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PCG FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. earnings call

Feb 12, 2026 · 06:00 ET Carolyn BurkeJonathan ArnoldPatty Poppe
Buzzberg read

Updated simple affordable model targets 0-3% bill inflation

PG&E reported FY2025 core EPS of $1.50 (+10% YoY), in line with guidance. Management raised 2026 EPS guidance low end to $1.64-$1.66 and reaffirmed 9%+ long-term growth. Key cross-company signals: data center pipeline doubled to 3.6 GW in final engineering, Equinix came online as first data center customer, and a new wildfire-solutions venture with Lockheed Martin was launched. The 'simple affordable model' was updated to target 0-3% bill inflation, driven by O&M savings and load growth. FY2025 core EPS $1.50, midpoint of guidance, up 10% YoY; 2026 EPS guidance raised to $1.64-$1.66 (low end +2c).

Buzzberg read Updated simple affordable model targets 0-3% bill inflation PG&E reported FY2025 core EPS of $1.50 (+10% YoY), in line with guidance. Management raised 2026 EPS guidance low end to $1.64-$1.66 and reaffirmed 9%+ long-term growth. Key cross-company signals: data center pipeline doubled to 3.6 GW in final engineering, Equinix came online as first data center customer, and a new wildfire-solutions venture with Lockheed Martin was launched. The 'simple affordable model' was updated to target 0-3% bill inflation, driven by O&M savings and load growth. FY2025 core EPS $1.50, midpoint of guidance, up 10% YoY; 2026 EPS guidance raised to $1.64-$1.66 (low end +2c). Read full analysisCollapse analysis

PG&E reported FY2025 core EPS of $1.50 (+10% YoY), in line with guidance. Management raised 2026 EPS guidance low end to $1.64-$1.66 and reaffirmed 9%+ long-term growth. Key cross-company signals: data center pipeline doubled to 3.6 GW in final engineering, Equinix came online as first data center customer, and a new wildfire-solutions venture with Lockheed Martin was launched. The 'simple affordable model' was updated to target 0-3% bill inflation, driven by O&M savings and load growth. FY2025 core EPS $1.50, midpoint of guidance, up 10% YoY; 2026 EPS guidance raised to $1.64-$1.66 (low end +2c).

  • Data center load in final engineering more than doubled to 3.6 GW; first Equinix project now live, demonstrating execution on large-load interconnection.
  • New EmberPoint joint venture with Lockheed Martin aims to commercialize wildfire detection/suppression technology, potentially a new product for other utilities.
  • Updated 'simple affordable model' targets 0-3% annual bill growth (down from 2%+), enabled by 2-4% O&M savings and 2-4% load growth.
Revenue $6.804B +9% QoQ
EPS $0.36 -28% QoQ
Gross margin 17.99% reported
Op margin 17.99% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Affordability

Updated simple affordable model targets 0-3% bill inflation

PG&E reported FY2025 core EPS of $1.50 (+10% YoY), in line with guidance. Management raised 2026 EPS guidance low end to $1.64-$1.66 and reaffirmed 9%+ long-term growth. Key cross-company signals: data center pipeline doubled to 3.6 GW in final engineering, Equinix came online…

02
Demand

Data center pipeline more than doubles to 3.6 GW in final engineering

Management struck a confident tone, emphasizing consistent execution, improved safety and reliability, lower rates, and a new target of 0-3% bill inflation, while acknowledging the unresolved wildfire policy as a key variable.

03
Guidance

Reaffirms 9%+ EPS growth through 2030

Guidance tone

04
Capital allocation

No new common equity needed through 2030

New EmberPoint joint venture with Lockheed Martin aims to commercialize wildfire detection/suppression technology, potentially a new product for other utilities.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Data center pipeline more than doubles to 3.6 GW in final engineering. Management struck a confident tone, emphasizing consistent execution, improved safety and reliability, lower rates, and a new target of 0-3% bill inflation, while acknowledging the unresolved wildfire policy as a key variable.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management reaffirmed the $73 billion five-year capital plan and highlighted at least $5 billion of additional capital outside the plan, much of it FERC jurisdictional, which could enable rate-reducing load growth. They emphasized that the plan is built to require no new common equity through 2030 and that capital decisions are tied to progress on wildfire policy reform.

Tone · Confident

Management struck a confident tone, emphasizing consistent execution, improved safety and reliability, lower rates, and a new target of 0-3% bill inflation, while acknowledging the unresolved wildfire policy as a key variable.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

PG&E's data center pipeline in final engineering more than doubled to 3.6 GW in one quarter, indicating accelerating large-load electrification in California.

“We've seen significant growth in projects moving into the final engineering stage, which now stands at almost 3.6 gigawatts. That's up two gigawatts, more than doubling from last quarter.”
Patty Poppe
A2

PG&E's EmberPoint venture with Lockheed Martin aims to commercialize wildfire detection/suppression technology, which could be sold to other utilities globally.

“Ember Point is intended to integrate next-generation wildfire solutions and set a new standard of wildfire safety... We can accelerate at scale the deployment of technology at the lowest societal cost.”
Patty Poppe

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$1.64–$1.66$1.65RAISED

Guidance credibility

1 / 1met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025$1.49–$1.51$1.50Met / beat

Company read-throughs

+6.5%
since call
$956.90$1,019.24
CustomersSupply-chain alpha

PG&E's data center pipeline in final engineering more than doubled to 3.6 GW in one quarter, indicating accelerating large-load electrification in California. — This confirms that data center demand is converting from applications to real construction, benefiting PG&E's load growth and potentially lowering residential rates via economies of scale.

“Carla Peterman represented us at a ribbon-cutting ceremony at the Equinix Great Oaks South Data Center, the first data center to come online under our joint implementation agreement with the City of San Jose.”
Patty Poppe
-16.8%
since call
$643.17$534.98
PartnersSupply-chain alpha

Joint venture to commercialize next-gen wildfire detection/suppression; could open new revenue stream for Lockheed Martin in utility safety segment.

“In late January, we announced the launch of EmberPoint, a new venture between Lockheed Martin and PG&E Corporation, marking a critical milestone in our mission to end catastrophic wildfires.”
Patty Poppe