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23:11
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
6h
STOCKS
Speculative single-digit stocks
XBI
SPY
actively managed mutual funds
▾
HIGH
Young investors should favor stocks over bonds.
Younger investors should be almost entirely in stocks and avoid bonds until at least their mid-50s, because over the last 40 years stocks have been the right way to grow wealth and young people have decades to ride through down markets.
STOCKS LONG
Young investors can take more risk.
Investors in their 20s can afford to take much more risk, including speculative single-digit stocks and tiny biotech companies, because if they lose money they have decades in the workforce to earn it back; older investors need more caution.
Speculative single-digit stocks LONG
XBI LONG
Use low-cost S&P 500 index funds.
A low-cost S&P 500 index fund is the best passive core holding for most investors, especially inside restricted 401k plans, because it has ultra-low fees and lets participants capture broad market performance without picking individual stocks.
SPY LONG
Avoid actively managed mutual funds.
Actively managed mutual funds are a bad deal for most investors because managers are paid based on assets under management rather than performance, most underperform their benchmarks, and high fees eat any outperformance.
actively managed mutual funds AVOID
Avoid sector ETFs for stock pickers.
Individual investors should avoid sector-based mutual funds and ETFs because a diversified fund should already provide adequate exposure, and if an investor is going to take the time to play sectors, they are better off picking individual stocks.
Sector ETFs AVOID
Most ETFs are for trading, not investing.
Most ETFs should be treated as trading vehicles rather than long-term investments because many rebalance daily, which can erode long-term performance and cause losses even when the investor is right; the main exceptions are GLD and S&P 500 ETFs.
ETFs AVOID
GLD is simple gold exposure.
GLD is an ETF he likes as a simple way to play gold, making it one of the few ETF exceptions he endorses for investors.
GLD LONG
Prefer Eli Lilly over Bristol-Myers.
Investors should trim dominant winners such as Eli Lilly and Apple so a portfolio does not become overly concentrated in one company; even the best companies were hit in the 2022 pullback, so reducing position size manages risk.
LLY LONG
AAPL AVOID
Prefer Eli Lilly over Bristol-Myers.
Cramer prefers Eli Lilly over Bristol-Myers because Lilly's growth rate makes him less worried about its price/earnings ratio, implying the growth justifies the valuation.
BMY AVOID
HIGH
22:42
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
7h
SPY
US10Y 1ST
GLD
▾
HIGH
S&P stalls near 782 resistance
The S&P 500/SPY has been remarkably resilient but is stalled just below its measured SPY target of 782 after making an all-time high at 779; he is cautiously optimistic but worried if the market starts breaking under 762 on multiple closes.
SPY WATCH
Ten-year Treasury yields heading higher
The 10-year Treasury yield is ultimately heading higher from a secular technical perspective; he told clients in late March they would not see 4% again this cycle, sees a minimum upside target of 5.6%, and gives an ultimate target of 6.07.
US10Y LONG
Gold consolidating above a solid low
Gold is likely to consolidate for a while after selling off 30% from its peak and retracing about half of that decline; the low made two months ago is probably a solid low, but he does not expect an immediate scream to new all-time highs.
GLD WATCH
HIGH
22:41
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
7h
DTCR
▾
MED
Pause data centers to answer transparency questions
Daniel Castro argues data centers are the physical infrastructure powering America's AI economy and should not face statewide moratoriums or bans. He contends local concerns around electricity, noise, and water can be managed like other large infrastructure projects, while large hyperscalers are already adding clean energy and water-positive projects and data centers generate large local tax revenue, so building them responsibly is an economic upside.
DTCR WATCH
MED
22:09
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
7h
2-Year Treasury Yield
WTI
long-term U.S. Treasuries
SPY
▾
HIGH
Rate hikes delayed until after midterms.
The August jobs report was non-inflationary and gives the Fed room to hike, but the September FOMC is politically constrained by the midterm elections and Trump's tariff threats. Siegel expects rate increases to be delayed until after the election, potentially in December, if inflation data forces action.
2-Year Treasury Yield WATCH
Iran escalation could send oil higher.
Iran is a wild card that could escalate missile attacks before the election, sending oil prices higher and potentially pushing up bond yields, which could force the Fed's hand on inflation.
WTI WATCH
Fed hike could lower long rates.
If the Fed makes a strong move, it could actually lower long-term interest rates by signaling that the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility is intact and it will act, which would support long-term Treasury prices.
long-term U.S. Treasuries LONG
Market may rally after Fed hike.
The stock market would initially have a negative reaction to a September Fed rate hike, but then turn positive because investors would be reassured that the Fed is serious about getting inflation under control.
SPY LONG
HIGH
21:57
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
7h
Fed Funds Rate
US Long Bond (30-Year Treasury Yield)
▾
HIGH
Fed should hold rates, not hike/cut.
The August jobs report overstates labor market strength; underlying monthly job growth is only about 50k and wage growth is slowing. With core CPI expected to come in soft around 0.1-0.2% month-over-month and 2.3-2.4% year-over-year, and inflation expectations anchored, Zandi argues the Fed should not raise or cut rates. He says the Fed should hold the line, wait for the CPI report, and see how the data plays out.
Fed Funds Rate WATCH
Rate cuts would spike long-term yields.
Zandi says he is perplexed by calls for rate cuts because cutting rates would be counterproductive: inflation expectations would rise and long-term interest rates would rise, with the long bond potentially moving well above 5% and 30-year fixed rates also moving higher.
US Long Bond (30-Year Treasury Yield) WATCH
HIGH
21:18
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
8h
UGA 1ST
Diesel-crude spread
CRAK 1ST
▾
HIGH
Diesel prices biased higher on tight supply
Record U.S. diesel prices are supported by tight supply: Russia is extending its diesel export ban, product tanker transits through Hormuz haven't picked up significantly, and U.S. distillate production is about 127,000 barrels per day below 2025 due to lighter/sweeter crudes. Diesel demand is also inelastic into harvest season because farmers must run equipment, so demand destruction is limited and prices could stay higher.
UGA LONG
Diesel-crude spread widening on supply constraints
The spread between crude and diesel is widening because Russia is extending its diesel export ban and product tanker transits through Hormuz have not picked up significantly, making diesel relatively stronger versus crude.
Diesel-crude spread LONG
Refiners running hard on attractive economics
Refiners around the world are running flat out because refining economics are very attractive, so any refiner with available capacity is running, which supports the refining sector.
CRAK LONG
HIGH
20:35
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
9h
DIESEL
Heating fuel
▾
HIGH
Refinery shortages propel diesel prices higher
Diesel prices are being driven higher by a shortage of global refinery spare capacity: Middle East refineries have been targeted in the war with Iran, product is not getting out of the Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine is targeting Russian refineries, and US refineries are running at 98% utilization.
DIESEL LONG
Heating fuel bills will be shockingly high
Diesel is closely related to heating fuel, and as colder November weather arrives around midterm elections, households will get their first heating bills of the season and they will be shockingly high.
Heating fuel LONG
HIGH
19:39
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
10h
DIESEL 1ST
WTI 1ST
DBC 1ST
SPY 1ST
▾
HIGH
Oil price shocks keep commodity prices elevated
Dana Peterson argues that record diesel prices and oil price shocks will feed through the supply chain, keeping commodity prices and the goods that depend on them elevated through the end of this year and into next year.
DIESEL LONG
WTI LONG
DBC LONG
Fed rate hike risk could sink stocks
Jessica Edinger says next week's CPI is in focus because a hot inflation report could push the Fed to raise interest rates later this month, making borrowing more expensive, hurting corporate profits, and sending stocks lower.
SPY AVOID
HIGH
19:06
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
10h
ASAN 1ST
▾
HIGH
Asana becomes human-agent coordination operating system.
Asana is shifting from human coordination to becoming the operating system for human-agent teams because AI agents multiply coordination challenges such as handoffs, disconnected systems, and accountability. Its differentiation is that it does not compete with foundational models but makes them useful at work, with 30 pre-built teammates and a work graph that acts as a living ledger to keep humans in control while work moves forward.
ASAN LONG
HIGH
18:30
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
11h
Fervo Energy
Enhanced geothermal energy
▾
HIGH
Fervo Energy stock underappreciated, real projects
Fervo Energy is underappreciated after its post-IPO decline because it has real operating projects, a newly announced 400 MW Google PPA, advanced offtake negotiations with hyperscalers and utilities, diversified customers, and long-term contracted revenues with no fuel-price volatility. Its proprietary drilling and power-plant technology create a competitive moat, and standardization of 50 MW blocks and well designs is expected to cut capital costs below $3,000 per kilowatt, eventually making Fervo's geothermal power cost-competitive without production tax credits after the 2030s. Latimer argues Wall Street is missing how real Fervo's growth and binding offtake are.
Fervo Energy LONG
Enhanced geothermal is booming and cost-competitive
Enhanced geothermal is in a once-in-a-generation boom because it provides 24/7 carbon-free, fuel-independent electricity that hyperscalers, utilities and industrial customers increasingly need. Fervo's adaptation of horizontal drilling and its standardized, repeatable development model are putting geothermal on a learning curve similar to shale, solar and batteries, which Latimer argues can make geothermal one of the cheapest electricity sources on the planet and now attracts oil and gas companies into the sector.
Enhanced geothermal energy LONG
HIGH
17:58
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
11h
Squawk Pod: What Pablo Torre found out & banning artificial superintelligence - 09/04/26 |Audio Only
DIESEL
TLT
DAKT
▾
HIGH
Record diesel prices raise goods costs.
Becky Quick highlights that diesel has hit a record $5.85 per gallon according to AAA, with fuel prices a major market issue and higher diesel costs filtering into prices for truck-delivered consumer goods.
DIESEL WATCH
Global bond selloff continues amid credibility.
Mohamed El-Erian sees the selloff in global government bonds continuing and expects more upward pressure on rates. He argues the Treasury's recent market moves suggest it is trying to impose market outcomes, which is a step too far, and says pressure is rising on reliable buyers and holders of U.S. Treasuries, creating a credibility question for the Treasury.
TLT SHORT
SEC scrutiny overhang hits Daktronics.
Pablo Torre reports that Daktronics, a public scoreboard manufacturer, was implicated in the Clippers salary-cap scheme through an undisclosed secret deal with Kawhi Leonard and that the SEC is now requesting information from the company about undisclosed reporting. This creates a legal/regulatory overhang and potential disclosure risk for the stock.
DAKT AVOID
HIGH
17:32
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
12h
MAGS 1ST
NVDA
MSFT 1ST
META FLIP
GEV 1ST
▾
HIGH
Mag 7 earnings justify renewed outperformance.
The Magnificent Seven's renewed outperformance is backed by fundamental earnings, not just momentum: AI capex is proving profitable, as shown by Amazon data-center payback under three years, Alphabet web services growing 80%, and Microsoft Azure growing 40%, while valuations are not hard to justify.
MAGS LONG
Nvidia clearing event signals continued AI.
Nvidia's earnings were the clearing event that restarted the Magnificent Seven rally; the initial muted reaction was just delayed, and it signals AI capex is continuing and profitable.
NVDA LONG
Microsoft quality and valuation support upside.
Microsoft is one of the highest-quality broad-based tech names in the world; its P/E has compressed after a flat year, its latest earnings showed strength, and its index weight makes it a significant contributor to the Mag 7 resurgence.
MSFT LONG
Meta AI model pivot supports stock.
Meta's post-quarter weakness was driven by fears it would go to the cloud business, but management instead said it is entering the AI model business; Zuckerberg has shown he can navigate AI challenges, making Meta a selective AI winner with revenue and ROI.
META LONG
GE Vernova leads AI power comeback.
GE Vernova is the AI power name she owns as the poster child of the divergence between data-center backlash and AI power demand; it is making a comeback and is a direct way to play AI electricity needs.
GEV LONG
HIGH
17:04
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
12h
NVDA
SMH 1ST
▾
MED
NVIDIA local AI hardware gains traction.
Aravind says Perplexity launched a fully local and hybrid AI computer with NVIDIA, called Portable Computer on DGX Spark, and found strong interest from privacy-, cost-, and cybersecurity-sensitive finance users; this positions NVIDIA hardware for local/edge AI demand beyond centralized data centers.
NVDA LONG
AI agents need more memory chips.
He argues that data-center buildouts alone cannot support billions of always-on AI agents because power permits and HBM/memory are bottlenecks; scaling inference will require tapping local compute and a lot more memory, tightening the AI semiconductor/memory supply chain.
SMH LONG
MED
15:46
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
13h
ZS
▾
HIGH
Record results, AI traction, bullish fiscal 2027
Jay Chaudhry calls the reported quarter a record from any measurement: revenue and recurring revenue growing 25% at scale, IRR above $3.8 billion, 24% non-GAAP operating margin, all-time-high sales productivity, and record million-dollar customer deals. He says AI traction and agentic hacking concerns are creating strong demand for Zscaler's Zero Trust Exchange, the company built a record Q4 pipeline, and he is very bullish on fiscal 2027.
ZS LONG
HIGH
14:02
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
15h
SPY FLIP
TLT FLIP
UKGILT 1ST
JGBUX 1ST
▾
HIGH
Strong jobs lift Fed odds, hurting equities.
The strong August jobs report is a relief for the labor market but not for investors because it will slowly lift the odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike in September and push bond yields higher; higher yields and the more hawkish Fed path are both negative for equities.
SPY SHORT
TLT SHORT
Bond selloff continues; UK Japan France vulnerable.
The global bond sell-off is not over; markets will continue to see upward pressure on yields following a broad selloff of global government bonds. The UK, Japan, and France are particularly vulnerable to sovereign debt problems.
UKGILT SHORT
JGBUX SHORT
HIGH
14:00
Sep 04
Sep 04
14:00
Sep 04
Sep 04
13:41
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
16h
XLK
▾
MED
AI productivity boom resembles internet era
The AI effect is analogous to the internet-driven productivity boom seen during the Greenspan era, when productivity growth allowed high growth and low inflation. Hassett says the current AI effect may be very analogous, implying AI can support productivity-led growth with low inflation.
XLK LONG
MED
13:38
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
16h
TLT FLIP
▾
HIGH
Strong jobs report should push rates higher
The August jobs report came in much stronger than expected across payrolls, manufacturing jobs, hours worked, labor force participation and underemployment, indicating a strong economy that should push interest rates higher even though deficits may be a negative offset.
TLT LONG
HIGH
12:23
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
17h
TSLA
▾
HIGH
Cybercab hype exceeded Tesla's robotaxi readiness.
Tesla's Austin Cybercab launch did not live up to the hype because safe robotaxi operations are complex and require boring, reliable operational build-out over time. Tesla has reached an important step by putting cars on the road without people behind the wheel, but it is still early days and remains behind Google's Waymo and Zoox, so investors should focus on execution rather than event hype.
TSLA WATCH
HIGH
11:39
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
18h
Daktronics 1ST
▾
MED
SEC probing Daktronics over undisclosed side deal.
Pablo Torre says Daktronics, a scoreboard manufacturer, had a previously undisclosed secret endorsement deal with Kawhi Leonard and received $100 million to build the Intuit Dome halo board; according to Daktronics' earnings call, the SEC is now requesting information because of the reporting around what was not disclosed, creating a federal/regulatory overhang on the company.
Daktronics AVOID
MED
07:00
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
22h
CAT 1ST
CMI 1ST
PWR
SPY
▾
HIGH
CAT, CMI, PWR uptrends bottom before November.
Caterpillar, Cummins, and Quanta Services are in good long-term uptrends; the current pullbacks are corrections in uptrends and, following the typical midterm pattern, these names should bottom ahead of November and move higher.
CAT LONG
CMI LONG
PWR LONG
September stocks face midterm-year seasonal weakness.
Historically, September is the worst month for stocks and the only down month of the year; in a midterm year it is particularly painful, so investors may face a month of real choppiness.
SPY WATCH
HIGH
02:09
Sep 04
Sep 04
CNBC
1d
FIVE FLIP
▾
HIGH
Five Below stock is a steal.
Five Below's same-store sales deceleration is just the law of large numbers and lapping strong numbers, not weakness. The company beat comp expectations 14% versus 10%, has beaten comps in six out of six quarters under CEO Winnie Park, and raised full-year earnings guidance by 14% at the midpoint, implying over 50% growth versus last year. The selloff made the stock cheaper from 27.5 times to under 24 times this year's earnings, and Cramer views that as an incredibly fair price, calling the stock a steal.
FIVE LONG
HIGH
23:46
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
MAGS
AMZN
GOOG
META
MSFT
▾
HIGH
Magnificent 7 are cheap and buyable.
The Magnificent 7 have been written off and left behind the market, but after balance sheet damage and multiple compression they are now cheap. With everything at a price, Cramer says these former losers can be winners and it is time to buy them.
MAGS LONG
AI/data center profits make Amazon cheap.
CEO Andy Jassy says Amazon will make immense money from AI and data centers; AWS compute sales may be pulled forward, plus a $50B semiconductor business, healthcare, international, grocery and advertising. Up only 12% YTD and trading around 20x earnings, Amazon is a screaming buy.
AMZN LONG
Cloud growth makes Alphabet cheap at 17x.
Alphabet is up only 9% YTD and has been left behind despite Google Cloud's monster growth, Waymo doing terrifically, YouTube's scale and Gemini optionality. At $342 and about 17x earnings, it sells at the price where Cramer wants to own it.
GOOG LONG
Lawsuit settlement removes existential risk; Meta cheap.
The teen-abuse lawsuit settlement for up to $18B over 10 years was a huge win and removes what Cramer thought could be an existential threat. Meta is the best advertising medium in history, WhatsApp is undervalued, and the stock is down 7% YTD at 19.5x earnings.
META LONG
Azure disclosure and power deals favor Microsoft.
Microsoft is giving better Azure disclosure, finding more things to like. It secured a large 2.67 GW behind-the-meter power deal with Chevron for data centers, and Copilot is gaining acceptance, making the stock attractive within the cheap Mag 7 group.
MSFT LONG
Inference edge and valuation make Nvidia cheap.
Nvidia bought Hugging Face, strengthening open-source AI and inference capabilities, rebutting the training-only criticism. The stock trades at less than 15x next year's earnings, and aggressive buyback management could drive it 50% higher.
NVDA LONG
Tesla down 60% seems wrong.
Tesla is down 60% for the year, which Cramer says seems wrong; the main catalyst he cites is a potential SpaceX buyout.
TSLA LONG
Procter lacks growth; not recommending now.
Procter & Gamble has no growth, and at 21x earnings with a 3% yield that is not enough to attract investors. Cramer is not recommending it now and would wait for it to fall to 19x earnings before buying.
PG AVOID
Pullback makes GEV attractive; orders continue.
The wind business has been disappointing and the chart has been poor, but orders should continue from hyperscalers. GEV has fallen a long way from its high, so he is not that worried and would keep buying, especially on another $100 decline.
GEV LONG
Government overhang masks 100% belief in Intel.
Intel had an unbelievable quarter but the stock fell because of the government stake overhang. Cramer says his belief in Intel is 100%; he wants to see the government exit or he may buy more anyway to average down.
INTC LONG
Buy Walmart and put it away.
Walmart is a continually good company that no one gets excited about, while Target is energized. Cramer still says buy Walmart and put it away, expecting investors will be happy.
WMT LONG
Strong quarter makes Five Below buyable.
Five Below reported a superb quarter with 14.1% same-store sales growth, big earnings beat, raised guidance and strong back-to-school trends under CEO Winnie Park. The stock sold off on deceleration fears and oil-price worries, but at under 24x earnings with over 50% expected growth, Cramer calls it a steal and buy.
Five Below LONG
Promising precision medicine; wait for pullback.
Natera has transformed from prenatal testing into a precision medicine platform with strong cancer-test volume growth, transplant tests, raised revenue guidance, and a large Druckenmiller position. The stock has run up and is not cheap on sales, so Cramer would wait for a pullback before buying.
NTRA WATCH
UNH has enough profitable growth to buy.
UnitedHealth has enough profitable growth for a portfolio. Last quarter was very good even though the market initially disliked it, and Cramer says UNH is good to buy.
UNH LONG
Prefer J&J and Lilly over Pfizer.
Among big pharma, Johnson & Johnson is best to buy with a AAA balance sheet and 18 drugs without expiration problems; Eli Lilly has a huge franchise drug. Pfizer is creeping up but needs a reason to recommend, so the order is J&J and Lilly, then Pfizer.
JNJ LONG
LLY LONG
Rate stability will unlock SoFi fundamentals.
SoFi has delivered durable growth: revenue up more than 40% in the first two quarters, record margins, diversified revenue split 60% lending/40% non-lending, and 20 consecutive quarters above the rule of 40. The stock has been held back only by interest-rate uncertainty; once rates are stable or declining, fundamentals should play through.
SOFI LONG
CoreWeave is the only neocloud to own.
In neocloud, Cramer says CoreWeave with Michael Intrator is the only one he likes; the other neocloud names are too speculative for him.
CoreWeave LONG
Box is finally breaking out; ownable.
Box is finally breaking out after years of doing nothing, has good storage assets, a good CEO in Aaron Levie, and is okay to own as it starts to get some momentum.
BOX LONG
Rate declines and money flows support stocks.
Stocks are a cheap date when interest rates tick down or Fed officials signal no hikes; money floods in. Structural supports include record 401(k) millionaires, large new brokerage account flows, a comeback in individual stock ownership, and a potential slew of takeovers reducing share count.
SPY LONG
HIGH
20:47
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
SPY
NVDA
▾
HIGH
S&P 500 still below high, data-dependent
The S&P 500 is still below last week's intraday high, so the market is not in the clear yet. Yields have not made dramatic moves, and the market remains in suspense about upcoming data and what it means for the Fed.
SPY WATCH
Nvidia buying Hugging Face adds distribution hedge
Nvidia's acquisition of Hugging Face gives it the place where developers decide which model to run, adding distribution. It accelerates open-source growth and acts as a hedge: the clouds hedge hyperscalers, and Hugging Face hedges closed labs building their own chips.
NVDA LONG
HIGH
19:15
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
VSCO 1ST
▾
HIGH
Victoria's Secret has strong growth momentum
Victoria's Secret delivered its fifth consecutive quarter of growth with net sales up 10%, adjusted operating income up 125%, and EPS tripled. The slight top-line miss was a deliberate choice to avoid discounting and pursue a higher-quality result. The company is gaining market share in bras, seeing growth across VS and PINK, attracting higher spend across all income cohorts, and entering the back half with momentum from the returning fashion show and Angels Among Us.
VSCO LONG
HIGH
18:44
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
UGA
U.S. power generation
URA 1ST
DTCR 1ST
U.S. manufacturing sector
▾
HIGH
Venezuela deal adds oil supply, lowers prices.
Vance says gas prices are high because Iran is attacking commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz; US naval protection has kept about 15 million barrels per day flowing and prevented a worldwide energy crisis, but Iran remains disruptive and Vance refuses to promise a return to $3 gas.
UGA SHORT
WTI SHORT
US must build power for AI.
Vance argues data center backlash is mostly about power costs, and the administration has made it easier to build nuclear and other power plants next to data centers and require power fed back to the grid; the US must become a nation of builders to win the AI race, with China now producing three times US power.
U.S. power generation LONG
URA LONG
DTCR LONG
US manufacturing renaissance underway.
Vance says ISM manufacturing PMI has expanded for eight months and is at historic highs, tax cuts are driving record business purchases of capital equipment, and tariff threats against offshoring are supporting a manufacturing renaissance and factory jobs.
U.S. manufacturing sector LONG
Fed should lower interest rates.
Vance says the administration believes the Federal Reserve should be lowering interest rates because inflation and CPI numbers justify it, and that lower rates would help Americans afford homes and borrowing.
TLT LONG
HIGH
18:36
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
SNOW
IGV
TOST
TTAN
OWL 1ST
▾
HIGH
Snowflake is agentic AI data governance layer
Josh argues Snowflake was unfairly punished in the software selloff and is the data-governance layer for the coming agentic AI era. He notes 120-130% net revenue retention, existing customers spending more with no drop-off, and says 9,000 customers are already running agentic workflows directly inside Snowflake data lakes. He is long the stock, which nearly doubled from his late-May call around $205.
SNOW LONG
Software bearish narrative died; IGV recovers
Bryn argues hedge funds have been short the software basket and many software names have had V-shaped bounces off the bottom. She says IGV is about to make a race back to its highs, and the bearish software narrative that these companies are going away has died. The danger is getting too bearish on technology sectors and letting narrative replace price.
IGV LONG
Vertical SaaS disintermediation fears are wrong
Josh says he averaged down into Toast and ServiceTitan because the market narrative had it backwards: Silicon Valley assumed AI would disintermediate SaaS middlemen, but businesses want SaaS vendors that can be held accountable, and vertical end users like restaurant owners and contractors will not build their own software. Toast and ServiceTitan are now selling AI to their existing customer bases.
TOST LONG
TTAN LONG
Private credit systemic-risk narrative wrong
Bryn argues the private-credit systemic-risk narrative went hand in glove with the SaaS-apocalypse narrative and should be debunked too. Names at the epicenter such as Blue Owl and Apollo are up about 30%, showing the bearish thesis was wrong and these stocks are working.
OWL LONG
APO LONG
SaaS apocalypse narrative follows price, false
Jim says the SaaS apocalypse narrative followed price and was driven by hedged shorts and positioning, not fundamentals. Earnings now show software companies were doing fine; even Microsoft was below $400 for much of the first half, and now fundamentals give a lot of reasons to be in software spaces.
MSFT LONG
HIGH
18:36
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
SRVR 1ST
▾
HIGH
AI compute demand strains data center infrastructure.
New frontier AI models are substantially more compute-intensive, and model releases are hitting data center infrastructure that is already constrained, especially on GPUs. Simultaneous benchmark demand and China's distillation efforts create cascading overloads and outages, keeping AI data center capacity tight.
SRVR LONG
HIGH
18:33
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
TWLO 1ST
SNOW
PLTR 1ST
CRWD 1ST
OKTA 1ST
▾
HIGH
Software reports soften AI bear case
Twilio, Palantir, CrowdStrike, and Okta all delivered better-than-expected reports, and together with Snowflake's numbers these results soften the AI bear case for traditional software and raise the debate on whether software companies will be replaced by AI.
TWLO LONG
PLTR LONG
CRWD LONG
OKTA LONG
Snowflake accelerates growth on AI data demand
Snowflake is an accelerating growth story that raised its profit outlook for the third consecutive quarter. As companies adopt AI, Snowflake's data analytics platform helps make data actionable, and its AI agent coding tool CoCo added about 2,000 new customers this quarter, bringing the total to over 9,000. Snowflake also has partnerships with both Anthropic and OpenAI.
SNOW LONG
HIGH
16:45
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
NVDA
CRWD 1ST
▾
HIGH
Nvidia benefits from open-source AI scale.
Nvidia is acquiring Hugging Face for $12.93 billion because open-source AI models are now sufficiently good and growing fast, and Hugging Face's scale of 200,000 enterprise customers, 18 million developers, and 3 million models gives Nvidia an open-model growth engine beyond cloud service providers, which represent only half of Nvidia's business. Jensen says the price is worth every penny and the deal is great for Nvidia.
NVDA LONG
CrowdStrike gains from Nvidia open-model cybersecurity.
CrowdStrike's partnership with Nvidia uses Nvidia's open models, such as Nemotron, to create a frontier AI cybersecurity defender. Jensen says this is the first step and that more open-model cybersecurity collaborations are coming, positioning CrowdStrike as an early beneficiary.
CRWD LONG
HIGH
16:33
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
NVDA 1ST
▾
HIGH
Nvidia acquisition adds distribution and hedging.
Nvidia's $13 billion acquisition of Hugging Face makes sense because Nvidia is buying the place where developers decide which model to run, giving it distribution and topline, accelerating open source growth, and hedging against closed labs that build their own chips.
NVDA LONG
HIGH
16:28
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
TSLA
▾
MED
Cybercab deployment evidence key for Tesla stock
Tesla's Austin Cybercab event is a key stock catalyst because Morgan Stanley's Tesla analyst said tangible evidence of commercial deployment tends to be an important differentiator for Tesla stock performance at past events; with the stock already up about 28% over the past month from under $300, the reaction depends on whether Elon Musk provides concrete deployment markers rather than just influencer demos.
TSLA WATCH
MED
15:51
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
NTAP
▾
HIGH
Record quarter, raised outlook, strong momentum.
NetApp had a record-setting fiscal Q1, beating on revenue and EPS, with revenue up 30% YoY and all-flash/high-performance storage up 47% YoY. The company substantially raised its full-year outlook and saw strength across every customer size, industry, and geography. Product gross margin beat was driven by a richer mix of software and higher-performance configurations.
NTAP LONG
HIGH
15:27
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
SNOW
▾
HIGH
AI flywheel drives Snowflake growth.
Snowflake's AI flywheel is accelerating: more data is moving to Snowflake because having data on Snowflake makes it AI-ready, and Snowflake's AI products help customers get value quickly, which drives new customers and new data. The company posted $1.49 billion in product revenue, up 37% year over year.
SNOW LONG
HIGH
14:35
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
U.S. Treasury complex
▾
MED
Treasury curve bull steepening as yields drop
Treasury yields are falling across the curve and the market is bull steepening, with short-end yields dropping faster than long-end yields after Waller from the Fed shifted rate expectations; all maturity yields are lower on the day.
U.S. Treasury complex WATCH
MED
14:28
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
NOW 1ST
AVGO 1ST
DDOG 1ST
SNOW 1ST
NVDA
▾
MED
Snowflake rally lifts Datadog, ServiceNow, Salesforce
Snowflake's strong results and 20% rally are lifting software peers including Datadog, ServiceNow, and Salesforce, signaling positive read-through for software names.
NOW LONG
DDOG LONG
CRM LONG
Broadcom slips on weak revenue forecast
Broadcom shares slipped as investors reacted negatively to the chipmaker's fourth-quarter revenue forecast.
AVGO AVOID
Snowflake rallies on strong quarterly results
Snowflake shares surged more than 20% in early trading after reporting strong quarterly results.
SNOW LONG
Nvidia's Hugging Face deal scales open AI
Cramer applauds Nvidia buying Hugging Face because the US needs its own open-model ecosystem to blunt Chinese progress; he says the deal is asymmetric because AMD or Broadcom buying Hugging Face would have been sold off, and Nvidia avoiding a lost bidding war preserves its perceived edge in open AI.
NVDA LONG
MED
14:00
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
Philadelphia 76ers
Stadium-anchored real estate development
Los Angeles Lakers
Private equity minority sports investments
Youth sports events and tournaments
▾
HIGH
LeBron signing boosts Sixers franchise value.
Josh Harris says LeBron James chose Philadelphia because he thought he could win and spend the final chapter of his career there; the signing immediately energized the city, sold out tickets, and opened sponsorship opportunities, strengthening the 76ers franchise.
Philadelphia 76ers LONG
Stadium-anchored real estate creates long-term value.
Harris believes sports-anchored real estate is a major value driver: he is making the largest private investment in Washington with a $4 billion stadium development and over the next decade building thousands of housing units, hotels, restaurants, and similar mixed-use development in Philadelphia with Comcast.
Stadium-anchored real estate development LONG
Lakers worth every bit of $12.5 billion.
Harris argues the Lakers at $12.5 billion are not an overpay because the franchise went from about $10 billion 14 months ago to $12.5 billion now, roughly 25% growth in line with sports franchise appreciation, and the Lakers are one of the existential NBA franchises in the biggest media market with scarcity value.
Los Angeles Lakers LONG
Private equity increasingly lifts sports values.
Harris highlights private equity's influx into minority sports team stakes as a new source of demand and liquidity, reducing illiquidity and letting investors participate, which supports continued growth in sports franchise values.
Private equity minority sports investments LONG
Youth sports demand exceeds supply.
Harris sees youth sports as a growth industry because demand for tournaments exceeds supply; his group provides tournaments, coaching, better food and lodging, and inclusive access, creating both social value and economic value.
Youth sports events and tournaments LONG
Sports franchise values are not a bubble.
Harris does not see a bubble in sports team valuations; he points to expected revenue and cash-flow growth, scarcity value similar to art or beachfront real estate, very low required cap rates, and strong demand from buyers.
Sports franchise valuations LONG
Commanders at $6 billion looks attractive.
Harris says the Commanders purchase at $6 billion, which was criticized as the highest price ever, now looks like an attractive deal as NFL team valuations have climbed above $10-12 billion and he expects values to keep going.
Washington Commanders LONG
HIGH
12:43
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
NVDA
▾
HIGH
Nvidia grows on both AI paths.
The $12.9 billion acquisition of Hugging Face gives Nvidia a strategically important open-model platform with 200,000 enterprise customers, 18 million developers, and 3 million models across AI fields; Jensen says the price is what it is worth, open models are a large growth driver of Nvidia, and scaling the open community faster will be great for Nvidia.
NVDA LONG
HIGH
12:19
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
Equities
10-Year Treasury Yield
TIP 1ST
GLD 1ST
▾
HIGH
Fed tolerance supports continued equity rally.
The Fed is willing to tolerate inflation at current levels and is unlikely to tighten aggressively; in this inflation-overshoot regime, one or two more rate hikes over the next 12 months do not change the regime and give equity investors a green light to expect a continued rally and continued strong earnings growth.
Equities LONG
Higher bond yields may signal stronger growth.
The bond market selloff is getting a lot of attention, but the 10-year Treasury yield is only up five basis points since early August; higher bond yields could reflect stronger near-term growth or AI productivity showing up in the data, meaning the economy can handle higher rates.
10-Year Treasury Yield WATCH
Add inflation protection and real assets.
In an inflation-overshoot regime with likely elevated bond market volatility, investors should balance core fixed income exposure with inflation protection and real assets to protect against inflation.
TIP LONG
GLD LONG
HIGH
11:08
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
1d
FXY
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield
WTI
Bloomberg AG Index
WEAT
▾
HIGH
BOJ hawkish hike supports stronger yen
The Bank of Japan is lining up a rate increase on September 18 and will need to talk hawkishly about continued hikes because its overnight rate is only 1% while inflation is running at 2%. The 160 level in dollar-yen has been a line in the sand, and intervention is likely, supporting a stronger yen and dollar weakness against the yen.
FXY LONG
Long-term Treasury yields remain in uptrend
Even if a hawkish BOJ can temporarily calm global long-term rates, the trend in U.S. and European long-term interest rates is still higher because of debts and deficits, competition for capital, and persistent inflation. He watches the 10-year Treasury yield rather than only the Fed because the yield curve is setting the price of money.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield LONG
WTI crude oil trend remains higher
WTI around $90-92 is still pricing in too lightly that the Iran/U.S. conflict could disrupt supply and that inventory disruptions can be handled. Commercial and strategic reserves and inventories have been drawn down enormously, so the energy price trend is still higher.
WTI LONG
Agricultural commodity rally will continue
The Bloomberg AG Index just touched its highest level since 2023, led by higher corn, wheat, and soybeans, with coffee also moving. Boockvar expects that agricultural price rise to continue and feed persistent inflation.
Bloomberg AG Index LONG
WEAT LONG
SOYB LONG
CORN LONG
KC LONG
Watch if dollar weakness broadens beyond yen
The dollar weakening against the yen may mark the start of broader dollar weakness against other currencies. Boockvar flags this as a key development to watch.
UUP WATCH
Full-fledged commodity bull market underway
Boockvar believes we are in a full-fledged commodity bull market, with higher trends across energy, agriculture, precious metals, and industrial metals. That commodity strength is an underlying bid to inflation and complicates the job of central banks.
DBC LONG
HIGH
00:08
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
2d
SMH
AI capex buildout
MTUM
TLT
GLD
▾
HIGH
Semis, hyperscalers, software can rally together.
Discrete AI buckets are fading, but within the AI buildout the three buckets of hyperscalers, semiconductors, and software can and should do well together rather than one area winning at the other's expense, even with more dispersion among individual names.
SMH LONG
IGV LONG
SKYY LONG
AI capex buildout still accelerating.
The market is still in an AI capex buildout phase that is accelerating and remains a huge secular driver of an earnings super cycle, so investors can remain broadly bullish on AI even though the market will keep reassessing winners and losers.
AI capex buildout LONG
AI momentum can unwind painfully fast.
The summer momentum unwind, especially painful in July and continuing into August, showed that even investors who are very bullish on AI need to be careful with position sizing and leverage because momentum and crowded positioning can reverse abruptly.
MTUM WATCH
Treasuries, gold, real estate, Europe diversify AI.
J.P. Morgan constructed an AI factor thematic basket and found that many assets now move together with the AI buildout, making true diversification difficult; the few return streams less tied to AI are Treasuries, gold, core real estate, and European equities.
TLT LONG
GLD LONG
VGK LONG
XLRE LONG
HIGH
00:02
Sep 03
Sep 03
CNBC
2d
PCG 1ST
▾
HIGH
PG&E value unlocks if wildfire reform passes
PG&E has already done the operational turnaround—reducing wildfire risk, lowering rates five times in two years, and improving reliability 30%—but the stock is held back by a fixable wildfire liability tail risk that raises debt costs and deters investors. A targeted legislative fix would allow PG&E to reach investment grade, restore the $2 billion capex cut, grow earnings 9%+ annually, continue dividend growth, and unlock value.
PCG LONG
HIGH
23:55
Sep 02
Sep 02
CNBC
2d
Low-P/E stocks
High-P/E technology stocks
DELL
MDB
NOW FLIP
▾
HIGH
Cheap low-P/E stocks beat expensive high-P/E stocks.
With the 30-year Treasury yielding 5.26% and limited new money entering stocks, big money managers are selling expensive high-P/E stocks as too risky and crowding into cheap low-P/E stocks; this explains the downside in high-growth technology, not a broken AI/data-center/momentum trade.
Low-P/E stocks LONG
High-P/E technology stocks SHORT
Dell is a cheap AI data-center winner.
Dell reported a great quarter, the stock trades below 20x earnings, and after the quarter Cramer says it could earn $25 per share; buyers are not fleeing the data center or tech broadly, they are fleeing high multiple tech, making Dell a low-multiple AI/data center winner and still a terrific stock to own even up 16%.
DELL LONG
MongoDB is too expensive; sell it.
MongoDB trades at almost 58x earnings and plunged 13.5% after a decent but not perfect quarter because it is too rich in a market where bond yields make expensive stocks too risky; Cramer says too rich equals sell.
MDB SHORT
ServiceNow is expensive versus Nvidia; avoid.
ServiceNow trades at 33.6x current earnings and 27x next-year earnings, much more expensive than Nvidia at 24x and 14x; in a rising-yield rotation out of high-multiple stocks, ServiceNow is unattractive relative to cheaper growth.
NOW AVOID
Corning likely falls more before re-entry.
Cramer sold Corning for the charitable trust to avoid turning a gain into a loss because Corning is a high-P/E stock vulnerable to the current multiple compression; he expects it to come down more before he gets back in, making it a near-term avoid and a watch for a lower re-entry.
GLW AVOID
Oracle can fall on data-center constraints.
Oracle's stock is hostage to data-center buildout loan/permit concerns; if anything indicates Oracle cannot build as many data centers as expected, the stock goes lower. Cramer prefers Nvidia and says Dell is still terrific, so Oracle is avoid.
ORCL AVOID
PG&E setup hinges on California liability reform.
PG&E has already reduced wildfire risk dramatically, lowered rates, improved reliability and has a pathway to investment grade, but the stock fell about 20% after California wildfire liability reform collapsed. A simple legislative fix or special session could unlock capital, restore $2B of capex, support 9%+ EPS growth and dividend growth; until that happens the stock is a legislative event-driven watch.
PCG WATCH
Cyber stocks are on sale; buy them.
CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks and Rubrik have been trading down despite excellent quarters because investors are rotating out of software/security; Cramer says these cybersecurity stocks are being put on sale and the decline is an opportunity to buy.
CRWD LONG
PANW LONG
MP Materials is best play but slow.
MP Materials is the single best, most investable play on critical materials, which the US needs, but Cramer does not expect anything to happen soon and says the timeline has been long, making it a watch rather than a near-term catalyst trade.
MP WATCH
AeroVironment: too much defense competition, avoid.
Even though AeroVironment's stock is down sharply, Cramer says defense niche competition is so strong that he would not buy yet: 'not yet, not now'.
AVAV AVOID
Howmet remains best aerospace play; buy/hold.
Elon Musk's announcement that SpaceX will cast its own natural gas turbine blades hurt Howmet Aerospace, but Cramer believes it is unlikely to inflict lasting damage; Howmet is one of the best companies out there and the best way to play aerospace, so he says hold or buy.
HWM LONG
Cyber stocks are on sale; buy them.
Rubrik delivered its 10th consecutive quarter of outperformance with beats on topline, profitability and cash flow; demand is driven by AI-era cyber resilience and agentic security, and Rubrik's data infrastructure model is winning larger deals, supporting the stock after its post-earnings drop.
RBRK LONG
Nvidia is cheap despite growth and fears.
Nvidia trades at 24x current earnings and about 14x next year's earnings despite phenomenal growth; Cramer vehemently disagrees with circular-financing bear arguments and says Nvidia's customers are making fortunes from its chips, so he prefers sticking with Nvidia.
NVDA LONG
CVS is a buy-and-own healthcare stock.
CVS under CEO David Joyner has raised guidance, trades at a discount valuation with a 3% dividend and 25% upside, and Cramer says investors should own it rather than trade it; he wants to buy it for the charitable trust.
CVS LONG
Cardinal Health is a cheap healthcare winner.
Cardinal Health is a high-quality healthcare distributor seeing rotation inflows away from expensive tech; it has been shifting to specialty pharma, generics, and higher-margin businesses, revenue misses stem from drug pricing while its fee-for-service volume model still works, and FY27 guidance implies 13-15% earnings growth at less than 20x earnings, a cheap safe haven.
CAH LONG
HIGH
21:42
Sep 02
Sep 02
CNBC
2d
SPY
DTCR 1ST
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield
WTI
DIESEL
▾
HIGH
Market is uncomfortably trendless.
The market is in an uncomfortably trendless state despite the rally; investors are uncertain whether a broader pullback is needed or whether weakness in consumer cyclicals and industrials was enough to clear the excess.
SPY WATCH
Data centers drive manufacturing and construction.
The Fed Beige Book shows data centers are a key economic driver: manufacturing activity picked up partly on data center demand, and commercial construction is rising while residential construction declined because of data centers.
DTCR LONG
Bond yields have normalized.
Global bond yields have returned to pre-Great Financial Crisis levels and are back to normal; the abnormal period was central banks suppressing short- and long-term interest rates with quantitative easing between the GFC and COVID crisis, so today's rates may be normalized.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield WATCH
Hormuz oil flow risks are rising.
Record oil volumes moved through the Strait of Hormuz since the Iran conflict began, with Iran actively challenging those flows, and diesel is near record levels—an oil supply chokepoint risk setup.
WTI WATCH
DIESEL WATCH
HIGH
21:03
Sep 02
Sep 02
CNBC
2d
US data center buildout
NVDA 1ST
MU
commercial drone operations
TSM
▾
HIGH
Data center buildout continues despite opposition.
Lutnick argues data centers will house frontier AI knowledge and create local prosperity; builders will supply their own power and lower local power costs, while opposition is based on misinformation. Communities that block data centers will lose investment to others, supporting continued US data center buildout.
US data center buildout LONG
Massive private AI infrastructure investments in US.
Secretary Lutnick says the Trump administration is attracting enormous private AI infrastructure investment: Nvidia committed $500 billion to AI infrastructure and supercomputers, TSMC $265 billion to semiconductor manufacturing, IBM over $150 billion, Micron $250 billion for memory fabs, plus SpaceX and Anthropic commitments, signaling a broad US AI infrastructure buildout.
NVDA LONG
MU LONG
TSM LONG
IBM LONG
New FAA rules unlock commercial drones.
Kratsios says commercial drone operations were a novel case where existing FAA airspace rules were not fit; the administration completed rulemaking to create new regulations that unlock commercial drone delivery for the American people, a regulatory catalyst for the drone sector.
commercial drone operations LONG
HIGH
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