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C FY2025 Q4 RAISED

Citigroup, Inc. earnings call

Jan 14, 2026 · 11:00 ET Jane FraserJen LandisMark Nathan
Buzzberg read

NII ex-markets expected to grow 5-6% in 2026

Citi reported a strong Q4 2025, with record revenues across all five businesses, positive operating leverage, and increased capital returns. Management is optimistic about the future, expecting another year of growth and efficiency gains. Adjusted EPS of $1.81 and adjusted ROTC of 7.7% for Q4.

Buzzberg read NII ex-markets expected to grow 5-6% in 2026 Citi reported a strong Q4 2025, with record revenues across all five businesses, positive operating leverage, and increased capital returns. Management is optimistic about the future, expecting another year of growth and efficiency gains. Adjusted EPS of $1.81 and adjusted ROTC of 7.7% for Q4. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Citi reported a strong Q4 2025, with record revenues across all five businesses, positive operating leverage, and increased capital returns. Management is optimistic about the future, expecting another year of growth and efficiency gains. Adjusted EPS of $1.81 and adjusted ROTC of 7.7% for Q4.

  • Full-year adjusted net income surpassed $16 billion, with revenues up 7%.
  • Services, Markets, and Banking all reported record revenues for the year.
  • Wealth management saw 14% revenue growth, with 8% organic net new investment assets.
Revenue $40.855B reported
TTS revenue $5.7B reported
EPS $1.19 reported
Gross margin 43.2% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

NII ex-markets expected to grow 5-6% in 2026

Guidance · revenue to 5.5%

02
Margins

Efficiency ratio target around 60% with positive operating leverage

Reported gross margin was 43.2%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

03
Buybacks

Management will keep returning excess capital to shareholders

Full-year adjusted net income surpassed $16 billion, with revenues up 7%.

04
Markets

Markets revenue expected roughly flat in 2026

Services, Markets, and Banking all reported record revenues for the year.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management highlighted that AI adoption is scaling, with proprietary tools used over 21 million times across 84 countries and adoption above 70%, and said the focus is shifting to using AI/automation to re-engineer 50+ large processes like KYC and loan underwriting to improve client experience and reduce expenses.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management's tone is confident and forward-looking, emphasizing strong performance, continued investment, and commitment to achieving its target returns, signaling positive momentum and growth expectations.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management did not provide a capex figure but said it will continue investing in technology and transformation to support revenue growth, with capacity funded by productivity savings, lower severance, and reduced transformation costs while still targeting another year of positive operating leverage.

Tone · Upbeat

Management projects strong momentum, with Jane saying 'We are now decidedly on the front foot' and Mark describing Citi as 'on the upswing, with nothing but upside from here.'

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Citi's Global Subsidiaries Group (TTS) is seeing a surge in new client onboarding, evidenced by a 24% growth in assets under custody and administration, which is partly driven by market valuations but also indicates significant new asset wins, particularly in North America.

“And we'd expect that momentum to continue, particularly with some of the big wins we've seen on security services side in North America in particular.”
Mark Nathan
A2

Citi's EMEA operations are seeing a notable slowdown in consumer spending and loan growth, particularly in its retail services business, which is partially attributed to lower foot traffic and sales at partner locations.

“While growth has been impacted by foot traffic and sales at some of our partners, we continue to see strong returns across the retail services portfolio.”
Mark Nathan
A3

Despite strong revenues, Citi's expenses rose 6% in Q4, driven by higher legal expenses and performance-related compensation in its Markets business, hinting at industry-wide cost pressures.

“Expenses increased 14%, primarily driven by higher legal expenses, compensation and benefits, technology, and volume-related expenses.”
Mark Nathan

Forward guidance

RaisedGuidance · revenue to 5.5%
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
Op marginFY202660%60%MAINTAINED
RevenueFY20265%–6%above vs consensus5.5%RAISED

Company read-throughs

-0.6%
since call
$240.93$239.56
+2.6%
since call
$25.30$25.95
-10.9%
since call
$154.34$137.51
-24.0%
since call
$64.88$49.30
Customers

Citi's advisory relationship with Boeing indicates ongoing deal activity, but provides no specific revenue or demand signal for Boeing.

“Citi had a role in 15 out of the 25 largest investment banking transactions of the year and advised Boeing, Pfizer, Nippon Steel, Mars, Johnson & Johnson, Blackstone and TPG.”
Jane Fraser
+5.8%
since call
$1,076.92$1,139.00
Partners

Citi's wealth management partnership with BlackRock is deepening, indicating a push into asset management distribution that could benefit BlackRock's flows.

“it includes notable partnerships, with industry leaders such as BlackRock that have enhanced our open architecture platform and are elevating the client experience.”
Jane Fraser
+1.0%
since call
$941.81$951.27
+9.8%
since call
$15.07$16.54
Partners

Citi's Costco co-brand card is contributing to growth, though specific metrics for Costco are not disclosed.

“robust engagement from customers in spend, borrowing, and new account acquisitions across our proprietary offerings and our American Airlines and Costco partnerships.”
Jane Fraser
+6.2%
since call
$540.55$573.80
+13.5%
since call
$326.01$370.15
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Citi's EMEA operations are seeing a notable slowdown in consumer spending and loan growth, particularly in its retail services business, which is partially attributed to lower foot traffic and sales at partner locations. — This indicates a potential softening in consumer credit demand, which may foreshadow lower payment volumes for network giants like Visa and Mastercard.

+17.8%
since call
$308.05$362.72
since call
$10.26$159.84
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Citi's Global Subsidiaries Group (TTS) is seeing a surge in new client onboarding, evidenced by a 24% growth in assets under custody and administration, which is partly driven by market valuations but also indicates significant new asset wins, particularly in North America. — This suggests Citi is taking market share from larger custody players like BNY Mellon and JPMorgan in a high-margin business, which could pressure their growth in this segment.

+15.1%
since call
$927.75$1,068.00
+21.9%
since call
$180.46$220.00
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Despite strong revenues, Citi's expenses rose 6% in Q4, driven by higher legal expenses and performance-related compensation in its Markets business, hinting at industry-wide cost pressures. — This suggests that major investment banks are facing rising costs for talent and legal matters, which could compress margins for competitors like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.