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CEG FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

Constellation Energy Corporation earnings call

Aug 26, 2026 · 09:00 ET Joe DominguezShane SmithTim Flottemesch
Buzzberg read

Raised full-year EPS guidance by $0.50

Constellation Energy reported a strong Q2 with EPS of $2.55, raised its full-year guidance by $0.50 to $11.50-$12.50, and highlighted significant progress on regulatory clarity, including the signing of ~920MW of long-term nuclear PPAs and a favorable FERC push on co-location rules. Constellation signed ~920MW of long-term nuclear PPAs with investment-grade customers across various industries, averaging 18.5 years in duration.

Buzzberg read Raised full-year EPS guidance by $0.50 Constellation Energy reported a strong Q2 with EPS of $2.55, raised its full-year guidance by $0.50 to $11.50-$12.50, and highlighted significant progress on regulatory clarity, including the signing of ~920MW of long-term nuclear PPAs and a favorable FERC push on co-location rules. Constellation signed ~920MW of long-term nuclear PPAs with investment-grade customers across various industries, averaging 18.5 years in duration. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Constellation Energy reported a strong Q2 with EPS of $2.55, raised its full-year guidance by $0.50 to $11.50-$12.50, and highlighted significant progress on regulatory clarity, including the signing of ~920MW of long-term nuclear PPAs and a favorable FERC push on co-location rules. Constellation signed ~920MW of long-term nuclear PPAs with investment-grade customers across various industries, averaging 18.5 years in duration.

  • Raised FY2026 EPS guidance to $11.50-$12.50 from $11.00-$12.00, citing commercial performance and capital allocation benefits.
  • Progress on the Calpine integration includes the $860 million sale of Brazos Valley to LS Power, satisfying remaining DOJ obligations.
  • NRC approved the Crane (TMI) restart fuel amendment, and license renewals were filed for Ginna and Nine Mile Point.
Revenue $7.506B -33% QoQ
EPS $2.55 -7% QoQ
Op margin 7.73% reported
Free cash flow $-0.118B reported

What changed this quarter

01
Guidance

Raised full-year EPS guidance by $0.50

Guidance tone

02
Demand

Signed 920 MW of long-term nuclear contracts

Signed ~920 MW of long-term nuclear contracts with investment-grade customers (average 18.5 years), contracting ~30% of clean baseload output; pipeline robust and active, with customer sophistication improving.

03
Divestiture

Brazos Valley sale at $1,420/kW

Raised FY2026 EPS guidance to $11.50-$12.50 from $11.00-$12.00, citing commercial performance and capital allocation benefits.

04
Regulatory

FERC ordering faster large-load interconnection

Progress on the Calpine integration includes the $860 million sale of Brazos Valley to LS Power, satisfying remaining DOJ obligations.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management discussed growing demand from data centers and AI, emphasizing the need to connect large loads efficiently, with regulatory progress enabling contracting for around-the-clock carbon-free power for customers like Walmart.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Signed ~920 MW of long-term nuclear contracts with investment-grade customers (average 18.5 years), contracting ~30% of clean baseload output; pipeline robust and active, with customer sophistication improving.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capital allocation focused on $2.2B share repurchases year-to-date, with potential for additional buybacks; also preparing sites for new nuclear development, though no imminent major capex.

Tone · Upbeat

Management emphasized strong operational performance, raised guidance, and highlighted accelerating regulatory clarity and robust deal flow.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

PJM's move to procure 6.8GW of capacity through the Reliability Backstop Procurement, alongside FERC's push for co-location tariff clarity, is the key near-term catalyst for nuclear PPA deal flow.

“PJM has also established a clear target of 6.8 gigawatts for the RBP and we are currently in the bilateral matchmaking process... PJM has proposed conducting the procurement option this fall with results expected by year end.”
Joe Dominguez
A2

Constellation is urging EPA to exclude FERC-curtailed hours from the 50-hour limit on data center backup generators, which could unlock significant stranded capacity utilization.

“Constellation and other stakeholders are urging EPA to make clear that any curtailments ultimately directed by FERC tariffs should be excluded from the 50-hour annual limit for the use of backup generators at data centers.”
Joe Dominguez
A3

Battery storage additions in ERCOT are arriving earlier than the corresponding data center load, suppressing power prices as expected; markets will tighten as the load materializes.

“What we're seeing in Texas is what we fully anticipated. The battery storage and other things you're talking about started earlier and they're arriving on the grid earlier than the load is.”
Joe Dominguez

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$11.50–$12.50$12.00RAISED

Company read-throughs

+0.2%
since call
$105.85$106.10
Customers

Walmart's first nuclear PPA validates corporate demand for 24/7 clean power and positions it as a leader in decarbonization procurement, likely signaling follow-on deals with other large retailers.

“Walmart is helping to define how corporate customers think about nuclear energy, reflecting a growing recognition that achieving ambitious decarbonization goals requires access to around-the-clock carbon-free generations.”
Joe Dominguez
ANDURIL
Private company
Customers

While the 920MW of deals are undisclosed, Anduril's publicized presence in data center and defense AI load growth aligns with the customer types (data centers) that are likely signing these long-term nuclear PPAs.

“This transaction is only the beginning of a wonderful partnership with this iconic American company. A Walmart deal taken together with the others this quarter reinforces the broad appeal of our products”
Joe Dominguez
OPENAI
Private company
Customers

OpenAI and other AI developers' data center demands likely underpin the 920MW of long-term contracts signed, reinforcing their reliance on round-the-clock nuclear power to meet AI training loads.

“The concerns underlying the opposition to data centers are far from unsolvable. Indeed, I would suggest to you that if we can restart Crane at Three Mile Island and earn overwhelming political and public support, then we can certainly earn”
Joe Dominguez
+2.1%
since call
$488.09$498.21
Customers

Microsoft's earlier PPA with Constellation sets the precedent for hyperscaler demand; the latest undisclosed deals likely mirror that structure, showing continued enterprise appetite for nuclear power.

“the Walmart deal taken together with the others this quarter reinforces the broad appeal of our products and capabilities to customers of all kinds.”
Joe Dominguez
+3.1%
since call
$139.69$143.99
+0.5%
since call
$106.23$106.75
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Battery storage additions in ERCOT are arriving earlier than the corresponding data center load, suppressing power prices as expected; markets will tighten as the load materializes. — Texas generators are absorbing the current oversupply, but the eventual data center load growth will tighten the market, supporting future spark spreads.