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21:00
Jul 28 ◎
Jul 28 ◎
MDLZ
▾
HIGH
Management raised its top-line guidance, citing sustained momentum in emerging markets, improving North America execution, and a stabilizing Europe, while reiterating its full-year EPS outlook due to planned reinvestment.
"We're expecting a very strong second half in North America."
MDLZ WATCH
HIGH
21:00
Apr 28 ◎
Apr 28 ◎
WMT
COST
MDLZ
▾
HIGH
Walmart and Costco are outperforming the broader US biscuit market in terms of category growth, indicating a channel shift benefiting these retailers.
"For instance, Walmart, the value channel, and Costco saw biscuits grow over 4% versus the total U.S. biscuit market, which was only 0.3% up."
WMT WATCH
Costco is a key growth channel for biscuits, growing significantly faster than the overall US biscuit market.
"For instance, Walmart, the value channel, and Costco saw biscuits grow over 4% versus the total U.S. biscuit market, which was only 0.3% up."
COST WATCH
Mondelez is ahead of expectations in Q1 but is maintaining full-year EPS guidance due to unplanned headwinds from the Middle East crisis, balancing strong momentum with increased costs.
"So look, I think it's fair to say we are ahead of expectation in Q1, but on the reminder of the year, while we continue to be cautiously optimistic, we need also to address some headwinds that we didn't have in our original forecast,"
MDLZ WATCH
HIGH
22:00
Feb 03 ◎
Feb 03 ◎
MDLZ
GIS
K
SJM
▾
MED
Management's 2026 guidance is deliberately cautious with an organic sales outlook of 0-2%, reflecting subdued U.S. biscuit demand, European chocolate disruption risks, and potential competitive reactions to a sudden cocoa price drop.
"The guiding principle of the guidance was to be prudent, particularly as we see some short-term pressure points, like in the U.S."
MDLZ WATCH
Mondelez explicitly downplays the recent price cut signal from 'another company' (likely Kellanova/General Mills) in the U.S., arguing that its own aggressive promotional strategy in 2025 failed to yield returns; instead, it will focus on volume-driving activations and premium 'better-for-you' brands. — The pricing war in U.S. snacking is likely to be less aggressive than a competitor's headline cut suggests, as MDLZ is signaling it won't follow suit on broad price cuts, preferring to defend margin while competitors may lose share if they don't match.
"We started off 25 and were quite aggressive on promotions and on deals, working on price. I have to say, it didn't give us a return on our investment. So in the second half of 25, we changed our strategy."
GIS WATCH
K WATCH
The U.S. consumer is in a 'K-shaped' recession for snacking: the average shopping basket hasn't grown in 2-3 years, and consumers are prioritizing 'basics' (milk, meat, bread) over discretionary snacks, with U.S. biscuit category volumes down -4% in the last three months. — The demand environment within snacking is diverging: staples (SJM) are pulling share of wallet, while discretionary categories like biscuits are in volume decline; expect continued promotional intensity in the category.
"The average shopping basket of the consumer in the U.S., whether you're in the higher or in the lower social economic classes, has not increased for the last two, three years. Within that basket, they've spent more money on the basics,"
SJM WATCH
MED
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