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MAA FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. earnings call

Feb 05, 2026 · 10:00 ET Andrew SchaeferBrad HillRob Del Torre
Buzzberg read

Management expects improving blended lease rates in 2026, with renewals above 5%.

MAA reported Q4 2025 results in line with expectations, with continued recovery in operating fundamentals. Management's 2026 guidance implies a return to modest revenue growth, driven by an expected easing of supply pressures and strong renewal performance, despite new lease rates remaining weak. Blended lease rates improved 40 bps YoY in Q4, with renewals strong and new leases flat.

Buzzberg read Management expects improving blended lease rates in 2026, with renewals above 5%. MAA reported Q4 2025 results in line with expectations, with continued recovery in operating fundamentals. Management's 2026 guidance implies a return to modest revenue growth, driven by an expected easing of supply pressures and strong renewal performance, despite new lease rates remaining weak. Blended lease rates improved 40 bps YoY in Q4, with renewals strong and new leases flat. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

MAA reported Q4 2025 results in line with expectations, with continued recovery in operating fundamentals. Management's 2026 guidance implies a return to modest revenue growth, driven by an expected easing of supply pressures and strong renewal performance, despite new lease rates remaining weak. Blended lease rates improved 40 bps YoY in Q4, with renewals strong and new leases flat.

  • Guidance for 2026 FFO is below 2025 results, reflecting supply headwinds in H1 and increased interest expenses.
  • Management expects a significant drop in new supply deliveries, supporting a stronger operating environment in 2027.
  • The company is accelerating its development pipeline, with new projects expected to deliver into a tighter market.
Revenue $0.5556B reported
EPS $2.23 reported
Gross margin 36.07% reported
Op margin 28.38% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

Management expects improving blended lease rates in 2026, with renewals above 5%.

Management highlights improving fundamentals and positive trends, but acknowledges continued supply pressures and near-term headwinds.

02
Development

Development starts to continue, with 5-7 new projects expected in 2026.

Blended lease rates improved 40 bps YoY in Q4, with renewals strong and new leases flat.

03
Buybacks

Company initiated first share repurchase since 2001, signaling undervaluation.

Guidance for 2026 FFO is below 2025 results, reflecting supply headwinds in H1 and increased interest expenses.

04
Margins

2026 earnings growth to be impacted by higher interest expense.

Reported gross margin was 36.07%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Management expects improving blended lease rates in 2026, with renewals above 5%.. Management highlights improving fundamentals and positive trends, but acknowledges continued supply pressures and near-term headwinds.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is expanding capital investments in repositioning and redevelopment projects by more than 10% in 2026, including community-wide Wi-Fi and other technology initiatives, and plans to fund $350-$450 million in development costs and $250 million in acquisitions.

Tone · Cautiously Optimisti

Management highlights improving fundamentals and positive trends, but acknowledges continued supply pressures and near-term headwinds.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

MAA purchased a shovel-ready development project in Scottsdale from a developer unable to line up equity, illustrating that funding constraints at smaller developers are creating acquisition opportunities.

“we purchased a shovel-ready project in Scottsdale, Arizona from a developer that was unable to line up equity for their project”
Brad Hill
A2

MAA expects new deliveries in their markets to be down over 60% in 2026 from the peak and down ~35% YoY, with new starts down ~70% from peak levels.

“New deliveries are decelerating sharply, down over 60% in 2026 from the peak. and new starts are muted and have been for nearly three years, down nearly 70% from peak levels.”
Brad Hill
A3

Elevated concessions and longer lease-up periods have pushed the full earnings contribution from new developments out by about a year, despite the projects still being underwritten to yield.

“Elevated concessions and longer lease-up periods continue to have a greater impact on the lease-up properties and have pushed the full earnings contribution from these out about a year.”
Tim Argo
A4

Management sees a path to sustained positive new lease growth in 2027, driven by supply moderating and demand solidifying, with new lease pricing strength expected to impact 2027 revenue.

“as we get into 2027, I think that's when you see real sustained momentum and start to see potentially where we get into some of those positive newly serrated ranges.”
Brad Hill

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026$8.35–$8.71$8.53GUIDED
RevenueSAME_STOREFY20260.5%–0.6%0.55%GUIDED

Guidance credibility

0 / 1met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q1$2.00–$2.12$1.09Missed