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AAPL FY2026 Q3 Softening

Apple Inc. earnings call

Jul 30, 2026 · 17:00 ET Apple Investor RelationsKevinTim Cook earningscall_biz
Buzzberg read

iPhone revenue up 22% to $54.3B

Apple reported strong June quarter results with iPhone revenue up 22%, but guided for a sharp deceleration to 9-11% growth in September due to significant supply constraints on advanced SOC nodes and FX headwinds. Gross margins are pressured by a '100-year flood' in memory pricing, leading to price increases on iPad and Mac. Enterprise adoption continues with wins at Morgan Stanley, Disney, and Credit Agricole, and education displacement of Windows/Chromebooks is accelerating. Services growth slowed to 12% with further deceleration expected. iPhone revenue $54.3B (+22% YoY) driven by iPhone 17 family, with double-digit growth in most markets.

Buzzberg read iPhone revenue up 22% to $54.3B Apple reported strong June quarter results with iPhone revenue up 22%, but guided for a sharp deceleration to 9-11% growth in September due to significant supply constraints on advanced SOC nodes and FX headwinds. Gross margins are pressured by a '100-year flood' in memory pricing, leading to price increases on iPad and Mac. Enterprise adoption continues with wins at Morgan Stanley, Disney, and Credit Agricole, and education displacement of Windows/Chromebooks is accelerating. Services growth slowed to 12% with further deceleration expected. iPhone revenue $54.3B (+22% YoY) driven by iPhone 17 family, with double-digit growth in most markets. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Apple reported strong June quarter results with iPhone revenue up 22%, but guided for a sharp deceleration to 9-11% growth in September due to significant supply constraints on advanced SOC nodes and FX headwinds. Gross margins are pressured by a '100-year flood' in memory pricing, leading to price increases on iPad and Mac. Enterprise adoption continues with wins at Morgan Stanley, Disney, and Credit Agricole, and education displacement of Windows/Chromebooks is accelerating. Services growth slowed to 12% with further deceleration expected. iPhone revenue $54.3B (+22% YoY) driven by iPhone 17 family, with double-digit growth in most markets.

  • September quarter revenue guided to 9-11% YoY growth, below consensus, due to supply constraints on advanced SOC nodes and FX headwinds.
  • Gross margin guided to 47-48% (vs 48.1% reported), with memory cost inflation as the primary driver.
  • Apple raised prices on iPad and Mac due to exponential memory price increases; expects memory costs to continue rising beyond September.
IPAD Revenue$6.2BReported
IPHONE Revenue$54.3BReported
SERVICES Revenue$30.7BReported
Revenue$109.417B-2% QoQ
6 grounded callouts

What matters now

The highest-signal changes from the call.

01
Demand

iPhone revenue up 22% to $54.3B

02
Guidance

September quarter revenue guided 9-11% growth

03
Supply chain

Supply constraints to increase significantly in September

Show 3 more callouts
04
Margins

Memory costs driving price increases and margin impact

05
AI

Siri AI receives overwhelmingly positive feedback

06
AI

On-device AI advantages driving enterprise adoption

Reported period

Actuals

MetricReportedChange
IPAD Revenue$6.2BReported
IPHONE Revenue$54.3BReported
SERVICES Revenue$30.7BReported
Revenue$109.417B-2% QoQ
WEARABLES Revenue$7.9BReported
EPS$2.02+0% QoQ
Forward-looking

Forward guidance

MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
Gross marginFY2026 Q447%–48%47.5%Guided
RevenueFY2026 Q49%–11%10%Guided
AI, capex & demand read

Management read

Tone

confident

Management struck a confident tone, driven by strong iPhone demand, record services revenue, and optimism about Siri AI, despite acknowledging supply constraints and memory cost headwinds; Tim Cook expressed never being more optimistic.

AI

Management AI read

Management expressed strong enthusiasm for Siri AI, highlighting overwhelmingly positive feedback from developers and public beta, and noted that on-device AI advantages are driving enterprise adoption. They see enormous opportunities in AI and plan to monetize through iCloud Plus upgrades for heavy users.

all 7 named companies below

Companiesreturns since call

Customers

Customers

Morgan Stanley is a large enterprise customer adopting Apple devices, signaling enterprise momentum for iPhone.

Evidence
“Morgan Stanley has deployed over 20,000 iPhone 17 devices globally as part of a shift from employee-owned to corporate-owned devices for reliability and security.”
Kevin
Customers

Disney is using Apple Macs for on-device AI, reducing cloud costs and indicating competitive advantage for Apple in creative workflows.

Evidence
“At Disney, creative teams are increasingly turning to Mac for on-device AI workflows that reduce overall cloud token costs and keep their IP secure.”
Kevin
Customers

Credit Agricole is deploying Mac for on-device AI in banking, showcasing productivity gains and enterprise adoption outside the US.

Evidence
“Credit Agricole, France's leading retail bank, is using on-device AI and MacBook Pro to streamline regulatory workflows, reducing manual processing time by over 80%.”
Kevin

Supply chain

Supply chain

Apple is raising prices on iPad and Mac due to a '100-year flood' in memory pricing, and expects further memory cost increases beyond September. — Memory inflation is a major headwind for Apple's gross margins, but a tailwind for memory suppliers like Micron, suggesting pricing power for those suppliers.

Evidence
“We reluctantly raised prices because we're in what I would characterize as a 100-year flood on memory pricing, with exponential increases in memory prices.”
Tim Cook
Supply chain

Apple's supply constraints on advanced SOC nodes are driven by demand exceeding expectations for iPhone and Mac, with limited supply chain flexibility. — Strong iPhone/Mac demand is straining TSMC's advanced node capacity, likely benefiting TSMC but could limit Apple's ability to meet demand.

Evidence
“The primary issue is advanced nodes that we run our SOCs on. That's the primary supply constraint now, and the root cause is a demand forecast issue.”
Tim Cook
Supply chain

Approximately half of MacBook Neo large purchases by US education institutions in the quarter displaced Windows and Chromebook devices. — Apple is gaining share in education from Microsoft and Google, threatening their installed base in a key market.

Evidence
“In the last quarter, about half of the MacBook Neo large purchases by US education institutions displaced Windows and Chromebook devices.”
Kevin
External signals

Supply-chain alpha · 3returns since call

A1

Apple is raising prices on iPad and Mac due to a '100-year flood' in memory pricing, and expects further memory cost increases beyond September.

A2

Apple's supply constraints on advanced SOC nodes are driven by demand exceeding expectations for iPhone and Mac, with limited supply chain flexibility.

Methodology & coverage

Management-only analysis. All 7 validated company mentions are shown. Reported actuals and forward guidance are kept separate. Public evidence is limited to eight short attributed quotes. AI-generated analysis can be incomplete or wrong; verify important claims against the original source.