Feed - Buzzberg

04:01
Jun 11

@johnarnold

@iamnicklundgren there's already price transparency in lines on sporting events. Betting lines have been published in papers for roughly 50 …

00:25
Jun 11

@johnarnold

The ugly: The CFTC ties themselves in further knots to explain how an entity may have exposure on number of points a player scores in a game…

00:18
Jun 11

@johnarnold

The bad: The purpose of commodity markets is to create price transparency and create a mechanism for actors to transfer risk. The CFTC ties …

00:15
Jun 11

@johnarnold

The CFTC released proposed rules on prediction markets today. These rules should have preceded the approval of sports betting, but better la…

News

18:54
Jun 09

@johnarnold

Every forever war is just a series of escalations and retaliations that seemed perfectly rational at the time.

16:12
Jun 09

@johnarnold

@Tyler_Menzer @castlewoodcb @dfwaaronlayman that's fair. Abatements create more revenue than no project but perhaps the project would have b…

14:46
Jun 09

@johnarnold

@castlewoodcb @dfwaaronlayman agree. projects with abatements are still a net positive on revenue for the county.

14:19
Jun 09

@johnarnold

@salatthebeach AI is coming whether the data center is near or far.

14:09
Jun 09

@johnarnold

@dfwaaronlayman Then start with not offering property tax abatements rather than blanket bans.

13:44
Jun 09

@johnarnold

Imagine if this had been the response to the introduction of the tractor. via Toronto Star https://t.co/TJ9c9hUGw1

13:12
Jun 09

@johnarnold

Blanket bans are a cultural response to an economic question. Make data centers pay the full cost of their power. Reconsider whether tax inc…

17:11
Jun 08

@johnarnold

@hahoch3 murder rate went down in similar fashion.

16:51
Jun 08

@johnarnold

@BryantReeves50 they were acquitted in court and yet the ban remained.

16:28
Jun 08

@johnarnold

The 4 cities with the largest reductions in police on this list all show large reductions in violent crime since 2019. via Real Time Crime I…

16:25
Jun 08

@johnarnold

Research has consistently shown a strong inverse relationship between police presence and crime rates. That makes the widespread decline in …

15:17
Jun 08

@johnarnold

Instances of active players caught betting on their own team: Pete Rose (MLB): Banned for life 8 White Sox players (MLB): Banned for life Jo…

18:06
Jun 07

@johnarnold

@najam_ali I understand what's happened in the past. The question is how long can those things that have dampened the market continue.

17:21
Jun 07

@johnarnold

@jacobstokes questions from bulls about whether there will be a settlement before storage withdrawals slow.

17:18
Jun 07

@johnarnold

@breenemachine yes, there's poor visibility on commercial and strategic storage in china and how long those withdrawals can continue.

17:17
Jun 07

@johnarnold

@Alea_ depends in part on what the assumption is for demand destruction. i'm skeptical on some of the larger #s i've been hearing.

17:02
Jun 07

@johnarnold

I'm not surprised the oil market could handle 100 days of the Strait being closed without significant disruption. I am very surprised the oi…

USO

LOW

22:13
Jun 05

@johnarnold

@HettyGreen2020 sponsors, premium seats and hospitality matter a lot.

22:08
Jun 05

@johnarnold

I'm amazed at how many times politicians acquiesce to far-fetched threats by teams to move and give away the farm.

21:59
Jun 05

@johnarnold

One of the only fiscal issues that Illinois has gotten right is playing hardball with public subsidies for a new Bears stadium. The team kee…

15:09
Jun 05

@johnarnold

@silbermanaaron1 Might be time to rethink that.

12:31
Jun 05

@johnarnold

@Conguill The kids can sue the charitable orgs and claw the money back. Bizarre law.

11:54
Jun 05

@johnarnold

@LouisOrigny So it’s time to modernize the law.

23:09
Jun 04

@johnarnold

https://t.co/vV6LTkeU73

22:50
Jun 04

@johnarnold

My post about forced heirship proved very timely. The law, dating from Napoleon's time, might get a modern rethink sooner rather than later.…

15:56
Jun 04

@johnarnold

https://t.co/kNzGu3ELqv

15:38
Jun 04

@johnarnold

'@BrianCAlbrecht writes a very good post on why a tax on compute, an idea I think is worthy of consideration, is bad based on economic theor…

15:20
Jun 04

@johnarnold

I was struck by your last sentence: "If the worry is that the tax system tilts toward automation, fix that asymmetry before inventing a new …

15:04
Jun 04

@johnarnold

It's a good post. I have no quibbles with the economics. But the tax code isn't just about maximizing the "standard benchmarks used in publi…

14:46
Jun 04

@johnarnold

@jspilman @cocascola One idea is to raise LTCG to same as ord income and adjust them to inflation. Having brokerage firms compute the adjust…

13:18
Jun 04

@johnarnold

@TJH314 could meet somewhere in the middle, and given the $2 tln deficits seems like the govt has already spent the money.

13:01
Jun 04

@johnarnold

@cantstopstupid1 AI investment isnt short term.

12:59
Jun 04

@johnarnold

Seems like if we're really concerned that capital will displace labor, we should start by closing the 16 percentage point tax advantage capi…

01:12
Jun 04

@johnarnold

@ikirigin not sure how one can distinguish itself from the other 5000 with a few adjectives.

22:54
Jun 03

@johnarnold

A large liquor store can carry 5000+ different wines. Most consumers recognize only a few, loyalty is weak, quality is opaque, the industry …

19:44
Jun 03

@johnarnold

Texas celebrates every time CA raises taxes '17 Toyota: LA -> Dallas '19 McKesson: SF -> Dallas '20 Oracle: SF -> Austin '20 CBRE: …

19:40
Jun 03

@johnarnold

Texas chambers of commerce celebrate every time CA raises taxes. 2017 Toyota: LA -> Dallas 2020 Oracle: Bay Area -> Austin 2020 CBRE: …

14:40
Jun 03

@johnarnold

@Escavel1 @jenniferdoleac multiple times.

14:18
Jun 03

@johnarnold

@jenniferdoleac Me at jury duty selection... Judge to jury pool: Is there anything else the court should know about you? Me: I run a foundat…

15:59
Jun 02

@johnarnold

The enshittification of letters of recommendation.

23:46
Jun 01

@johnarnold

@benjamin_horne good question.

23:23
Jun 01

@johnarnold

So many things that would be disqualifying for a candidate 20 years ago don't make it past the 24-hour news cycle today.

20:32
Jun 01

@johnarnold

@BenOgorek The labs would say that every model gets better and so will coding capabilities

20:26
Jun 01

@johnarnold

@_yiyuan_ I think the coding capabilities of Claude Code exceeded a certain threshold, triggering dramatically more use.

20:25
Jun 01

@johnarnold

@craft_carrier My understanding is there is significant regulatory constraints on investment management firms using AI even for internal res…

19:35
Jun 01

@johnarnold

The software world crossed an inflection point after models surpassed a certain threshold. Whether the rest of the economy follows remains a…