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STLD FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

Steel Dynamics, Inc. earnings call

Jul 21, 2026 · 07:00 ET Barry SchneiderDavid LipschitzMark Millett
Buzzberg read

Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons

Steel Dynamics reported strong Q2 FY2026 results with record steel shipments and improved pricing. Management is bullish on H2 2026 driven by steel price pass-through, a 45% surge in fabrication backlog, and rapid ramp of the new aluminum mill. Key alpha signals include a casthouse relocation, improving value-added spreads, and pig iron import policy changes. Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons and adjusted EBITDA of $921 million.

Buzzberg read Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons Steel Dynamics reported strong Q2 FY2026 results with record steel shipments and improved pricing. Management is bullish on H2 2026 driven by steel price pass-through, a 45% surge in fabrication backlog, and rapid ramp of the new aluminum mill. Key alpha signals include a casthouse relocation, improving value-added spreads, and pig iron import policy changes. Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons and adjusted EBITDA of $921 million. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Steel Dynamics reported strong Q2 FY2026 results with record steel shipments and improved pricing. Management is bullish on H2 2026 driven by steel price pass-through, a 45% surge in fabrication backlog, and rapid ramp of the new aluminum mill. Key alpha signals include a casthouse relocation, improving value-added spreads, and pig iron import policy changes. Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons and adjusted EBITDA of $921 million.

  • Fabrication backlog up 45% year-over-year with improving pricing discussions; non-residential construction demand strong.
  • Aluminum mill shipped 53,000 metric tons in Q2; third cold mill starting in Q3; expect exit rate at 90% capacity by year-end.
  • Relocating second casthouse from Benson to Columbus; $16M impairment plus $10-20M additional capex.
Revenue $6.0916B +17% QoQ
EPS $3.69 +33% QoQ
Gross margin 15.74% reported
Op margin 12.57% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons

Management expressed confidence driven by record steel shipments, strong demand across markets, and progress in aluminum ramp, despite a fatal accident and trade policy concerns.

02
Demand

Fabrication backlog up 45% year-over-year

Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons. Management expressed confidence driven by record steel shipments, strong demand across markets, and progress in aluminum ramp, despite a fatal accident and trade policy concerns.

03
Guidance

Aluminum mill to exit 2026 at 90% capacity

Guidance tone

04
Guidance

Aluminum through-cycle EBITDA guidance reaffirmed

Guidance tone

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Record quarterly steel shipments of 3.7 million tons. Management expressed confidence driven by record steel shipments, strong demand across markets, and progress in aluminum ramp, despite a fatal accident and trade policy concerns.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management provided second half 2026 capex guidance of $300-350 million, and indicated 2027 capex likely $500-600 million, with capital funding substantially complete for recent growth projects and focus shifting to operational optimization.

Tone · confident

Management expressed confidence driven by record steel shipments, strong demand across markets, and progress in aluminum ramp, despite a fatal accident and trade policy concerns.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Steel Dynamics is relocating its second planned aluminum casthouse from Benson, Arizona to Columbus, Mississippi, incurring a $16M impairment and $10-20M additional capex due to inflation, delaying internal scrap supply until first half 2027.

“We took the $16 million right down for the Benson costs. And the CapEx at Columbus is going to rise, I think, in the order of $10 to $20 million.”
Mark Millett
A2

Value-added spreads to hot band have improved $70/ton from Q4 2025 lows, and 80% of flat-rolled steel business is on lagged price contracts, so Q3 2026 will see further margin expansion as recent price increases flow through.

“Value-added spreads to hot band have also improved $70 per ton from the lows experienced in the fourth quarter of 2025. approximately 80% or more of our flat-rolled steel business is linked to lagging price contracts.”
Theresa Wagler
A3

The Section 301 investigation against Brazil for pig iron imports has been resolved to allow imports, potentially easing prime scrap demand and influencing spreads for domestic mini-mills.

“The Section 301 recommendations now exclude pig iron shipments from Brazil into the United States... It does help in relation to the pricing of scrap, particularly the prime quality scraps.”
Barry Schneider

Company read-throughs

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Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

The Section 301 investigation against Brazil for pig iron imports has been resolved to allow imports, potentially easing prime scrap demand and influencing spreads for domestic mini-mills.