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ON FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

ON Semiconductor Corporation earnings call

Aug 03, 2026 · 17:00 ET Hassane El-KhouryParag AgarwalThad
Buzzberg read

AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026

ON Semi reported a strong Q2 with revenue, margins, and EPS beating guidance, driven by surging AI data center demand. Management is very optimistic about the second half, guiding to further margin expansion and raising its full-year outlook for AI data center revenue to more than double. The company is prioritizing AI shipments, leading to near-term constraints in automotive/industrial, but expects this to rebalance. Q2 revenue of $1.6 bn, GM of 39.3%, EPS of $0.74, all above guidance midpoint.

Buzzberg read AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026 ON Semi reported a strong Q2 with revenue, margins, and EPS beating guidance, driven by surging AI data center demand. Management is very optimistic about the second half, guiding to further margin expansion and raising its full-year outlook for AI data center revenue to more than double. The company is prioritizing AI shipments, leading to near-term constraints in automotive/industrial, but expects this to rebalance. Q2 revenue of $1.6 bn, GM of 39.3%, EPS of $0.74, all above guidance midpoint. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

ON Semi reported a strong Q2 with revenue, margins, and EPS beating guidance, driven by surging AI data center demand. Management is very optimistic about the second half, guiding to further margin expansion and raising its full-year outlook for AI data center revenue to more than double. The company is prioritizing AI shipments, leading to near-term constraints in automotive/industrial, but expects this to rebalance. Q2 revenue of $1.6 bn, GM of 39.3%, EPS of $0.74, all above guidance midpoint.

  • AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026; EV SiC revenue in China expected to grow 60-70% y/y; ESS revenue expected to grow ~40% y/y.
  • Lead times extended to ~32 weeks; customers ordering into 2027/2028, indicating strong demand visibility.
  • Utilization reached 83%, up from 77%, and is expected to continue driving gross margin expansion in Q4.
Revenue $1.6035B +6% QoQ
EPS $0.74 +16% QoQ
Gross margin 38.43% reported
Op margin 16.13% reported

What changed this quarter

01
AI

AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026

Management highlighted that AI data center revenue is expected to more than double in 2026, driven by broader customer wins and expanding content across the power tree, including design wins with NVIDIA MGX, Great Wall, and AWS. They also noted the AI halo effect is boosting…

02
Margins

Gross margin to expand sequentially through year

Reported gross margin was 38.43%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

03
Automotive

Automotive silicon carbide revenue in China to grow 60-70%

AI data center revenue expected to more than double in 2026; EV SiC revenue in China expected to grow 60-70% y/y; ESS revenue expected to grow ~40% y/y.

04
Demand

Book-to-bill ratio significantly above 1 and strengthening

Management expressed strong confidence in demand recovery, highlighted multiple growth drivers, and raised full-year expectations for AI data center revenue.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management highlighted that AI data center revenue is expected to more than double in 2026, driven by broader customer wins and expanding content across the power tree, including design wins with NVIDIA MGX, Great Wall, and AWS. They also noted the AI halo effect is boosting energy infrastructure demand.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Book-to-bill ratio significantly above 1 and strengthening. Management expressed strong confidence in demand recovery, highlighted multiple growth drivers, and raised full-year expectations for AI data center revenue.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Capital expenditures are expected to be below 5% of revenue for the year, with Q3 capex guided to $40-50 million. Investments are primarily maintenance-focused, reflecting a disciplined approach while still supporting growth.

Tone · Upbeat

Management expressed strong confidence in demand recovery, highlighted multiple growth drivers, and raised full-year expectations for AI data center revenue.

Bottlenecks

Power & grid

Power or grid availability is constraining capacity

“Yeah, I mean, obviously when we have some technology specifically in power where we have constraint, we did see some orders come in, what I would say within lead time, and we had to make priority calls.”
Hassane El-Khoury

Supply-chain alpha

A1

ON is deliberately prioritizing AI data center shipments over automotive and industrial in the near term, but expects supply to normalize as manufacturing output catches up.

“Given the accelerated ramp in AI data center demand, we prioritize shipments to AI data center over automotive and industrial. We expect this to normalize as supply rebalances to match demand.”
Hassane El-Khoury
A2

ON's lead times have extended from approximately 27 weeks to around 32 weeks, and they are seeing customers place orders for 2027 and even into 2028, indicating a powerful demand push.

“So lead time stretched out from about 27 weeks to somewhere around 32 weeks on average... And we've got, in some situations, some customers ordering out into 28, trying to lock up supply.”
Thad (Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer)
A3

ON is implementing a second round of price increases to pass through higher input costs, and they see no signs of price cuts in 2027, hinting at sustained pricing power in the semiconductor industry.

“We are implementing a second round of price increases to offset these costs and expect to see the benefit over the next several quarters.”
Hassane El-Khoury

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $1.7B · was IN LINE last Q
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026 Q3$0.81–$0.93$0.87GUIDED
Gross marginFY2026 Q340%–42%41%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q3$1.65B–$1.75B$1.7BGUIDED

Guidance credibility

8 / 9met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$0.65–$0.77$0.74Met / beat
FY2026 Q1Gross marginFY2026 Q238%–40%38.43%Met / beat
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$1.535B–$1.635B$1.6035BMet / beat
FY2025 Q4EPSFY2026 Q1$0.56–$0.66$0.64Met / beat
FY2025 Q4Gross marginFY2026 Q137.5%–39.5%38.53%Met / beat
FY2025 Q4RevenueFY2026 Q1$1.44B–$1.54B$1.5133BMet / beat
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025 Q4$0.57–$0.67$0.64Met / beat
FY2025 Q3Gross marginFY2025 Q437%–39%34.92%Missed
FY2025 Q3RevenueFY2025 Q4$1.48B–$1.58B$1.5301BMet / beat

Company read-throughs

-9.2%
since call
$3.60$3.27
Customers

Xiaomi's EV program is ramping with higher semiconductor content, indicating continued investment and scale in its automotive business.

“supported by expanding content per vehicle with customers like Geely Zeker and Xiaomi.”
Hassane El-Khoury
-0.5%
since call
$15.45$15.37
Customers

ON's design win on the Rivian R2 platform signals that Rivian is advancing its vehicle architecture with more sophisticated power electronics.

“we continue to gain share across EV disruptors with a recent example of our power content on Rivian's R2 platform”
Hassane El-Khoury
-6.9%
since call
$282.55$263.11
CustomersSupply-chain alpha

ON is deliberately prioritizing AI data center shipments over automotive and industrial in the near term, but expects supply to normalize as manufacturing output catches up. — This suggests AI power is becoming a scarce resource, potentially creating short-term bottlenecks for other sectors but solidifying ON's role in AI infrastructure.

“we continue to add content in U.S. hyperscalers AI deployments with design wins supporting AWS power supply and battery backup systems.”
Hassane El-Khoury
+8.8%
since call
$206.67$224.75
Partners

ON is deliberately prioritizing AI data center shipments over automotive and industrial in the near term, but expects supply to normalize as manufacturing output catches up. — This suggests AI power is becoming a scarce resource, potentially creating short-term bottlenecks for other sectors but solidifying ON's role in AI infrastructure.

+0.0%
since call
$109.22$109.22
Supply chain

Synaptics is being acquired by ON, which will be a major corporate event for SYNA shareholders, expecting to close mid-2027.