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LITE FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

Lumentum Holdings Inc. earnings call

Feb 03, 2026 · 17:00 ET Cathy TaHupen NguyenMichael Hurlston
Buzzberg read

OCS backlog surges past $400 million, shipments in H2 calendar year

Lumentum delivered a record quarter and guided significantly higher, driven by massive demand for optical components in AI. The company is sold out of key products and has line of sight to significant growth in OCS, CPO, and scale-up opticals. Record revenue of $665.5M, with strong gross and operating margin expansion.

Buzzberg read OCS backlog surges past $400 million, shipments in H2 calendar year Lumentum delivered a record quarter and guided significantly higher, driven by massive demand for optical components in AI. The company is sold out of key products and has line of sight to significant growth in OCS, CPO, and scale-up opticals. Record revenue of $665.5M, with strong gross and operating margin expansion. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Lumentum delivered a record quarter and guided significantly higher, driven by massive demand for optical components in AI. The company is sold out of key products and has line of sight to significant growth in OCS, CPO, and scale-up opticals. Record revenue of $665.5M, with strong gross and operating margin expansion.

  • March quarter revenue guided to $805M midpoint, far above prior expectations.
  • OCS backlog surged to over $400M, a major upside to previous ramp expectations.
  • Indium phosphide fab capacity is fully allocated, with the supply-demand imbalance worsening despite new capacity.
Revenue $0.6655B reported
EPS $1.67 reported
Gross margin 36.08% reported
Op margin 9.6% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Demand

OCS backlog surges past $400 million, shipments in H2 calendar year

Management conveys strong confidence, citing record revenues, accelerating demand, and a significant order backlog, with a clear view toward future growth drivers.

02
AI

New multi-hundred million dollar CPO laser order for 2027

Management emphasizes Lumentum's role as a foundational engine of the AI revolution, with strong demand across cloud transceivers, optical circuit switches (OCS), and co-packaged optics (CPO), including a new multi-hundred million dollar purchase order for ultra-high power…

03
Capex

Capacity expansion front-loaded, 20% of 40% done in Q2

Management is proactively investing in capacity, having front-loaded a 40% expansion target for indium phosphide wafers and exploring new fab capacity. They are in active negotiations with customers to offset capital requirements in exchange for long-term supply assurances, and…

04
Guidance

Revenue guidance midpoint $805M, up 85% year-over-year

Guidance · revenue to $0.805B

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management emphasizes Lumentum's role as a foundational engine of the AI revolution, with strong demand across cloud transceivers, optical circuit switches (OCS), and co-packaged optics (CPO), including a new multi-hundred million dollar purchase order for ultra-high power lasers and early progress in optical scale-up architecture.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

OCS backlog surges past $400 million, shipments in H2 calendar year. Management conveys strong confidence, citing record revenues, accelerating demand, and a significant order backlog, with a clear view toward future growth drivers.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management is proactively investing in capacity, having front-loaded a 40% expansion target for indium phosphide wafers and exploring new fab capacity. They are in active negotiations with customers to offset capital requirements in exchange for long-term supply assurances, and plan to leverage contract manufacturers to accelerate ramps.

Tone · Bullish

Management conveys strong confidence, citing record revenues, accelerating demand, and a significant order backlog, with a clear view toward future growth drivers.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

OCS order backlog surged past $400 million, with most slated for shipment in H2 calendar 2026, indicating a much faster-than-expected ramp for this new product line.

“Our order backlog now has surged well past $400 million, the majority of which is slated for shipment in the second half of this calendar year.”
Michael Hurlston
A2

CW laser shipments began to external customers, expanding Lumentum's serviceable market beyond integrated modules.

“we expanded our footprint in next generation architectures, shipping CW lasers for 800 gig manufacturers and increased volumes of ultra-high powered laser shipments for CPO applications.”
Michael Hurlston
A3

Supply-demand imbalance remains at 25-30% even after adding significant new capacity, meaning Lumentum has further pricing power.

“Even as we add capacity, it seems that the demand supply imbalance increases. We talked about that last quarter, and I'd say again, even as we've added this 20% additional capacity, the demand-supply imbalance has increased.”
Michael Hurlston

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $0.805B
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2026 Q3$2.15–$2.35$2.25GUIDED
Op marginFY2026 Q330%–31%30.5%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q3$0.78B–$0.83B$0.805BGUIDED

Guidance credibility

1 / 2met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2026 Q3EPSFY2026 Q4$2.85–$3.05$3.23Met / beat
FY2026 Q3Op marginFY2026 Q435%–36%27.76%Missed