of $8.7B and adjusted EPS of $0.94, well above guidance and consensus. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Southwest Airlines delivered a record quarter with revenue up 20.3% and EPS up 120% YoY, driven by full implementation of new commercial initiatives (bag fees, basic economy, managed business, co-brand cards). Management expressed strong confidence in demand and pricing, though the full-year EPS guide was adjusted lower to $3.25-$4.25 (from at least $4) due to fuel costs. The call highlighted cost discipline, network optimization in its strongest markets, and further upside from refining products and expanding the co-brand partnership with Chase. Record Q2 revenue of $8.7B and adjusted EPS of $0.94, well above guidance and consensus.

  • Unit revenue (RASM) up 20.1% YoY, the best in the industry; managed business revenue up 30%.
  • Full-year EPS guide revised to $3.25-$4.25, replacing the 'at least $4' floor, reflecting fuel headwinds but still implying significant YoY growth.
  • Cost discipline strong: CASM-Ex up only 3.4% YoY; management highlighted hundreds of millions in incremental cost savings.
Revenue $8.433B +16% QoQ
EPS $0.94 reported
Op margin 3.38% reported
Free cash flow $-0.454B reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

Unit revenue up 20.1% to all-time record

Management expressed strong confidence in the transformation's success, record revenue performance, and durable demand, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

02
Demand

Managed business revenue up 30% to record

Unit revenue up 20.1% to all-time record. Management expressed strong confidence in the transformation's success, record revenue performance, and durable demand, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

03
Guidance

Full year 2026 EPS guidance $3.25-$4.25

Guidance tone

04
Other

Most diversified revenue set in history

Full-year EPS guide revised to $3.25-$4.25, replacing the 'at least $4' floor, reflecting fuel headwinds but still implying significant YoY growth.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Unit revenue up 20.1% to all-time record. Management expressed strong confidence in the transformation's success, record revenue performance, and durable demand, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management noted that capex guidance is at or below the low end, driven by fleet transactions and aircraft sales, with third-quarter gains elevated due to timing of asset disposals.

Tone · upbeat

Management expressed strong confidence in the transformation's success, record revenue performance, and durable demand, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Southwest's bag fees alone are a ~$1B annual revenue headwind, making the underlying demand and unit revenue growth much stronger than the headline RASM numbers suggest.

“Bag fees alone is about a billion dollars a year. So we're just starting off at a much higher base.”
Bob Jordan
A2

Southwest has identified 'hundreds of millions of dollars' of incremental cost savings since the start of 2026, which are already embedded in the full-year guide.

“That comment of hundreds of millions of dollars of savings is incremental savings that we've found since the beginning of the year as we've been working together. And yes, it is incorporated into the full year guide.”
Tom Doxey
A3

Southwest is shifting capacity growth into its 'points of strength'—markets where it already has leading positions—and away from new markets, focusing on profitable optimization rather than share gain.

“You're going to see us building on these points of strength. And the reason we're focused on those is because we're focused on customer loyalty and building diverse revenue streams.”
Justin Jones

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$3.25–$4.25$3.75LOWERED

Guidance credibility

3 / 3met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$0.35–$0.65$0.94Met / beat
FY2025 Q4EPSFY2026 Q1$0.45$0.45Met / beat
FY2025 Q4Op marginFY2026 Q13.5%4.55%Met / beat

Company read-throughs

+2.5%
since call
$346.33$354.95
Partners

Strong co-brand card acquisition growth signals deepening partnership and potential for higher future co-brand revenue for Southwest, which benefits Chase via card spend and fees.

“Chase co-branded credit card account growth was also exceptionally strong with card acquisitions in the quarter up 28% year over year.”
Bob Jordan
-6.3%
since call
$81.51$76.36
-7.0%
since call
$112.93$105.00
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Southwest is shifting capacity growth into its 'points of strength'—markets where it already has leading positions—and away from new markets, focusing on profitable optimization rather than share gain. — This capacity strategy could intensify competition in Southwest's stronghold airports while reducing capacity pressure in other markets, potentially benefiting competitors in those secondary markets.

-6.3%
since call
$81.51$76.36
-7.0%
since call
$112.93$105.00
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Southwest's bag fees alone are a ~$1B annual revenue headwind, making the underlying demand and unit revenue growth much stronger than the headline RASM numbers suggest.