Skip to earnings analysis
← Back to feed
OXY FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Occidental Petroleum Corporation earnings call

Feb 19, 2026 · 13:00 ET Jordan TannerKen DillonRichard Jackson
Buzzberg read

2026 capital reduced by $550 million, production still grows 1%

Occidental delivered another strong operational year in 2025, achieving record production and setting a lower capital structure benchmark for 2026. The company is focusing on structural cost savings, mid-cycle projects like Gulf of America water flooding, and continued balance sheet strengthening. Record 2025 production of 1.434 million BOE/d, with $4.3 billion free cash flow.

Buzzberg read 2026 capital reduced by $550 million, production still grows 1% Occidental delivered another strong operational year in 2025, achieving record production and setting a lower capital structure benchmark for 2026. The company is focusing on structural cost savings, mid-cycle projects like Gulf of America water flooding, and continued balance sheet strengthening. Record 2025 production of 1.434 million BOE/d, with $4.3 billion free cash flow. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Occidental delivered another strong operational year in 2025, achieving record production and setting a lower capital structure benchmark for 2026. The company is focusing on structural cost savings, mid-cycle projects like Gulf of America water flooding, and continued balance sheet strengthening. Record 2025 production of 1.434 million BOE/d, with $4.3 billion free cash flow.

  • 2026 capex guided to $5.5-5.9 billion, down $550 million year-over-year, while production is expected to grow ~1% to 1.45 million BOE/d.
  • Announced $700 million debt tender offer, reducing principal debt to $14.3 billion.
  • Plans to deliver $500 million in oil and gas cost savings and $400 million in midstream savings in 2026.
Revenue $5.013B reported
EPS $0.31 reported
Gross margin 27.81% reported
Op margin 9.32% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Capex

2026 capital reduced by $550 million, production still grows 1%

Capital spending for 2026 is expected to range from $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion, a reduction of $550 million from 2025, driven by efficiency gains and lower activity, with about 70% directed to U.S. onshore. The plan includes increased investment in mid-cycle projects like…

02
Costs

Another $500 million cost savings targeted for 2026

Record 2025 production of 1.434 million BOE/d, with $4.3 billion free cash flow.

03
Balance Sheet

OxyChem sale completes transformation; debt reduction to $14.3 billion

2026 capex guided to $5.5-5.9 billion, down $550 million year-over-year, while production is expected to grow ~1% to 1.45 million BOE/d.

04
Shareholder Returns

Dividend increased 8%, signaling shareholder return commitment

Announced $700 million debt tender offer, reducing principal debt to $14.3 billion.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management discussed leveraging advanced AI and remote monitoring, including Remote Operations Command Centers, which have enhanced safety, reliability, and operational efficiency. AI is also expected to be a big part of future improvements in operations.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management's tone is clearly improving, highlighted by production growth at lower capital levels, significant cost savings, and robust free cash flow generation despite lower oil prices.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capital spending for 2026 is expected to range from $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion, a reduction of $550 million from 2025, driven by efficiency gains and lower activity, with about 70% directed to U.S. onshore. The plan includes increased investment in mid-cycle projects like Gulf of America water floods and unconventional EOR, while capital for Stratos winds down.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed strong confidence in operational execution, cost efficiency gains, and the strength of the portfolio, while maintaining a cautious outlook on oil prices.

Bottlenecks

Manufacturing capacitypersistent

Now, I'll tell you from an operational perspective, you know, Ken and I are both optimistic that we're going to continue to find opportunities to do like we do in other projects like Alhosen to de-bottleneck and add capacity.

“Now, I'll tell you from an operational perspective, you know, Ken and I are both optimistic that we're going to continue to find opportunities to do like we do in other projects like Alhosen to de-bottleneck and add capacity.”
Richard Jackson

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Permian takeaway capacity expansion will reduce midstream gas transportation optimization opportunities in 2026, partially offsetting margin gains from lower crude transportation costs.

“In midstream, we anticipate slightly lower earnings in 2026 as gas transportation optimization opportunities narrow with increased Permian gas takeaway capacity and in the back half of the year.”
Sunil Mathew
A2

Unplanned maintenance on third-party pipelines out of the Permian allowed Oxy to generate significant incremental midstream income in Q4, implying pipeline outages were a material market event.

“This was largely driven by our team's success in optimizing transportation around unplanned maintenance on third-party pipelines out of the Permian.”
Sunil Mathew
A3

Oxy's new wells achieved 10% better performance than industry averages on a six-month cumulative oil-per-foot basis across all US basins, suggesting the company's unconventional resource quality is better than peers.

“Across all U.S. onshore basins, our new wells performed more than 10% better than the industry, measured on a six-month cumulative oil-per-foot basis.”
Richard Jackson

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
CapexFY2026$5.5B–$5.9B$5.7BLOWERED
Free cash flowFY2026$1.2B$1.2BGUIDED
UnitsFY2026$1.45B$1.45BGUIDED

Company read-throughs

-1.8%
since call
$71.83$70.54
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Unplanned maintenance on third-party pipelines out of the Permian allowed Oxy to generate significant incremental midstream income in Q4, implying pipeline outages were a material market event. — The outage created a temporary bottleneck that Oxy capitalized on, highlighting potential infrastructure fragility in the Permian that could impact other producers.