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FDX FY2026 Q4 IMPROVING

FedEx Corporation earnings call

Jun 23, 2026 · 13:00 ET Brie CarereClaude RussJenny Hollander
Buzzberg read

CY26 adjusted EPS guidance $16.90-$18.10

FedEx reported strong Q4 FY26 results, beating guidance with $6.31 adjusted EPS. They initiated CY26 guidance with EPS $16.90-$18.10, implying 20% growth in the transition year. Management highlighted momentum in premium B2B verticals, Network 2.0 progress, and robust free cash flow. They also detailed the MD-11 fleet return, pilot contract costs, and stranded cost reduction from the FedEx Freight spinoff. Q4 FY26 adjusted EPS $6.31, above guidance; FY26 full-year EPS $20.24.

Buzzberg read CY26 adjusted EPS guidance $16.90-$18.10 FedEx reported strong Q4 FY26 results, beating guidance with $6.31 adjusted EPS. They initiated CY26 guidance with EPS $16.90-$18.10, implying 20% growth in the transition year. Management highlighted momentum in premium B2B verticals, Network 2.0 progress, and robust free cash flow. They also detailed the MD-11 fleet return, pilot contract costs, and stranded cost reduction from the FedEx Freight spinoff. Q4 FY26 adjusted EPS $6.31, above guidance; FY26 full-year EPS $20.24. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

FedEx reported strong Q4 FY26 results, beating guidance with $6.31 adjusted EPS. They initiated CY26 guidance with EPS $16.90-$18.10, implying 20% growth in the transition year. Management highlighted momentum in premium B2B verticals, Network 2.0 progress, and robust free cash flow. They also detailed the MD-11 fleet return, pilot contract costs, and stranded cost reduction from the FedEx Freight spinoff. Q4 FY26 adjusted EPS $6.31, above guidance; FY26 full-year EPS $20.24.

  • CY26 adjusted EPS guidance $16.90-$18.10, with revenue growth ~11% (3% from fuel surcharges).
  • FedEx Freight spinoff completed June 1; stranded costs of ~$600 million partially mitigated.
  • MD-11 fleet returning to service with Boeing support; 4 of 9 aircraft operational, full fleet back before peak.
Revenue $25.007B +4% QoQ
EPS $6.31 +20% QoQ
Gross margin 22.69% reported
Op margin 8.35% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

CY26 adjusted EPS guidance $16.90-$18.10

Guidance tone

02
Capex

CapEx at 4% of revenue, lowest since formation

Management highlighted that CapEx was $3.8 billion in FY26, 4% of revenue (lowest since formation), and they expect CapEx of approximately $3.9 billion in CY26, maintaining a disciplined approach and targeting 4% capital intensity.

03
Demand

Healthcare transport revenue nearly $10 billion

Management expressed strong confidence in the business momentum, citing a record strong finish to FY26, exceeding initial outlook, and a clear path to CY29 targets; no notable shift from prior calls.

04
AI

AI/data center space emerging growth engine

Management stated they have embedded AI into their processes and the AI/data center space is an emerging growth engine delivering double-digit revenue growth, capturing demand across the ecosystem from hyperscalers to industrial infrastructure.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management stated they have embedded AI into their processes and the AI/data center space is an emerging growth engine delivering double-digit revenue growth, capturing demand across the ecosystem from hyperscalers to industrial infrastructure.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Healthcare transport revenue nearly $10 billion. Management expressed strong confidence in the business momentum, citing a record strong finish to FY26, exceeding initial outlook, and a clear path to CY29 targets; no notable shift from prior calls.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management highlighted that CapEx was $3.8 billion in FY26, 4% of revenue (lowest since formation), and they expect CapEx of approximately $3.9 billion in CY26, maintaining a disciplined approach and targeting 4% capital intensity.

Tone · upbeat

Management expressed strong confidence in the business momentum, citing a record strong finish to FY26, exceeding initial outlook, and a clear path to CY29 targets; no notable shift from prior calls.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

FedEx is intentionally reducing ground economy volume by ~5% and international domestic volume by high single-digits, focusing on higher-yield B2B and high-value B2C.

“ground economy volume declined about 5%, a trend we expect to continue for the remainder of CY26”
Brie Carere
A2

The MD-11 fleet grounding impacted operations, but FedEx plans to have the full fleet back before peak, with only 4 of 9 aircraft returned to service so far.

“We began safely returning the MD-11s to service last month...four MD-11s to resume flight to date. we expect to have the full fleet back in service before peak.”
Raj Subramaniam
A3

The new pilot contract, effective June 29, 2026, creates a $200 million headwind in FY26 bridge, mostly hitting Q3 (calendar Q3).

“We are also assuming a $200 million headwind from the ratification of our new pilot agreement”
Claude Russ
A4

Stranded costs from the FedEx Freight spinoff total ~$600 million, with $250 million already conveyed and $100 million expected to be removed in CY26.

“we've conveyed approximately $250 million directly to FedEx...we expect to remove about 30% of the remaining stranded costs this calendar year”
Claude Russ

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was RAISED last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$3.9B$3.9BINITIATED
EPSFY2026$16.90–$18.10$17.50INITIATED

Guidance credibility

4 / 6met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q3CapexFY2026$4.1B$3.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q3EPSFY2026$19.30–$20.10$20.24Met / beat
FY2026 Q2CapexFY2026$4.5B$3.8BMissed
FY2026 Q2EPSFY2026$17.80–$19.00$20.24Met / beat
FY2026 Q1CapexFY2026$4.5B$3.8BMissed
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026$17.20–$19.00$20.24Met / beat

Company read-throughs

-3.7%
since call
$216.86$208.75
Suppliers

FedEx's MD-11 grounding and return to service involves close coordination with Boeing, indicating ongoing support and potential repair work for Boeing.

“We began safely returning the MD-11s to service last month, working in lockstep with Boeing, the FAA and the NTSB.”
Raj Subramaniam
-3.7%
since call
$216.86$208.75
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The MD-11 fleet grounding impacted operations, but FedEx plans to have the full fleet back before peak, with only 4 of 9 aircraft returned to service so far.