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WM FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Waste Management, Inc. earnings call

Jan 29, 2026 · 10:00 ET David ReedEd EagleJim Fish
Buzzberg read

Cost efficiency program structurally lowered operating expense ratio below 60% for first time ever

WM reported another strong quarter with record margins, driven by pricing and operational efficiencies. The company is guiding to continued growth in 2026 with significant margin expansion. Q4 2025 was a record quarter for margins, with the legacy business expanding EBITDA margin by 160 bps.

Buzzberg read Cost efficiency program structurally lowered operating expense ratio below 60% for first time ever WM reported another strong quarter with record margins, driven by pricing and operational efficiencies. The company is guiding to continued growth in 2026 with significant margin expansion. Q4 2025 was a record quarter for margins, with the legacy business expanding EBITDA margin by 160 bps. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

WM reported another strong quarter with record margins, driven by pricing and operational efficiencies. The company is guiding to continued growth in 2026 with significant margin expansion. Q4 2025 was a record quarter for margins, with the legacy business expanding EBITDA margin by 160 bps.

  • For 2026, WM guides to total company EBITDA margin expansion of 30 bps (or 50 bps excluding wildfire impacts).
  • The integration of Stericycle (Healthcare Solutions) is progressing, with expected revenue growth of 3% (all price) and continued SG&A reductions.
  • The company is guiding to $3.8 billion in free cash flow for 2026, a ~30% increase year-over-year.
Revenue $6.313B reported
EPS $1.93 reported
Gross margin 29.3% reported
Op margin 18.63% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Margins

Cost efficiency program structurally lowered operating expense ratio below 60% for first time ever

Reported gross margin was 29.3%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

02
Guidance

2026 EBITDA guidance implies 7.4% growth adjusted for wildfire cleanup volumes

Guidance · revenue to $20.85B

03
Synergies

Healthcare solutions SG&A down 350 bps year-over-year, still targeting below 10% company-wide

For 2026, WM guides to total company EBITDA margin expansion of 30 bps (or 50 bps excluding wildfire impacts).

04
Sustainability

Recycling EBITDA grew 22% despite 18% lower commodity prices

The integration of Stericycle (Healthcare Solutions) is progressing, with expected revenue growth of 3% (all price) and continued SG&A reductions.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Industrial volumes bounced back to nearly flat after years of decline. Management emphasized record operating results, strong margin expansion, and a positive outlook for 2026, expressing optimism about the macro economy and their ability to continue improving efficiency.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management guided 2026 capital expenditures to $2.65-$2.75 billion, including about $200 million for high-return sustainability projects (two RNG facilities and one recycling project) expected to contribute EBITDA by 2028. They framed this as a reduction in sustainability growth capital versus 2025 (~$400 million lower), while noting that normal course capex should be around 10% of sales longer te

Tone · Confident

Management emphasized record operating results, strong margin expansion, and a positive outlook for 2026, expressing optimism about the macro economy and their ability to continue improving efficiency.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

WM expects to benefit from a lag in index-based pricing as CPI declines, which will act as a headwind to price growth in 2026 as these contracts reprice.

“as CPI or some of these indexes come down... there is a lag in those index-based price increases that we can take... that lag can be up to six months.”
Jim Fish
A2

The closed healthcare solutions business lost accounts is pulling down near-term revenue growth, but these comps ease in H2 2026, and cross-selling synergies are showing up in the legacy solid waste business, not the healthcare segment.

“as we get to the back half of next year... you take out those lost accounts, and you're almost there right now... some of that cross-selling benefit shows up in the collection and disposal line of business.”
Jim Fish

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $20.85B
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$2.65B–$2.75B$2.7BGUIDED
Op marginFY202630.4%30.4%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026$20.6B–$21.1B$20.85BGUIDED

Company read-throughs

since call
Investees

WM continues to extract synergies from Stericycle (healthcare solutions) and integrate its operations into WM's field structure, driving margin improvement.

“We're making consistent progress in reducing SG&A expenses as we integrate and optimize the business.”
Jim Fish
since call
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The closed healthcare solutions business lost accounts is pulling down near-term revenue growth, but these comps ease in H2 2026, and cross-selling synergies are showing up in the legacy solid waste business, not the healthcare segment.