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EFX FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

Equifax, Inc. earnings call

Jul 21, 2026 · 04:30 ET John GambleMark BegorTrevor Burns
Buzzberg read

Doubled AI productivity goal to $150M

Equifax reported a Q2 beat with 11% revenue growth and 13% EPS growth, driven by strong diversified markets and AI-driven margin expansion. Management raised constant currency full-year guidance slightly, highlighted $300M in government contract wins (benefiting 2027), doubled AI cost savings target to $150M, and announced the acquisition of Mexico's Circulo de Credito. VantageScore adoption accelerated in mortgage, while FICO's new pricing model gained no traction. Q2 revenue $1.7B (+11% reported, +10% constant currency); EPS $2.25 (+13%) above guidance.

Buzzberg read Doubled AI productivity goal to $150M Equifax reported a Q2 beat with 11% revenue growth and 13% EPS growth, driven by strong diversified markets and AI-driven margin expansion. Management raised constant currency full-year guidance slightly, highlighted $300M in government contract wins (benefiting 2027), doubled AI cost savings target to $150M, and announced the acquisition of Mexico's Circulo de Credito. VantageScore adoption accelerated in mortgage, while FICO's new pricing model gained no traction. Q2 revenue $1.7B (+11% reported, +10% constant currency); EPS $2.25 (+13%) above guidance. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Equifax reported a Q2 beat with 11% revenue growth and 13% EPS growth, driven by strong diversified markets and AI-driven margin expansion. Management raised constant currency full-year guidance slightly, highlighted $300M in government contract wins (benefiting 2027), doubled AI cost savings target to $150M, and announced the acquisition of Mexico's Circulo de Credito. VantageScore adoption accelerated in mortgage, while FICO's new pricing model gained no traction. Q2 revenue $1.7B (+11% reported, +10% constant currency); EPS $2.25 (+13%) above guidance.

  • Full-year reported guidance unchanged; constant currency raised by Q2 beat. Q3 guidance: revenue $1.68-1.71B, EPS $2.15-2.25.
  • Government workforce solutions signed ~$300M in ACV in last 4 months, including $100M of new business for 2027; pipeline up 2x YoY.
  • VantageScore mortgage volumes tripled QoQ to 2.2M; ~100 lenders now using exclusively at $1 price. FICO's success fee model dismissed as non-viable.
Revenue $1.7001B +3% QoQ
EPS $2.25 +21% QoQ
Gross margin 54.49% reported
Op margin 18.48% reported

What changed this quarter

01
AI

Doubled AI productivity goal to $150M

Management said they accelerated AI deployment, doubling the AI for EFX productivity goal from $75 million to $150 million from 2026 to 2028, and launched 54 new products with AI capabilities embedded in the product architecture in the first half, driving a 16% new product…

02
Demand

$300M in government contract signings

Management's tone was confident, driven by strong Q2 results with 10% revenue growth, 120 bps EBITDA margin expansion, and a doubling of AI productivity savings expectations, reflecting broad-based momentum and execution against strategic priorities.

03
Other

Acquired Circulo de Credito for $750M

Full-year reported guidance unchanged; constant currency raised by Q2 beat. Q3 guidance: revenue $1.68-1.71B, EPS $2.15-2.25.

04
Demand

VantageScore volume tripled quarter-over-quarter

$300M in government contract signings. Management's tone was confident, driven by strong Q2 results with 10% revenue growth, 120 bps EBITDA margin expansion, and a doubling of AI productivity savings expectations, reflecting broad-based momentum and execution against strategic…

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management said they accelerated AI deployment, doubling the AI for EFX productivity goal from $75 million to $150 million from 2026 to 2028, and launched 54 new products with AI capabilities embedded in the product architecture in the first half, driving a 16% new product vitality index.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

$300M in government contract signings. Management's tone was confident, driven by strong Q2 results with 10% revenue growth, 120 bps EBITDA margin expansion, and a doubling of AI productivity savings expectations, reflecting broad-based momentum and execution against strategic priorities.

Tone · confident

Management's tone was confident, driven by strong Q2 results with 10% revenue growth, 120 bps EBITDA margin expansion, and a doubling of AI productivity savings expectations, reflecting broad-based momentum and execution against strategic priorities.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

VantageScore mortgage volumes surged 3x QoQ to 2.2M transactions, with 100 mortgage lenders now using VantageScore exclusively at $1/score, signaling accelerating adoption despite FICO's retaining dominant share.

“Our second quarter Vantage Score volume is up almost 3x compared to the first quarter... about 100 mortgage lenders ... who have moved to exclusively utilizing VantageScore at our $1 price point.”
Mark Begor
A2

Equifax doubled its AI-driven cost productivity target from $75M to $150M over 2026-2028, with 2026 already showing margin expansion above the 50bp long-term target.

“We now expect run rate spending savings from these AI for EFX efforts to be about $150 million from 2026 to 2028, which is double the $75 million of savings we discussed with you in February.”
Mark Begor
A3

Equifax signed ~$300M in annual contract value with state governments over the past four months, including $100M of net new business that will primarily benefit 2027.

“signing principally state government contracts that bring the total in the last four months to about $300 million, with about $100 million of the new business that will principally benefit 2027 and $200 million of contract renewals.”
Mark Begor
A4

FICO's proposed success fee model (charging $66 at loan close) is gaining no traction, with Equifax stating it makes no sense from a regulatory or consumer perspective, reinforcing the $1 VantageScore price as a durable competitive threat.

“We don't hear or see any traction on that. The idea of charging that consumer $66 for a credit score... just doesn't make a lot of sense”
Mark Begor

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $1.695B · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026 Q3$2.15–$2.25$2.20MAINTAINED
RevenueFY2026 Q3$1.68B–$1.71B$1.695BMAINTAINED

Guidance credibility

3 / 4met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$2.15–$2.25$2.25Met / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$1.68B–$1.71B$1.7001BMet / beat
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025 Q4$1.98–$2.08$2.09Met / beat
FY2025 Q3Op marginFY2025 Q433%–33.3%18.33%Missed

Company read-throughs

+6.0%
since call
$36.07$38.25
+3.3%
since call
$76.89$79.44
Partners

Equifax sells bureau data to Experian and TransUnion; weakness there may indicate shifting demand from peers.

“The only place we saw some weakness is in our sales where we actually sell to our two competitors, our D2C business”
John Gamble
-16.1%
since call
$1,245.00$1,044.21
Competitors

Equifax dismisses FICO's success fee model, signaling that VantageScore pricing undercuts FICO and that the mortgage industry will likely continue to shift.

“The idea of charging that consumer $66 for a credit score, which is what FICO is proposing with their closed loan pricing, versus a dollar with a Vantage score ... just doesn't make a lot of sense”
Mark Begor
-16.1%
since call
$1,245.00$1,044.21
+3.3%
since call
$76.89$79.44
+6.0%
since call
$36.07$38.25
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

VantageScore mortgage volumes surged 3x QoQ to 2.2M transactions, with 100 mortgage lenders now using VantageScore exclusively at $1/score, signaling accelerating adoption despite FICO's retaining dominant share.

-16.1%
since call
$1,245.00$1,044.21
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

FICO's proposed success fee model (charging $66 at loan close) is gaining no traction, with Equifax stating it makes no sense from a regulatory or consumer perspective, reinforcing the $1 VantageScore price as a durable competitive threat.