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AVGO FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Broadcom Inc. earnings call

Mar 04, 2026 · 17:00 ET Charlie KawasGuHawk Tan
Buzzberg read

Line of sight to over $100B AI chip revenue in 2027

Broadcom delivered a blowout quarter and guided next quarter's revenue up 47% YoY, driven by explosive AI semiconductor demand. Management provided unprecedented visibility, guided by explicit customer commitments, with AI chip revenue expected to exceed $100B in FY2027. They countered bearish narratives on Meta's MTIA program and OpenAI's custom silicon ambitions, while emphasizing their strategic, multi-year partnerships and secured supply chain. Q1 FY2026 revenue was $19.3B, up 29% YoY, beating guidance on the back of AI semiconductor strength.

Buzzberg read Line of sight to over $100B AI chip revenue in 2027 Broadcom delivered a blowout quarter and guided next quarter's revenue up 47% YoY, driven by explosive AI semiconductor demand. Management provided unprecedented visibility, guided by explicit customer commitments, with AI chip revenue expected to exceed $100B in FY2027. They countered bearish narratives on Meta's MTIA program and OpenAI's custom silicon ambitions, while emphasizing their strategic, multi-year partnerships and secured supply chain. Q1 FY2026 revenue was $19.3B, up 29% YoY, beating guidance on the back of AI semiconductor strength. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Broadcom delivered a blowout quarter and guided next quarter's revenue up 47% YoY, driven by explosive AI semiconductor demand. Management provided unprecedented visibility, guided by explicit customer commitments, with AI chip revenue expected to exceed $100B in FY2027. They countered bearish narratives on Meta's MTIA program and OpenAI's custom silicon ambitions, while emphasizing their strategic, multi-year partnerships and secured supply chain. Q1 FY2026 revenue was $19.3B, up 29% YoY, beating guidance on the back of AI semiconductor strength.

  • Q2 FY2026 revenue guidance is $22B (up 47% YoY), with AI semiconductor revenue expected to surge 140% YoY to $10.7B.
  • Management gave a landmark FY2027 outlook, with line of sight to over $100B in AI chip revenue alone.
  • Revealed OpenAI as a new, sixth customer for custom XPUs, planning to deploy over 1GW of compute in 2027.
AI revenue $8.4B +29% QoQ
SEMICONDUCTOR revenue $12.5B reported
Revenue $19.311B +7% QoQ
EPS $2.05 +5% QoQ

What changed this quarter

01
AI

Line of sight to over $100B AI chip revenue in 2027

Management said AI demand is accelerating sharply, with custom XPU deployments across six customers and AI networking growing. They now have line of sight to exceed $100B in AI chip revenue in 2027 and framed custom XPU programs as strategic, multi-year engagements rather than…

02
AI

OpenAI added as sixth XPU customer with 1GW+ in 2027

Management said AI demand is accelerating sharply, with custom XPU deployments across six customers and AI networking growing. They now have line of sight to exceed $100B in AI chip revenue in 2027 and framed custom XPU programs as strategic, multi-year engagements rather than…

03
AI

Meta's MTIA roadmap is alive and shipping

Management said AI demand is accelerating sharply, with custom XPU deployments across six customers and AI networking growing. They now have line of sight to exceed $100B in AI chip revenue in 2027 and framed custom XPU programs as strategic, multi-year engagements rather than…

04
Networking

AI networking to reach 40% of AI revenue in Q2

Management gave a landmark FY2027 outlook, with line of sight to over $100B in AI chip revenue alone.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management said AI demand is accelerating sharply, with custom XPU deployments across six customers and AI networking growing. They now have line of sight to exceed $100B in AI chip revenue in 2027 and framed custom XPU programs as strategic, multi-year engagements rather than optionality.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Broadcom's guidance is aggressively positive, with AI chip revenue expected to exceed $100B in 2027, driven by custom XPU deployments and secure supply chain capacity.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capex/capacity emphasis is on securing external supply rather than heavy internal capex: management has locked up leading-edge wafers, HBM, and substrates through 2028 and built inventory to support accelerating AI shipments.

Tone · Bullish

Management repeatedly raised guidance, highlighted dramatic visibility into 2027, and dismissed competitive threats from customer-owned tooling.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Broadcom's custom XPU deployments are shifting from single-purpose training to specialized, disaggregated architectures with separate chips for training and inference, driving a need for more silicon per customer.

“they will start to develop two chips each year simultaneously. One for training, one for inference to be specialized.”
Hawk Tan
A2

Broadcom's networking revenue mix will fluctuate between 33% and 40% of total AI revenue, driven by the superiority of its Tomahawk 6 switch and 1.6T DSP, positioning it as a key share gainer in AI networking.

“we expect as a composition of our total AI revenue in any quarter, that we'll be ranging between probably 33% to 40% AI networking components.”
Hawk Tan
A3

Broadcom is guiding for direct attach copper (DAC) to remain the primary scale-up interconnect through 400G, delaying the adoption of co-packaged optics (CPO) despite being a leader in the technology.

“you don't need to go run into some bright shiny objects called CPO even as we are the lead in CPOs. CPOs will come in its time, not this year, maybe not next year, but in its time.”
Hawk Tan

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $22B · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
RevenueAIFY2027$100B$100BGUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q2$22B$22BGUIDED
RevenueSEMICONDUCTORFY2026 Q2$14.8B$14.8BGUIDED
RevenueAIFY2026 Q2$10.7B$10.7BGUIDED

Guidance credibility

5 / 9met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q2Gross marginFY2026 Q374%69.13%Missed
FY2026 Q2Op marginFY2026 Q367%53.92%Missed
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$16B$16.7BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$8.9B$8.8BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$29.4B$29.591BMet / beat
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$20.5B$20.8BMet / beat
FY2025 Q4Gross marginFY2026 Q177%65.57%Missed
FY2025 Q4Op marginFY2026 Q167%44.95%Missed
FY2025 Q4RevenueFY2026 Q1$19.1B$19.311BMet / beat

Company read-throughs

ANTHROPIC
Private company
Customers

Anthropic's custom TPU demand with Broadcom is scaling dramatically, surging from 1GW in 2026 to over 3GW in 2027, signaling massive compute capacity expansion.

“For Entropic, we are off to a very good start in 2026 for one gigawatt of TPU compute. And for 2027, this demand is expected to surge in excess of three gigawatts of compute.”
Hawk Tan
+11.9%
since call
$303.13$339.30
Customers

Google's demand for Broadcom's custom TPUs remains strong, with growth expected to continue through 2027 and beyond with next-generation TPUs.

“For Google, we continue our trajectory of growth in 26 with strong demand for the seventh generation Ironwood TPU. In 2027 and beyond, we expect to see even stronger demand from next generations of TPU.”
Hawk Tan
-10.2%
since call
$667.65$599.71
Customers

Broadcom is refuting rumors of Meta's MTIA program being canceled, confirming active shipments and strong scaling to multiple gigawatts in 2027 and beyond.

“Now, contrary to recent analyst reports, Meta's custom accelerator MTIA roadmap is alive and well. We're shipping now. And in fact, for the next generation XPUs, we will scale to multiple gigawatts in 27 and beyond.”
Hawk Tan
OPENAI
Private company
Customers

OpenAI is a new, sixth customer for Broadcom's custom XPUs, expected to deploy over 1GW of compute capacity in 2027, further validating Broadcom's custom silicon strategy.

“We also now have a sixth customer. We expect OpenAI to deploy in volume their first generation XPU in 2027 and over one gigawatt of compute capacity.”
Hawk Tan
+23.4%
since call
$182.70$225.44
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom's custom XPU deployments are shifting from single-purpose training to specialized, disaggregated architectures with separate chips for training and inference, driving a need for more silicon per customer. — This signifies a strategic shift away from Nvidia's general-purpose GPUs, as hyperscalers and LLM developers demand increasingly specialized silicon to improve efficiency and performance.

+164.8%
since call
$78.18$207.00
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom is guiding for direct attach copper (DAC) to remain the primary scale-up interconnect through 400G, delaying the adoption of co-packaged optics (CPO) despite being a leader in the technology. — This indicates a slower-than-expected adoption timeline for CPO, potentially impacting companies with significant CPO investments, while validating Broadcom's DAC-centric approach.

+23.4%
since call
$182.70$225.44
+164.8%
since call
$78.18$207.00
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Broadcom's networking revenue mix will fluctuate between 33% and 40% of total AI revenue, driven by the superiority of its Tomahawk 6 switch and 1.6T DSP, positioning it as a key share gainer in AI networking.