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KR FY2025 Q2 IMPROVING

The Kroger Co. earnings call

Sep 11, 2025 · 06:00 ET David KennerlyRob QuastRon Sargent
Buzzberg read

E-commerce strategic review nearly complete, update in Q3

Kroger reported strong Q2 with 3.4% ID sales growth and $1.04 EPS, raising full-year guidance. Management highlighted e-commerce momentum (delivery surpassing pickup), AI-driven shrink improvements, and a strategic review of fulfillment centers. Pharmacy benefited from returning ESI customers and Rite Aid closures. Identical sales without fuel grew 3.4%, beating expectations, with pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories leading.

Buzzberg read E-commerce strategic review nearly complete, update in Q3 Kroger reported strong Q2 with 3.4% ID sales growth and $1.04 EPS, raising full-year guidance. Management highlighted e-commerce momentum (delivery surpassing pickup), AI-driven shrink improvements, and a strategic review of fulfillment centers. Pharmacy benefited from returning ESI customers and Rite Aid closures. Identical sales without fuel grew 3.4%, beating expectations, with pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories leading. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Kroger reported strong Q2 with 3.4% ID sales growth and $1.04 EPS, raising full-year guidance. Management highlighted e-commerce momentum (delivery surpassing pickup), AI-driven shrink improvements, and a strategic review of fulfillment centers. Pharmacy benefited from returning ESI customers and Rite Aid closures. Identical sales without fuel grew 3.4%, beating expectations, with pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories leading.

  • Raised FY2025 ID sales guidance to 2.7%-3.4% and EPS guidance to $4.70-$4.80; operating profit range lifted at low end.
  • E-commerce delivery sales surpassed store pickup for the first time, signaling a shift toward faster delivery preferences.
  • Deployed AI tool for shrink reduction, now expanding to identify sales opportunities on seasonal items.
IDENTICAL_SALES rev growth 3.4% reported
Revenue $33.94B reported
EPS $1.04 reported
Gross margin 23.01% reported

What changed this quarter

01
E-commerce

E-commerce strategic review nearly complete, update in Q3

Kroger reported strong Q2 with 3.4% ID sales growth and $1.04 EPS, raising full-year guidance. Management highlighted e-commerce momentum (delivery surpassing pickup), AI-driven shrink improvements, and a strategic review of fulfillment centers. Pharmacy benefited from…

02
Capex

Store openings to increase 30% in 2026

Kroger is accelerating new store projects, expecting a 30% increase in store openings in 2026, with more efficient layouts and faster construction timelines. They are also reviewing e-commerce fulfillment network (CFCs) site-by-site to improve profitability.

03
AI

AI driving shrink improvement and two-hour pickup

Management highlighted AI as a key tool for modernization, with implemented uses in pricing, shrink improvement, and fulfillment enabling two-hour pickup. They see more opportunities ahead in scheduling, planogramming, and customer personalization.

04
E-commerce

Delivery sales surpassed store pickup sales for first time

E-commerce delivery sales surpassed store pickup for the first time, signaling a shift toward faster delivery preferences.

AI, capex & demand read

AI

Platform & monetization

Management highlighted AI as a key tool for modernization, with implemented uses in pricing, shrink improvement, and fulfillment enabling two-hour pickup. They see more opportunities ahead in scheduling, planogramming, and customer personalization.

Demand

Bookings & conversion

Grocery units nearly flat, expecting further improvement. Management expressed confidence in the business momentum, citing strong sales growth, improved customer metrics, and a clear path for cost savings and investments.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Kroger is accelerating new store projects, expecting a 30% increase in store openings in 2026, with more efficient layouts and faster construction timelines. They are also reviewing e-commerce fulfillment network (CFCs) site-by-site to improve profitability.

Tone · Confident

Management expressed confidence in the business momentum, citing strong sales growth, improved customer metrics, and a clear path for cost savings and investments.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

For the first time, Kroger's e-commerce delivery sales surpassed store pickup sales, indicating a structural shift toward faster delivery options.

“this quarter was the first time that delivery sales passed store pickup sales. So I think that indicates that delivery is really important to our customers.”
Ron Sargent
A2

Kroger is deploying an AI tool to reduce shrink and is now pivoting it to also identify sales opportunities on seasonal items, which could improve both margins and top line.

“We've deployed an AI tool specifically against shrink. We can see the direct result of the AI tool that allows us to see much better inventory levels sell through... we're actually now trying to transition that into an opportunity for us t…”
David Kennerly

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
EPSFY2025$4.70–$4.80$4.75RAISED
RevenueIDENTICAL_SALESFY20252.7%–3.4%3.05%RAISED

Guidance credibility

1 / 1met or beat
Guidance credibility
IssuedMetricTargetGuideActualOutcome
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025$4.75–$4.80$4.85Met / beat

Company read-throughs

since call
Customers

Express Scripts (ESI) customers are returning to Kroger pharmacies, directly boosting comparable sales and indicating restored contractual access.

“This quarter, we've been pleased to welcome more ESI customers back into our stores. We continue to expect that the full return of the business will take time. And in Q2, ESI had a roughly 15 basis point positive impact on our ID sales.”
David Kennerly
+13.2%
since call
$45.38$51.36
PartnersSupply-chain alpha

For the first time, Kroger's e-commerce delivery sales surpassed store pickup sales, indicating a structural shift toward faster delivery options. — This shift favors delivery partners like Instacart and could accelerate investments in rapid fulfillment infrastructure.

“we're seeing a clear trend of customers opting for faster delivery times, an area where we are well positioned based on our conveniently located store network, coupled with our delivery partner, Instacart.”
Ron Sargent
since call
Competitors

Rite Aid's store closures create market share opportunities for Kroger's pharmacy business.

“Our pharmacy team is doing a really nice job. And we think there's a big opportunity in pharmacy given the Rite Aid closures”
Ron Sargent