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KIM FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Kimco Realty Corporation (HC) earnings call

Feb 12, 2026 · 08:30 ET Connor FlynnDave JamisonDavid Buschnecki
Buzzberg read

Record occupancy and leasing momentum drive confidence for 2026

Kimco reported a strong 2025 with record occupancy and FFO growth, and provided an optimistic 2026 outlook. Management highlighted a robust leasing environment, a record signed-not-opened pipeline, and plans for aggressive capital recycling to close the gap between public and private market valuations. 2025 FFO per share was $1.76, up 6.7% YoY, and Q4 FFO per share was $0.44.

Buzzberg read Record occupancy and leasing momentum drive confidence for 2026 Kimco reported a strong 2025 with record occupancy and FFO growth, and provided an optimistic 2026 outlook. Management highlighted a robust leasing environment, a record signed-not-opened pipeline, and plans for aggressive capital recycling to close the gap between public and private market valuations. 2025 FFO per share was $1.76, up 6.7% YoY, and Q4 FFO per share was $0.44. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Kimco reported a strong 2025 with record occupancy and FFO growth, and provided an optimistic 2026 outlook. Management highlighted a robust leasing environment, a record signed-not-opened pipeline, and plans for aggressive capital recycling to close the gap between public and private market valuations. 2025 FFO per share was $1.76, up 6.7% YoY, and Q4 FFO per share was $0.44.

  • Portfolio occupancy reached an all-time high of 96.4%, with small shop occupancy at a record 92.7%.
  • Record quarterly leasing volume of 1.2M sq ft and a record 'snow' pipeline of 390 bps ($73M ABR).
  • 2026 FFO per share guidance is $1.80-$1.84, implying 2.3%-4.5% growth.
Revenue $0.5425B reported
EPS $0.44 reported
Gross margin 11.34% reported
Op margin 33.01% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Operational

Record occupancy and leasing momentum drive confidence for 2026

Kimco reported a strong 2025 with record occupancy and FFO growth, and provided an optimistic 2026 outlook. Management highlighted a robust leasing environment, a record signed-not-opened pipeline, and plans for aggressive capital recycling to close the gap between public and…

02
Capital Allocation

Capital recycling program targets $300-500 million dispositions

2025 FFO per share was $1.76, up 6.7% YoY, and Q4 FFO per share was $0.44.

03
Buybacks

Share repurchases viewed as compelling at 9% FFO yield

Portfolio occupancy reached an all-time high of 96.4%, with small shop occupancy at a record 92.7%.

04
Capital Recycling

Private market cap rates well below implied public valuation

Record quarterly leasing volume of 1.2M sq ft and a record 'snow' pipeline of 390 bps ($73M ABR).

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management is bullish, citing record occupancy, a strong leasing pipeline, limited new supply, and a plan to close the gap between public valuation and private market prices. Guidance calls for continued FFO growth and acceleration in same-property NOI through 2026.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management guided 2026 development and redevelopment investment between $100 million to $150 million, with capitalized lease-related and maintenance spending of $275 million to $300 million. They are also investing in digital transformation and platform modernization to drive efficiency, though specific capex for these initiatives was not quantified.

Tone · Confident

Management emphasized record operational milestones, strong tenant demand, and a clear strategy to close the public-private valuation gap, reflecting optimism in their positioning and outlook.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Kimco plans to aggressively sell assets (including ground leases) at cap rates of 5-6% and redeploy into higher-growth properties, explicitly closing the gap between its implied public cap rate (low-to-mid 7%) and the private market.

“we believe we can sell assets across our portfolio at a blended cap rate in the 5% to 6% range, which compares favorably to our implied cap rate in the low to mid 7% range, representing a clear value creation opportunity.”
Connor Flynn
A2

Kimco's 'signed but not opened' (snow) pipeline reached a record 390 bps, representing $73M in future annual base rent, a 30% increase year-over-year, providing unprecedented visibility into future cash flows.

“The impressive deal volume has helped grow the snow pipeline to a record 390 basis points, representing $73 million of annual base rent. This is an increase of $17 million, or 30% higher than the prior year's level.”
Dave Jamison

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$0.375B–$0.45B$0.4125BINITIATED
EPSFY2026$1.80–$1.84$1.82INITIATED
Op marginFY20262.5%–3.5%3%INITIATED

Company read-throughs

-24.5%
since call
$287.65$217.05
-19.6%
since call
$129.00$103.67
-14.0%
since call
$390.68$335.96
Customers

Lowe's is utilizing ground lease structures to optimize its real estate, indicating a strategic focus on capital allocation.

“we're actually still doing deals with Walmart, with Home Depot, with Lowe's, with Target across the portfolio in similar structures where we set it up as a long-term ground lease”
Connor Flynn
+44.5%
since call
$114.45$165.35
+7.3%
since call
$99.70$107.00
Customers

Target being a key tenant in this newly acquired asset highlights its stable presence in high-quality shopping centers, reinforcing its reliance on physical stores.

“Shops at 82nd is located in an exceptionally dense infill market and is a grocery anchored center with a strong tenant roster, including Target, Chick-fil-A, Chipotle, Starbucks, and Northwell Medical.”
Ross Cooper
+22.9%
since call
$66.00$81.10
CustomersSupply-chain alpha

Kimco plans to aggressively sell assets (including ground leases) at cap rates of 5-6% and redeploy into higher-growth properties, explicitly closing the gap between its implied public cap rate (low-to-mid 7%) and the private market. — This signals potential large-scale capital recycling, which could accelerate tenant rotation and lead to significant new leases for expanding retailers.

“In one example, we're actually replacing one of the boxes with Sprout's.”
Dave Jamison
MIK
Private company
Customers

Kimco plans to aggressively sell assets (including ground leases) at cap rates of 5-6% and redeploy into higher-growth properties, explicitly closing the gap between its implied public cap rate (low-to-mid 7%) and the private market. — This signals potential large-scale capital recycling, which could accelerate tenant rotation and lead to significant new leases for expanding retailers.

“one of which is now off, is Michaels, where they've really been opportunistic in trying to restructure their capital stack. They had a... great year last year in terms of repositioning their value proposition”
Dave Jamison
+23.7%
since call
$193.25$239.04
Customers

Kimco plans to aggressively sell assets (including ground leases) at cap rates of 5-6% and redeploy into higher-growth properties, explicitly closing the gap between its implied public cap rate (low-to-mid 7%) and the private market. — This signals potential large-scale capital recycling, which could accelerate tenant rotation and lead to significant new leases for expanding retailers.

“The most recent example of this is in the fourth quarter package deal with Ross Dress for Less, in which we signed six leases that were completed within 30 days from approval to execution.”
Dave Jamison
+21.3%
since call
$415.09$503.32
Partners

Kimco's A3 rating from Moody's signals a strong balance sheet and lower credit risk, which is a positive but expected development for the rating agency's business.