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KR FY2025 Q3 IMPROVING

The Kroger Co. earnings call

Dec 04, 2025 · 05:00 ET David KennerlyRob QuastRon Sargent
Buzzberg read

E-commerce profitability expected in 2026 with $400M improvement

Kroger reported Q3 FY2025 results with 2.6% identical sales growth (ex-fuel) and adjusted EPS of $1.05, slightly above expectations. Management raised the lower end of full-year EPS guidance to $4.75-$4.80 and narrowed comp guidance. The key strategic takeaway is a pivot in e-commerce: closure of three automated fulfillment centers, expansion of store-based delivery, and deeper partnerships with Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber Eats, targeting e-commerce profitability in 2026. Consumer sentiment remains cautious, especially for middle-income households. Kroger narrowed FY2025 identical sales growth (ex-fuel) to 2.8%-3.0% (was 2.5%-3.0%) and raised lower end of EPS to $4.75-$4.80.

Buzzberg read E-commerce profitability expected in 2026 with $400M improvement Kroger reported Q3 FY2025 results with 2.6% identical sales growth (ex-fuel) and adjusted EPS of $1.05, slightly above expectations. Management raised the lower end of full-year EPS guidance to $4.75-$4.80 and narrowed comp guidance. The key strategic takeaway is a pivot in e-commerce: closure of three automated fulfillment centers, expansion of store-based delivery, and deeper partnerships with Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber Eats, targeting e-commerce profitability in 2026. Consumer sentiment remains cautious, especially for middle-income households. Kroger narrowed FY2025 identical sales growth (ex-fuel) to 2.8%-3.0% (was 2.5%-3.0%) and raised lower end of EPS to $4.75-$4.80. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Kroger reported Q3 FY2025 results with 2.6% identical sales growth (ex-fuel) and adjusted EPS of $1.05, slightly above expectations. Management raised the lower end of full-year EPS guidance to $4.75-$4.80 and narrowed comp guidance. The key strategic takeaway is a pivot in e-commerce: closure of three automated fulfillment centers, expansion of store-based delivery, and deeper partnerships with Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber Eats, targeting e-commerce profitability in 2026. Consumer sentiment remains cautious, especially for middle-income households. Kroger narrowed FY2025 identical sales growth (ex-fuel) to 2.8%-3.0% (was 2.5%-3.0%) and raised lower end of EPS to $4.75-$4.80.

  • E-commerce grew 17% in Q3; announced closure of 3 automated fulfillment centers to save ~$400M in 2026 and make e-commerce profitable.
  • Expanded third-party delivery partnerships with Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber Eats for store-based fulfillment; DoorDash delivered 1M orders in first month.
  • Plans to open 14 new stores in Q4 and accelerate store growth in 2026, including entry into Jacksonville, FL with Harris Teeter.
Revenue $33.859B -0% QoQ
EPS $1.05 +1% QoQ
Gross margin 23.34% reported
Op margin -4.55% reported

What changed this quarter

01
E-commerce

E-commerce profitability expected in 2026 with $400M improvement

Kroger reported Q3 FY2025 results with 2.6% identical sales growth (ex-fuel) and adjusted EPS of $1.05, slightly above expectations. Management raised the lower end of full-year EPS guidance to $4.75-$4.80 and narrowed comp guidance. The key strategic takeaway is a pivot in…

02
Leadership

CEO to be external, announcement expected in Q1 2026

Kroger narrowed FY2025 identical sales growth (ex-fuel) to 2.8%-3.0% (was 2.5%-3.0%) and raised lower end of EPS to $4.75-$4.80.

03
Capex

Accelerating store growth with 30% more new builds in 2026

Kroger is accelerating store expansion, with plans to break ground on 14 new stores in Q4 and increase new store builds by 30% in 2026, while shifting capital allocation away from fulfillment centers towards stores.

04
Demand

Consumer caution intensifies, middle-income households under pressure

Management expressed confidence in strategic decisions and future growth, despite macro headwinds, emphasizing decisive actions and long-term positioning.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management discussed leveraging AI for workforce management and introducing Agentic AI shopping capabilities via Instacart's AI-powered cart assistant in Q1 2026 to enhance customer experience.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Consumer caution intensifies, middle-income households under pressure. Management expressed confidence in strategic decisions and future growth, despite macro headwinds, emphasizing decisive actions and long-term positioning.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Kroger is accelerating store expansion, with plans to break ground on 14 new stores in Q4 and increase new store builds by 30% in 2026, while shifting capital allocation away from fulfillment centers towards stores.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed confidence in strategic decisions and future growth, despite macro headwinds, emphasizing decisive actions and long-term positioning.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

DoorDash delivered 1 million orders for Kroger in its first month, indicating rapid adoption and incremental grocery volume for DoorDash.

“In its first month alone, we fulfilled 1 million orders, bringing new customers and incremental meal occasions to Kroger.”
Ron Sargent
A2

Kroger's shift from automated fulfillment centers to store-based delivery plus third-party partners (Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats) reduces its own capex but increases delivery volumes for these partners.

“We are evolving our hybrid fulfillment model by using automated fulfillment in geographies where customer demand supports it, and also leveraging store-based fulfillment through our pickup business and relationships with well-established t…”
Ron Sargent
A3

Kroger plans to introduce Instacart's AI-powered cart assistant on its own website and app in Q1 2026, embedding Instacart's technology into Kroger's digital experience.

“We plan to introduce new Agentic shopping capabilities, starting with Instacart's AI-powered cart assistant, on the Kroger website and mobile app in the first quarter of 2026.”
Ron Sargent

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2025$4.75–$4.80$4.78RAISED

Guidance credibility

1 / 1met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2025 Q2EPSFY2025$4.70–$4.80$4.85Met / beat

Company read-throughs

+4.7%
since call
$217.32$227.48
PartnersSupply-chain alpha

Kroger's shift from automated fulfillment centers to store-based delivery plus third-party partners (Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats) reduces its own capex but increases delivery volumes for these partners. — Kroger's strategy shift will funnel more grocery delivery volume to third-party platforms, benefiting their top-line growth and grocery category penetration.

+20.4%
since call
$42.66$51.36
-14.1%
since call
$89.60$76.99
Partners

Kroger's shift from automated fulfillment centers to store-based delivery plus third-party partners (Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats) reduces its own capex but increases delivery volumes for these partners. — Kroger's strategy shift will funnel more grocery delivery volume to third-party platforms, benefiting their top-line growth and grocery category penetration.

“we recently expanded our relationships with third-party delivery partners Instacart, DoorDash, and Uber Eats.”
Ron Sargent
+4.7%
since call
$217.32$227.48
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

DoorDash delivered 1 million orders for Kroger in its first month, indicating rapid adoption and incremental grocery volume for DoorDash.

+20.4%
since call
$42.66$51.36
Supply chainSupply-chain alpha

Kroger plans to introduce Instacart's AI-powered cart assistant on its own website and app in Q1 2026, embedding Instacart's technology into Kroger's digital experience.